Weekend Numbers: Fantastic Beasts 75M, Strange 17.6M, Trolls 17.5M, Arrival 11.8M, Edge of 17 4.8M, Bleed 2.35M, Billy Lynn 930k

[DAJK]

Ugh I'm actually so mad right now. I hate when box office can make my physically angry :/

[kswiston]

8 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya

 

60M seems awfully lowball to me.

 

He's probably trying to account for the HP die hards. Deathly Hallows 1's midnights counted for 19% of the weekend gross. if Beasts followed that path it would stall at $45M. $60M would be in between HP frontloadedness and regular frontloadedness.

[terrestrial]

Ahh, Ian spoke about OS

 

BoxOffice ‏@BoxOffice 2 Min.Vor 2 Minuten

#FantasticBeasts Takes $8.75M Thursday in North America, Enters Weekend with $32.2M Worldwide

[WrathOfHan]

75

41

16.4

9.7

4.4

2.6

2.3

 

151.4M from weekends through Christmas alone. It should still get to 200M with a 75M OW.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

They'll probably go back to their original 3 movie plan and call it a day. Last thing we need is another Divergent happening.

 

FB underperforming is actually great news for Hailee, have you checked the movie yet? 

[JohnnyGossamer]

Who'd have thought Marvel Studios foray into the magic with Strange would possibly resonate more with DOM audiences than spinoff to Potter, set in the same universe with Rowling as the story/screenwriter, David "Potter" Yates directing and Heyman still essentially as the show-runner. Could be very interesting to see which grosses more DOM.

[Amadeus]

How many fun weekends are left this year with Baumer's (in)famous club breaking out? 
Eyes are on Moana and Sing. Otherwise this year is steeping downhill.

[RyneOh1040]

1 minute ago, Mockingjay Raphael said:

Jesus Christ, and I thought that MJ2 was a flop last year. It actually may not even surpass Divergent's total despite having 3D, insane. 

lol this is nuts.  There is no way this misses 150.  Even if it opens to 'only' 70 there's no reason it would have a 2 multiplier over the holidays. Zero chance.  The number is lower than I wanted but we all need to calm down and see how this plays out.  If it truly does end up in the lower 60 range that's when we panic.

[filmlover]

Just now, Mockingjay Raphael said:

 

FB underperforming is actually great news for Hailee, have you checked the movie yet? 

Tomorrow (along with Nocturnal Animals)!

 

Fantastic Beasts is tonight. Eh.

[JohnnyGossamer]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

75

41

16.4

9.7

4.4

2.6

2.3

 

151.4M from weekends through Christmas alone. It should still get to 200M with a 75M OW.

Still thinking $225M is a distinct possibly. Agree very much.

[John Marston]

Um why wouldn't this be frontloaded? Why would anyone except die hard Potter fans be interested in this?

[FilmBuff]

1 minute ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Who'd have thought Marvel Studios foray into the magic with Strange would possibly resonate more with DOM audiences than spinoff to Potter, set in the same universe with Rowling as the story/screenwriter, David "Potter" Yates directing and Heyman still essentially as the show-runner. Could be very interesting to see which grosses more DOM.

 

DS has it beat. Don't think WOM for FB will be quite as strong. 

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

Who'd have thought Marvel Studios foray into the magic with Strange would possibly resonate more with DOM audiences than spinoff to Potter, set in the same universe with Rowling as the story/screenwriter, David "Potter" Yates directing and Heyman still essentially as the show-runner. Could be very interesting to see which grosses more DOM.

This was never going to fully overcome the stigma of being a Harry Potter movie without Harry or any of the other popular characters.

[terrestrial]

Exhibitor Relations ‏@ERCboxoffice 1 Min.Vor 1 Minute

FANTASTIC BEASTS added 38 markets overseas yesterday, grossing $16M, 2-day int'l total is $23M. OZ ($2.1M) RUS ($1.7M) BRZ ($1.3M) GER ($1M)

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Disappointing  

[WrathOfHan]

Isn't @James seeing the movie right now? He's going to be pissed when he gets out.

[grey ghost]

So basically the hardcore fans accounted for the high pre-sales.

 

The general public wasn't really interested in a spin off, period piece.

[Heretic]

25m OD would be so underwhelming. Where is everyone? 

[WrathOfHan]

I'm curious what would have happened if Strange and Beasts swapped release dates.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

4 minutes ago, RyneOh1040 said:

lol this is nuts.  There is no way this misses 150.  Even if it opens to 'only' 70 there's no reason it would have a 2 multiplier over the holidays. Zero chance.  The number is lower than I wanted but we all need to calm down and see how this plays out.  If it truly does end up in the lower 60 range that's when we panic.

 

I'm thinking in $65m and a 2.4x multiple for now.