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FlashMaster659

Weekend Thread | Weekend Estimates - FD: $136.2M, CI: $34.5M, TC2: $15.56M, NYSM2: $9.65M, Flopcraft: $6.52M

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3 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Lionsgate's plan for La La Land is genius and they're finally making a good move for once:

 

Opening Weekend: 20M. Strong counterprogramming for Rogue One.

Christmas: 20M. It'll increase or decrease slightly.

New Year's: 17M. There are no new releases so it doesn't lose any theaters.

Jan 6: 11M. Strong WOM keeps it over 10M, and with only two new releases theaters will sooner get rid of stuff like Collateral Beauty or Why Him before this.

Jan 13: 8.5M. With four new releases (and no, I'm not counting Friday the 13th :lol: ) the TC drop could be harsh but that didn't hurt The Big Short on MLK.

Jan 20: 6.5M. Oscar nominations will likely be out and there are only two new releases so no major drop.

Jan 27: 4M. This weekend will be where the harsher drops start coming in. There are four new releases and this is the movie's 7th weekend.

Feb 3: 3.5M. Fortunately it'll rebound with only two minor new releases.

Feb 10: 2M. Three big new openers this weekend, but Valentines is during the week so a nice weekday will be there.

Feb 17: 1.2M. President's Day will save it from 50%.

Feb 24: 700k. One last push before the Oscars.

 

That's 94.4M from weekends alone.

 

I'm really really looking forward to this one. Stone and Gosling's chemistry is insane. 

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39 minutes ago, syntaxerror said:

If Jungle Book can get to 1B (still several Asian markets), and Dory can too... thats 4 billion-dollar movies for Disney...

 

Jungle Book may not make $1B. But Dory, Civil War, Zootopia & Rogue One

(unless...those re-shoots..)  will give Disney a quartet of $1B WW movies

in a single year.  That's gotta be a record.

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17 minutes ago, zackzack said:

 

Jungle Book may not make $1B. But Dory, Civil War, Zootopia & Rogue One

(unless...those re-shoots..)  will give Disney a quartet of $1B WW movies

in a single year.  That's gotta be a record.

 

Jungle Book's hopes of reaching 1B rest almost solely on Japan now. It will get achingly close if it unfortunately misses it. Poor Disney execs will just have to make do with the other 4 $1B 2016 movies and hope that Moana overperforms too.

 

crying-money-woody-harrelson-zombieland.

Edited by Spidey Freak
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2 hours ago, zackzack said:

 

Jungle Book may not make $1B. But Dory, Civil War, Zootopia & Rogue One

(unless...those re-shoots..)  will give Disney a quartet of $1B WW movies

in a single year.  That's gotta be a record.

 

Of course it's a record. Billion dollar films were unheard of until about 2010. Then China and market expansion came along.

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4 hours ago, Mojoguy said:



I think you meant only two or three will pass "200m" this summer.

Don't you mean four or five? 

 

Pets, SS and Bourne 5 all have a good chance to do so. Even Ghostbusters could if WOM ends up being decent. 

6 hours ago, Belakor said:

What a depressive summer. Only two or three movies are going to pass the 100m mark.

There'll be 6 past this mark by July 4th :lol:

 

And another 6-8 by Labor Day. 

 

Do you mean OW? 

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5 hours ago, nilephelan said:

 

Did I miss something or will the 3 that are already there and 8 or so more that will get there as well not count?

No there'll be more:

 

Conjuring 2

Dory

ID42 (should be able to inch across with a low 40s OW)

Central Intelligence 

Pets

Ghostbusters

Star Trek 3

Ice Age 5

Bourne 5

Bad Moms

Suicide Squad

Sausage Patty 

 

 

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