RJ 95 Posted August 29, 2020 Share Posted August 29, 2020 Presale for OD ¥2.9m only increasing 28.8%, with 29k shows. Number of shows only increasing litte today. Probably starting from Monday will increase rapidly. With The 800 still perform amazingly so far, will this reach 100k shows for OD ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Sales have slowed after strong first and second day. I won't panic for now as it's final two days that matter eventually, but we need some indication for that on Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Interesting trending so far. Strong first couple days and then slow reminds me of SK a bit, though circumstances are quite different. Not being misled by sneaks, no covid resurgence, but there is very strong local competition unlike in SK. But indeed, in the end it’s the last few days that really decide. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJ 95 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Presale for Tenet OD increase by 34% today, a bit better than yesterday but still it needs avg of 67% increase each day to reach ¥30m. Number of shows still only 30k, don't know if it can reach 100k with strong competitor still going around. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 (edited) Makes sense why The 800 has so many screens but I don't think the movie that released on Chinese Valentine's Day needs so many screens when its been doing pretty poorly since its debut. Edited August 30, 2020 by lorddemaxus 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Quite decent today. Will need strong Monday but eventually its about that final day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Good pace today. Still has chance to hit 25mn OD PS. Time TENET Pre -/+ Fri -/+ Sat -/+ Sun -/+ FSS -/+ T-7 ¥0.20 ¥1.00 ¥0.40 ¥0.27 ¥1.87 T-6 ¥0.42 ¥0.22 ¥2.22 ¥1.22 ¥1.09 ¥0.69 ¥0.61 ¥0.34 ¥4.34 ¥2.47 T-5 ¥0.53 ¥0.11 ¥2.89 ¥0.67 ¥1.38 ¥0.29 ¥0.84 ¥0.23 ¥5.64 ¥1.30 T-4 ¥0.67 ¥0.14 ¥3.88 ¥0.99 ¥1.79 ¥0.41 ¥1.10 ¥0.26 ¥7.44 ¥1.80 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Seng Wah Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 Hope the total presale break 10-10.2m by end of today, total is now at 9.7m. That relatively low 45k total “want to see” would it be any effect? Even Dunkirk is at 150k. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 44 minutes ago, Michael Seng Wah said: Hope the total presale break 10-10.2m by end of today, total is now at 9.7m. That relatively low 45k total “want to see” would it be any effect? Even Dunkirk is at 150k. total is low for every movie post reopening. Problem is the increase of want-to-see is too low. But pre-sale looks good today. Tenet is long slightly higher than Dunkirk at the same point. All we hope now is a wonderful WOM like Inception & Interstellar. According to other oversea threads, audience might not think this is one of the best Nolan works. Legs probably would be fine anywhere, but how great it is going to be? It's very uncertain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said: Tenet is long slightly higher than Dunkirk at the same point. It is much higher than Dunkirk now. Only pre-sales that matter is OD. Rest of days will be WoM based. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 TENET T-3 Days Previews: ¥0.90mn (+¥0.23mn) on 1.6k shows Friday: ¥5.75mn (+1.87mn) on 36k shows Saturday: ¥2.42mn (+¥0.63mn) on 14k shows Sunday: ¥1.36mn (+¥0.26mn) on 11k shows Total: ¥10.43mn (+¥3mn) Better day. Will need further buckle up for ¥25mn OD PS and possible $50mn weekend. Projection and Comp Time TENET Dunkirk Gross Change Gross Change T-13 Days ¥0.53 T-12 Days ¥0.83 ¥0.30 T-11 Days ¥0.93 ¥0.10 T-10 Days ¥1.70 ¥0.77 T-9 Days ¥2.01 ¥0.31 T-8 Days ¥2.35 ¥0.34 T-7 Days ¥0.99 ¥2.66 ¥0.31 T-6 Days ¥2.22 ¥1.23 ¥3.15 ¥0.49 T-5 Days ¥2.89 ¥0.67 ¥3.71 ¥0.56 T-4 Days ¥3.88 ¥0.99 ¥4.26 ¥0.55 T-3 Days ¥5.75 ¥1.87 ¥4.96 ¥0.70 T-2 Days ¥8.56 ¥2.81 ¥6.63 ¥1.67 T-1 Days ¥13.32 ¥4.77 ¥9.31 ¥2.68 T-0 Days ¥23.81 ¥10.49 ¥16.85 ¥7.54 OD ¥78.59 57.53 PSm 3.30 3.41 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 TENET T-2 Days Previews: ¥1.22mn (+¥0.32mn) on 1.8k shows Friday: ¥8.25mn (+2.5mn) on 47k shows Saturday: ¥3.75mn (+¥1.3mn) on 18k shows Sunday: ¥1.92mn (+¥0.56mn) on 14k shows Total: ¥15.15mn (+¥4.68mn) Pretty standard day for OD. Should be 13mn plus tomorrow for thinking of 25mn PS. Though I feel 22-23mn looks more likely at this point which should give 75-80mn OD, and 265mn OW i.e. $40mn. Good news is Exchange rate is getting better, hopefully it keep going that way. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJ 95 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 (edited) Just read one post on Douban, it seems like Mulan will be released on September 11. With this I think Tenet probably got $80m max I think. Mulan will get many of those screen. Edited September 2, 2020 by RJ 95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 1 hour ago, RJ 95 said: Just read one post on Douban, it seems like Mulan will be released on September 11. With this I think Tenet probably got $80m max I think. Mulan will get many of those screen. Everyone just gonna pirate Mulan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 2 hours ago, RJ 95 said: Just read one post on Douban, it seems like Mulan will be released on September 11. With this I think Tenet probably got $80m max I think. Mulan will get many of those screen. If it has WoM it won't matter. 800 seems like has lost the steam with big drop yesterday and today seems low too. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerPaw Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 26 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: Everyone just gonna pirate Mulan. I think piracy will cut mulan legs and half of its potential earnings. I was thinking 1 - 2bn yuan, now i think 500m yuan is a win? Lol.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 (edited) TENET T-1 Days Previews: ¥1.6mn (+¥0.38mn) on 1.8k shows Friday: ¥12.2mn (+4mn) on 68k shows Saturday: ¥5.7mn (+¥1.95mn) on 28k shows Sunday: ¥2.75mn (+¥0.83mn) on 20k shows Total: ¥22.25mn (+¥7.16mn) Will barely cross 12mn today. Ugh. Hopefully doubles tommorow. More realistically 22mn. OD perhaps 70-75mn, Weekend 235-265mn i.e $35-39mn. Edited September 2, 2020 by charlie Jatinder 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted September 2, 2020 Share Posted September 2, 2020 8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: TENET T-1 Days Previews: ¥1.6mn (+¥0.38mn) on 1.8k shows Friday: ¥12.2mn (+4mn) on 68k shows Saturday: ¥5.7mn (+¥1.95mn) on 28k shows Sunday: ¥2.75mn (+¥0.83mn) on 20k shows Total: ¥22.25mn (+¥7.16mn) Will barely cross 12mn today. Ugh. Hopefully doubles tommorow. More realistically 22mn. OD perhaps 70-75mn, Weekend 235-265mn i.e $35-39mn. good enough , but lets see the reception first Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 (edited) If final day PS pace follows F2/CM, about 22.5. If it follows FFH, more like 25.5. Either way it’s pretty solid, about what’s been expected from several days ago. Whether the PSm is more in the range of 2.8ish, 3.3ish, or 3.8ish will be a big difference, we’ll see when we see. Edited September 3, 2020 by Arendelle Legion 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted September 3, 2020 Share Posted September 3, 2020 I'd it me or has OD pre-sales been pretty slow so far? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
