Gavin Feng Posted December 15, 2019 Share Posted December 15, 2019 Ip Man 4 will definitely win in terms of total box office. But it might not make as much as the third one. The distributor of Ip Man 4 is pretty weak. They always do nothing when their new movies are coming. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 (edited) IP4 Fri: 9.64m 34.8k shows (Well it doesn't even mater so.. ) SW9 T-1 ( T-2) Wed: 3.91m (+860k) 24.4k (+7.2k) (7pm nation wide previews) Thu: 1.91m (+430k) 30.4k (+11k) (The real OD) Fri: 2.22m (+670k) 22.2k (+2.3k) Sat: 1.78m (+480k) 8.9k (+0.9k) Sun: 870k (+190k) 7.2k (+0.5k) TLJ OD: T-5 2.53M T-4 3.09M T-3 4.07M T-2 5.60M TROS gained a decent amount of screens for it's previews the 860k jumps isn't super big and don't expect it to rise 100% tomorrow probably around a 5.2m finish by tomorrow midnight and then some more by tomorrow 7pm. The real OD is at 1.91m with 30.4k showtimes, it increased mehly today specialy because of the extra showtimes. Tomorrow it should clear 2.7m then, 5.4m + by wednesday night. Friday got a boost when they removed show's from IP4, friday should be bigger than OD. This movie is so strange to track, first it gets moved up, then they don't add showtimes to it's OD untill 60h before it's openings day and now the movie it should have faced in the weekend has moved. So take everything I guess with a big pinch of salt, who knows what will happen maybe TROS OD will be delayed to may next year to get the juicy EG spot from this year... Edited December 16, 2019 by pepsa 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, pepsa said: This movie is so strange to track, first it gets moved up, then they don't add showtimes to it's OD untill 60h before it's openings day and now the movie it should have faced in the weekend has moved. So take everything I guess with a big pinch of salt, who knows what will happen maybe TROS OD will be delayed to may next year to get the juicy EG spot from this year... Legends speak of a movie so powerful it had to be removed from the July slate. A film so fearsome that the CCP would not risk its release before the 70th anniversary. If these tales prove true TROS had traded its competition gorilla for a competition King Kong ☠️ 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 (edited) IP4 Fri: 10.3m 57.2k shows (This is 100% bugged, jumping over 100% yesterday and doing basicly nothing today SW9 T-1/2 ( T-1) Wed: 5.34m (+1.43m) 31.6k (+7.2k) (7pm nation wide previews) Thu: 3.09m (+1.18m) 50.3k (+19.9k) (The real OD) Fri: 2.60m (+380k) 33.2k (+10k) Sat: 1.87m (+90k) 10.9k (+2k) Sun: 880k (+10k) 8.5k (+1.3k) Well the Wednesday increase was decently good today. I expect them to go up by 3m tomorrow (double of todays pace) so total previews around 8m? Thursday saw a nice jump, 1.18m good for a 62% increase, it also increased 65% in showtimes. Depending on the showtime increase tomorrow it can land anywere between 5m and 6.4m final ps's for OD. The multi might be a bit dimmed because of the thursday OD so less walk ups, people can't go to late because of work etc. So far the 'pretty good' new, now comes the bad. Friday had a 43% increase in showtimes and only increased 17% in ps's. Sat and sun almost didn't add anyting. These things might be related to possible bugs, same as IP4. Just for fun I will make a prediction: 12m previews, 24m OD, 30m friday, 30m sat and 22m sun. Total OW: 118m or $16.8m USD Edited December 17, 2019 by pepsa 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 (edited) IP4 Fri: 11.4m 82.7k shows SW9 D-DAY Wed: 12.66m Thu: 5.06m (+1.97m) 84.3k (+34.0k) (OD) Fri: 3.88m (+1.28m) 38.4k (+5.2k) Sat: 2.57m (+700k) 17.7k (+6.8k) Sun: 1.44m (+560k) 12.7k (+3.7k) PS for OD aren't good, it had a bad increase today. With 5.06m it might get 5.15m by 3pm. Using a 4 multi that would give 20m OD, that said maybe a ps multi of 3.5 is probably more likely. So about 18m ($2.6m). WOM doesn't seem to be good so thats also working against it. The kinda good news is Friday and probably saturday will both be bigger than it OD, that if WOM doesn't screw up the ps multies. Edited December 19, 2019 by pepsa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 (edited) On 2/15/2018 at 5:02 PM, Stewart said: Final presales: Monster Hunt 2 - 294.1M Detective Chinatown 2 - 174.2M Monkey King 3 - 85.1M Operation Red Sea - 56.7M Boonie Bears 4 - 42.1M Totals: 678.4M Presales and ~355,000 390,000 showings. This makes the day, in just presales remember the following: 2nd best single day ever (behind 806m, in front 645m and 603m) Most showing in a single day (needs checking fully, but has beaten every day I've checked by 30,000) MH2 has the 4th best opening day for a single film, just in presales MH2 has the 13th best single day for a single film, again just in presales A presale multiplier of just 1.47x gets February 16th to 1B single day gross, first time ever! On 2/4/2019 at 5:16 PM, Stewart said: Final Presales: Crazy Alien - 197.6M - (98,856 shows) Pegasus - 143.1M - (101,979 shows) The New King of Comedy - 138.1M - (93,278 shows) The Wandering Earth - 82.4M - (53,828 shows) Boonie Bears - 42.8M - (19,986 shows) Peppa Pig - 38.4M - (28,929 shows) Integrity - 35.9M - (40,308 shows) The Knight of Shadows - 35.7M - (37,618 shows) Totals: 718.7M Presales and ~475,000 510,000 showings. Best ever presales and showings for a single day, beating last years. The additional 120k showings is rather mindboggling. Should handily beat last year, solid chance at ¥1.5B single day, easily beating the 1.277B last year. Also last year increased from 355k showings in presales to 392k showings in actuals. Possible that total showings at end of day will be over 500k. ODPS OD Shows Screens 12Day 2018 678m 1277m 390,000 50,700 7773m 2019 718m 1458m 510,000 60,000 7699m 2020 ??? ??? 580,000? 70,000 ??? A majority of the annual BO gains from 2015 to 16 to 17 to 18 was in CNY. 2019 saw CNY flat YoY and the year was heading down YoY when the Oct Holiday blew up and got the year up 5% in yuan, up 1% in dollars. There are nearly 40% more screens than 2 years ago, if the movies are good we could see a bump of 20-40%, which may be needed if 2020 is going to be up. If CNY is near flat again, it could be a sign that CBO has hit its soft ceiling. 2019 CNY OD was up 15% with 19% more screens, 30% more shows, but the 12 day total(7 holidays and 5 school-out days) was flat. Will addition screens/shows just boost OD again? or the totals as well. Will be interesting to watch and could determine the year or even decade's trend. CNY OD PS is nearing 200m with DC3 at 59% of total PS- at 115m, 30% of 295k shows listed with 5.5 days to go. Edited January 19, 2020 by POTUS 2020 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted January 22, 2020 Share Posted January 22, 2020 CNY Presales: DC3 - 227m 56% of total - (124k shows 30% of all shows) Legend of Deification- 45m - (58k shows) Lost in Russia- 38m - (54k shows) The Rescue- 35M - (55k shows) Leap - 24m - (49k shows) Vanguard - 17m - (39k shows) Wild Continent - 15m - (31k shows) Total PS 401m - 410k shows listed so far. will probably head to 550k+ Perhaps an increase to 500m tomorrow and 750m Sat 3am just beating last year. We will have to see how corona plays out. If its quelled we may see bumps in latter days of CNY 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dudalb Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 Looks as if Corona is not going to be quelled anytime soon;all presales in China be put on hold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 3 minutes ago, dudalb said: Looks as if Corona is not going to be quelled anytime soon;all presales in China be put on hold. of course Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted January 31, 2020 Share Posted January 31, 2020 4 minutes ago, dudalb said: Looks as if Corona is not going to be quelled anytime soon;all presales in China be put on hold. Yes. We know. It kind of feels like you just found about about the coronavirus today with the way you’ve been posting, but the “news” of everything related to Chinese cinema being indefinitely shutdown is like a week old now. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 (edited) Well very little Pre-sales for Do Little but there are PS to report, I take that as a win. Dolittle: ¥563k from 1.7k shows. Per show ¥330, which is quite decent IMO. I think it will final at ¥5mn tomorrow and may be ¥15-20mn OD but who knows how box office is supposed to be. Approximately 30k shows are played today, which should grow IMO by Friday. I expect 20k plus shows release for Dolittle. Edited July 22, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 22, 2020 Share Posted July 22, 2020 Show count since re-opening Monday: 12.5k Tuesday: 23k Wednesday: 34k Hopefully by Friday 60k range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 Dolittle currently 16.3k shows, I expect 20k final easily. ¥1.9mn PS so far, final ¥2.25mn most likely. OD I expect ¥10mn range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Dolittle currently 16.3k shows, I expect 20k final easily. ¥1.9mn PS so far, final ¥2.25mn most likely. OD I expect ¥10mn range. How's bloodshot doing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
juni78ukr Posted July 23, 2020 Share Posted July 23, 2020 1 hour ago, lorddemaxus said: How's bloodshot doing? Dolittle 16 822 shows 2.01 mln on $287k presales Bloodshot 16 663 shows 1.05 mln on $150k presales 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 @charlie Jatinder got any info on Sonic presales? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted July 29, 2020 Share Posted July 29, 2020 (edited) 4 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: @charlie Jatinder got any info on Sonic presales? 170k T-1 Days on 10k shows. Guess 800-1000k final. 3.5-4mn OD. i.e. $500k. Edited July 29, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 (edited) 1917 (T-5 Days): ¥470k (Expect ¥5mn final PS ¥15-18mn OD) Ford vs Ferrari (T-5 Days): ¥50k (¥3-5mn OD) Harry Potter (T-12 Days): ¥550k. That's a very big number this far out. Almost par Comicbook movies. One comp I could think of was Spirited Away. Spirited Away was ¥.14mn 12 days out, finalling at ¥16.21mn for an OD of ¥54.61mn. This gives a huge number this far out, I will wait to use this comp yet. But a ¥50mn OD I will take happyily. I don't have day wise PS of Interstellar re-run but even they trippled from what they were on Friday, so I would guess ¥10mn final PS is possible. Edited August 2, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inceptionzq Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: 1917 (T-7 Days): ¥470k (Expect ¥5mn final PS ¥15-18mn OD) Ford vs Ferrari (T-7 Days): ¥50k (¥3-5mn OD) Harry Potter (T-14 Days): ¥550k (That's blockbuster level PS this far out TBH. Like Venom had ¥870k 10 Days Out. Ant-Man & Wasp was ¥800k 13 Days Out. I expect atleast ¥10mn PS final and perhaps ¥30mn OD, could be way way way more) Which Harry Potter? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 1, 2020 Share Posted August 1, 2020 15 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said: Which Harry Potter? The first one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
