Weekend Thread | RTH pg 197...Mother's Day not kind to CW but very kind to JB and MD CW 42, JB 9,7, MDD 6.1,Hunts 1.48...puts CW at about 178M

[grey ghost]

5 minutes ago, scoobysaurus said:

 

Star Wars enjoys phenomenal popularity in developed markets but WW the only movie that's truly in a league of its own is Avatar. 

 

 

That will change with Avatar 2.

 

No way it makes anything close to 2.7 billion.

[The Futurist]

The Force Awakens Opening Week end record will last 10 years.

At least.

You read it first here.

 

[VGPOP]

Please don't call me a hater, because I am not.

 

Has ANYONE considered this movie opening way, way lower than we are all anticipated?

 

I am talking $160-$170 million, BvS range?

 

- Superhero fatigue?, specially "Avengers"

- Frontloadness?

- Ultron ugly internal multiplier.

 

This would be something in these forums if this happens.

Edited May 6, 2016 by VGPOP

[cannastop]

10 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Just realized we will have 4 100M+ OWs this year already with plenty more to come, in 2014 we had 2 100M+ OWs the whole year. Last year has the record with 6 100M+ OWs. This year could easily eclipse that.

Not to mention a March movie with a $75M opening weekend and a final dom total that will probably be around $340M.

[FTF]

Just now, VGPOP said:

Please don't call me a hater, because I am not.

 

Have ANYONE considered this movie opening way, way lower than we are all anticipated?

 

I am talking $160-$170 million, BvS range?

 

- Superhero fatigue?, specially "Avengers"

- Frontloadness?

- Ultron ugly internal multiplier.

 

This would be something in these forums if this happens.

 

How is it only getting $160-170m off a $25m preview #...please show us that Fri-Sun breakdown. 

[Cynosure]

The dollar has increased about 30% on the Canadian dollar since TA opened. With Canada being about 10% of the DOM gross, you actually have a 3% decrease in the gross compared to 2012.

 

Say CW does $194.5 OW, adding 3% would get it over $200M.

[RichWS]

I enjoy reading Scott Mendelson, but I can't say I'm looking forward to his recap when he "jokes" about superhero fatigue a dozen times.

[grey ghost]

9 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Because expectations always get the best of some and so they turn around and blame the movie instead of sucking it up. It's like clockwork.

 

Are you talking about CW?

 

Who's blaming the movie?

 

We're just debating over or under AOU.

[baumer]

3 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

The Force Awakens Opening Week end record will last 10 years.

At least.

You read it first here.

 

 

Nope...said it first about two months ago. 

[The Futurist]

Superhero Fatigue - Market Saturation : not the same thing.

[scoobysaurus]

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

 

That will change with Avatar 2.

 

No way it makes anything close to 2.7 billion.

 

Agreed, but it doesn't need to. Anything over 2.066b will keep it ahead of Star Wars for the foreseeable future. 

[baumer]

3 minutes ago, VGPOP said:

Please don't call me a hater, because I am not.

 

Has ANYONE considered this movie opening way, way lower than we are all anticipated?

 

I am talking $160-$170 million, BvS range?

 

- Superhero fatigue?, specially "Avengers"

- Frontloadness?

- Ultron ugly internal multiplier.

 

This would be something in these forums if this happens.

 

But that would still be about 70?% higher than the last Cap movie.....no fatigue at all imo.

[Cynosure]

4 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

The Force Awakens Opening Week end record will last 10 years.

At least.

You read it first here.

 

 

A little less I think. 2% inflation for 10 years puts JW's OW at $255m and I think another movie will do better adjusted by then.

[Kvikk Lunsj]

5 minutes ago, Thrylos 7 said:

2 billion to 1.5 billion is not the same with 1 billion to 0. 5 billion .  One is double the other not 30% more . Nevermind that previous recent sw movies have lost badly to marvel movies . I am in awe about that comment and the likes it got but I guess people will leave common sense and logic behind just to support an argument . 

Are you talking about the prequels since late 90s and early 2000s were a much different time for OS box office. Are talking Spider Man movies to the prequels? 

[John Marston]

Main problem might be that laughable BO..com prediction of 230/605m lol

[baumer]

Well, this is still a Captain America movie.  So whatever it opens to it does not spell out any kind of fatigue.....it's going to pretty much double the opening of WS.....so what is there to complain about?

[a2k]

31 minutes ago, Dexter of Suburbia said:

500m WW is lot.  

yes

 

That like saying 500m WW and 1B WW are in the same league. 

hmm..I don't agree fully. % matters.

1.5b is 75% of 2b. 500m is 50% of 1b.

So even though 2b is in a different league than 1.5b, and 1b is in a different league than 500m, they are so by varying degrees.

1.5b is closer to 2b %-wise than 500m is 1b.

As another example, 1b and 1.1b would be in the same league, but 10m and 110m would be in different leagues, even though the gap is 100m in both the cases.

 

[VGPOP]

6 minutes ago, FTF said:

 

How is it only getting $160-170m off a $25m preview #...please show us that Fri-Sun breakdown.

That's easy.

$75 million Friday

$52.5 million Saturday

$42.5 million Sunday

 

 

Edited May 6, 2016 by VGPOP

[CaptainJackSparrow]

1 minute ago, John Marston said:

Main problem might be that laughable BO..com prediction of 230/605m lol

I agree, that really influenced many here.

[theStun]

25M for previews good not great still expected closer to 30 especially with the amazing buzz. Still expect this to have the biggest OW of 2016.