Weekend Thread | Saturday Asgrard pg 28 or 29 DS 32 Trolls 19 HR 5.8

[Arlborn]

7 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Is BOM generally down or only for my position? I try since around 10 minutes to access the website.

It's working fine for me...

[cannastop]

10 minutes ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

I really hope DS makes a ton of money this weekend. It'll have to face huge and intense competition next weekend, and you know who.

 

I wouldn't be surprised with a 60% drop for Strange next weekend.

According to Box Office Mojo:

 

Friday
11

NEW IN THEATERS	DISTRIBUTOR	RELEASE
Almost Christmas Comedy	Universal	2,200+
Arrival Sci-Fi	Paramount	2,200
Shut In Thriller	EuropaCorp	1,850

 

Doesn't look like intense competition to me. Doctor Strange is probably going to win this weekend.

[Mojoguy]

For now DS fri 29-31m

All Hail RTH!

So Thor 2 sized opening day. I'm expecting over Thor 2's 85m OW now since, DS isn't a sequel!

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

So, big chance it misses 200m by just a little bit after all? I guess that would put it right into my prediction from months ago but well, way too early to tell i suppose.

With this start I don't see how.

[DealWithIt]

Arrival will be interesting to see how it performs next weekend. Reviews are through the roof positive, even the average rating is up at 8.7/10 after 54 reviews over on RT. Hope it does well, smart sci-fi being successful would be fantastic. 

Edited November 4, 2016 by DealWithIt

[filmlover]

Just now, DealWithIt said:

Arrival will be interesting to see how it performs next weekend. Reviews are through the roof positive, even the average rating is up at 8.7/10 over on RT. Hope it does well, smart sci-fi being successful would be fantastic. 

I'm curious to see how it fares WOM wise given that it's apparently more of a drama with sci-fi elements than a straight up sci-fi movie like the marketing is promising.

[MovieMan89]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

With this start I don't see how.

Well it looks to be following Thor 2 fairly similarly so far, except possibly more frontloaded if late night is any indication. So since Thor 2 barely made 200, this certainly could miss it. You would think WOM would be significantly better though, but then again as I said I'm not sure WOM is really showing in MCU legs anymore. 

[filmlover]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

Well it looks to be following Thor 2 fairly similarly so far, except possibly more frontloaded if late night is any indication. So since Thor 2 barely made 200, this certainly could miss it. You would think WOM would be significantly better though, but then again as I said I'm not sure WOM is really showing in MCU legs anymore. 

This isn't (really) a sequel like Thor 2 though, plus reactions seem much more favorable for this movie than it was for that one.

[Mojoguy]

This isn't (really) a sequel like Thor 2 though, plus reactions seem much more favorable for this movie than it was for that one.

Yeah, Thor 2 had VERY mixed reactions. It faded pretty quickly after its OW. DS will do better.

[Mojoguy]

Also Thor 2 faced much stronger competition with Catching Fire and Frozen.

[miketheavenger]

I still don't think Strange will have great legs even with awesome word-of-mouth due to a packed holiday season. IMO it needs to hit 90+ to have a chance at $250m total, but since this is Marvel we're talking about I'm probably wrong and it'll have Ant-Man legs.  

[Mojoguy]

To be fair, Civl War was a sequel to BOTH Avengers 2 and Captain America 2, so it was bound to be more frontloaded. That movie isn't a good comparison for DS.

[moviesRus]

 

 

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya  4m4 minutes ago

Opening day FRI for #DoctorStrange heading to about $30-31M area.

[vc2002]

DC now

[Maxmoser3]

$30-$31 million OD could result in a $80-$85 million OW. A total of $220 million shouldn't be too bad for Doctor Strange. 

[WrathOfHan]

Assuming an 80M OW, this is how I think the movie's run turns out:

 

Nov 4: 80M (18M weekdays, 98M Total)

Nov 11: 37.5M (11M weekdays, 146.5M Total)

Nov 18: 17M (10M weekdays, 173.5M Total)

Nov 26: 13.9M (4.5M weekdays, 191.9M Total)

Dec 2: 7.7M (2.7M weekdays, 202.3M Total)

Dec 9: 4.6M (1.6M weekdays, 208.5M Total)

Dec 15: 2.3M (1M weekdays, 211.8M Total)

Dec 23: 2M (1.2M weekdays, 215M Total)

Jan 1: 1.6M (1M weekdays, 217.6M Total)
Jan 8: 1M (400k weekdays, 219M Total)

 

Final Total: 222M (2.77x)

[Dementeleus]

49 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

All Hail RTH!

So Thor 2 sized opening day. I'm expecting over Thor 2's 85m OW now since, DS isn't a sequel!

 

DS had higher previews, no? Which would mean a slightly smaller Friday (assuming numbers stay the same).

[efialtes76]

7 minutes ago, vc2002 said:

DC now

Wrong thread...

[Kraken]

Does it really matter if DS is a sequel or not? It seems like a lot of watchers flock to it asap due to its shared universe anyway.

[mahnamahna]

34 minutes ago, cannastop said:

According to Box Office Mojo:

 

Friday
11

NEW IN THEATERS	DISTRIBUTOR	RELEASE
Almost Christmas Comedy	Universal	2,200+
Arrival Sci-Fi	Paramount	2,200
Shut In Thriller	EuropaCorp	1,850

 

Doesn't look like intense competition to me. Doctor Strange is probably going to win this weekend.

 

With how low Arrival's theater count is and Shut In looking at a sub-$5 million OW, I'd say everything should hold solidly (Hacksaw and Trolls especially).

 

I'm thinking (off a $77 million OW for Doctor Strange, a $44 million OW for Trolls and a $13 million OW for Hacksaw Ridge):

1. Doctor Strange: $36 million ($133 million) 
2. Trolls: $33.5 million ($87 million) 
3. Arrival: $22 million 
4. Almost Christmas: $18.5 million 
5. Hacksaw Ridge: $16.5 million ($37 million)