keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Saturday sales are very good. So that should help. Could hit 300m OW with 85m OD. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) 14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Saturday sales are very good. Seems SK, China, DOM, Sat is where things are really concentrated. Wonder if it can pull the same Sat heavy trick in markets with great ODs though. Obviously much harder. Edited November 21, 2019 by Thanos Legion 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 42 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Seems SK, China, DOM, Sat is where things are really concentrated. Wonder if it can pull the same Sat heavy trick in markets with great ODs though. Obviously much harder. Yup. A toon can bump 100% on an OW Sat. Some closer to 50%. Depends on age demo and OD rush Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) Frozen 2 Final Pre-sales Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Shows / Avg Gross-to-Date Nov. 21, 2019 ¥1,400 $200,000 2,300 $87 $200,000 Nov. 22, 2019 ¥25,300 $3,614,000 137,000 $26 $3,814,000 Nov. 23, 2019 ¥18,700 $2,671,000 95,000 $28 $6,485,000 Nov. 24, 2019 ¥8,400 $1,200,000 67,000 $18 $7,685,000 Total ¥53,800 $7,685,000 301,300 $26 Comps Spoiler Time Frozen II Despicable Me 3 The Lion King Gross Change Gross Change Gross Change 11 Days Out ¥0.13 10 Days Out ¥0.26 ¥0.13 9 Days Out ¥0.48 ¥0.23 8 Days Out ¥0.95 ¥0.47 7 Days Out ¥0.64 ¥1.48 ¥0.53 ¥0.69 6 Days Out ¥2.32 ¥1.68 ¥2.20 ¥0.72 ¥2.39 ¥1.70 5 Days Out ¥3.75 ¥1.43 ¥3.06 ¥0.86 ¥4.22 ¥1.83 4 Days Out ¥5.15 ¥1.40 ¥4.09 ¥1.03 ¥4.94 ¥0.72 3 Days Out ¥7.18 ¥2.03 ¥6.05 ¥1.96 ¥6.01 ¥1.07 2 Days Out ¥10.43 ¥3.25 ¥9.34 ¥3.29 ¥8.26 ¥2.25 1 Day Out ¥15.04 ¥4.61 ¥16.17 ¥6.83 ¥12.56 ¥4.30 Final ¥25.30 ¥10.26 ¥36.48 ¥20.31 ¥25.26 ¥12.70 Opening Day ¥86.02 ¥137.80 ¥95.65 PSm 3.40 3.78 3.79 After a strong start, it kind of fizzled with very average last two days, being less than TLK. That shall also mean IM could be low, so going with 86mn OD. However Saturday PS are great, currently 25% more than OD was yesterday. If score is good, should go for 140mn Saturday but taking a normal case, I think 320mn Weekend seems about it. Edited November 21, 2019 by Jedi Jat 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 20 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: Frozen 2 Final Pre-sales Date Gross in ¥ ('000) Gross in $ Shows / Avg I can not see this Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 +60M in dollars possible? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 4 minutes ago, Mau said: +60M in dollars possible? Total yes will happen. OW it has no chance of going that high. I am thinking 45m is the ceiling. We will know for sure tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: Total yes will happen. OW it has no chance of going that high. I am thinking 45m is the ceiling. We will know for sure tomorrow. If WOM is great 45 mill OW be minimum IMO. We will know soon 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, Mau said: +60M in dollars possible? With a great rating it will Possible low to high: Final PS 26.1m. It had a standard 7 day PS run with 45% average daily gains, finishing with a +74% gain Low end- 3x PS and just a 50% Sat bump and average WoM 8.8 rating. 78m OD 280m/$40m OW High end 4x PS a 100% Sat bump with great WoM 9.5+, 104m OD 468M/$66m OW Im still thinking $50m~ OW Edited November 21, 2019 by POTUS 2020 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, fmpro said: If WOM is great 45 mill OW be minimum IMO. We will know soon Not with 85m OD. It needs to be higher to go higher than that. Plus not sure this will have great WOM. Remember reaction from early screening in China that @Gavin Feng posted. But one can never know. Let us see how Maoyan score is tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Not with 85m OD. It needs to be higher to go higher than that. Plus not sure this will have great WOM. Remember reaction from early screening in China that @Gavin Feng posted. But one can never know. Let us see how Maoyan score is tomorrow. remember its a toon. Sat bump will be 50-100% and sunday drops are softer F 85m S 128m +50% S 102m -20% T 315m/$45m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: Not with 85m OD. It needs to be higher to go higher than that. Plus not sure this will have great WOM. Remember reaction from early screening in China that @Gavin Feng posted. But one can never know. Let us see how Maoyan score is tomorrow. Pretty sure it can. If it clocks in at 9,4-9,5 in maoyan i could see 85fri,150sat,140sun... 375total~53 mill $ Maybe more if its 9,0-9,1 i could surely see under 45mill Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 2 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: remember its a toon. Sat bump will be 50-100% and sunday drops are softer F 85m S 128m +50% S 102m -20% T 315m/$45m Sunday drop could be single digits if we get a high rating. I doubt it will increase though. Lets see. 45-50 mill seems most likely atp 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Opening with 45, is there a chance it can get 150+ final? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 At this point that is impossible. if it opens to 45m its WOM is not stellar and its likely to finish between 80-95. but if it hits crazy strong ratings at Maoyan then it opens to 55m with sunday increase and then anything is on the table. Let us wait until tonight to see how Maoyan rating is before predicting where it will end. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 27 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: At this point that is impossible. if it opens to 45m its WOM is not stellar and its likely to finish between 80-95. but if it hits crazy strong ratings at Maoyan then it opens to 55m with sunday increase and then anything is on the table. Let us wait until tonight to see how Maoyan rating is before predicting where it will end. Agree with both👍👍 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: At this point that is impossible. if it opens to 45m its WOM is not stellar and its likely to finish between 80-95. but if it hits crazy strong ratings at Maoyan then it opens to 55m with sunday increase and then anything is on the table. Let us wait until tonight to see how Maoyan rating is before predicting where it will end. What could be an strong rating in maoyan? Above 90? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, Mau said: What could be an strong rating in maoyan? Above 90? if I am not wrong great rating at Maoyan will require 9.5 start and finish around 9.3. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 (edited) 5 hours ago, 1Robert1 said: What is your expectation for Jumanji? J2 PS will get over 5m tonight. I project mid 20s, possibly 30m final PS. $40-50m OW J1 OD 74m OW 268m/$41.5m Tot 492m/$76m @ ¥6.45 to $1 Edited December 1, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 J2 PS at 9m for tues mite. Not bumping 40% daily. PS may finish low 20s. On track for $35-40m OW unless the PSm is higher than recent releases(3.5+) or a high rating Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
