Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

[dxmatrixdt]

$1000 PSA looks better for Hacksaw!

[yjs]

3 minutes ago, Heretic said:

FB just keeps exceeding expectations. 18.9m. What a beautiful week it has had. 

 

And lol at people panicking about Moana. It's having the 2nd biggest 5-day thanksgiving opening of all time. 

wellllp not that big of a feat if you think about it when Tangled's the 4th biggest and TGD's the 5th.

but then again, we did get too greedy by that unexpected previews number

 

[dxmatrixdt]

 Bad Santa 2  (BG/MX), 2,900 Theaters / $1.58M Wed. (includes $330k previews)/$1.3M Thurs (-16%)/$2.1M Fri/ 3-day cume: $5.6M /5-day: $8.2M/Wk 1

 

Too low for Bad Santa 2.  I would not recommend using this # for estimates.

[dxmatrixdt]

holy crap at ALMOST CHRISTMAS!

[Jason]

19 minutes ago, yjs said:

maybe we could find out by watching how it performs in the southern hemisphere

 

Just checked Frozen's performance real quick, just in the English-speaking countries for now. Will be interesting to do a northern hemisphere vs. southern hemisphere analysis comparing Frozen and Moana at the end of its run.

 

Figures in US$ millions, to normalize the grosses, I calculated a percentage of the gross box office (I used 2014, but 2013 wouldn't have made much difference):

Quote

Market	Total	% GBO
Domestic	$400.7	3.9%
United Kingdom	$64.7	3.7%
Australia	$26.7	2.8%
New Zealand	$4.4	2.9%

 

Edited November 26, 2016 by Jason

[dxmatrixdt]

7). Almost Christmas  (UNI), 1,868 theaters (-511) / $811K Wed. /$1.2M (+36%) Thurs/$2.4M Fri/ 3-day cume: $6.1M (-11%)/5-day: $7.95M/Total: $35.1M/ Wk 3

 

It has Thursday @ 1.2 when BOM is at 1.1........

[POTUS 2020]

5 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

 Bad Santa 2  (BG/MX), 2,900 Theaters / $1.58M Wed. (includes $330k previews)/$1.3M Thurs (-16%)/$2.1M Fri/ 3-day cume: $5.6M /5-day: $8.2M/Wk 1

 

Too low for Bad Santa 2.  I would not recommend using this # for estimates.

 

Youre good at holiday time. just like last xmas when we got started

Derby

1		Matrix4You	93.94
2		TalismanRing	93.26
3		Bates	93.17
4		Exxdee	92.75
5		Simionski	92.11
6		POTUS	91.67
7		boxofficeth	90.52
8		Jason	90.28
9		Ash Skywalker	89.72
10		8wombi7	89.66
11		Fancyarcher	89.65
12		Rolling Thunder	88.38
13		PanaMovie	88.14
14		moviecriticguy	88.1
15		JMorphin	87.89
16		cannastop	87.53
17		darkelf	87.05
18		Tower	85.96
19		Wildbill	85.7
20		Padre	85.61

 

 

 

[Xavier]

Very happy about Beasts, a WOM work for sure.

[terrestrial]

28 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

5.5 vs 5.4

not looking good for Dr Strange...

 

It looks like it will be a couple of mils higher at this Sunday than I hoped for last weekend = why?

[James]

That Beasts number is insane!

[dxmatrixdt]

Fantastic Beasts after 2 weeks > Doctor Strange after 2 weeks.  The race to 225 and the push to 240-250 begins

[DAJK]

 

[MovieMan89]

28 minutes ago, ttr said:

Ok, I assume you have been following BO longer than I have. I stand corrected.

Sorry if it came off smug, wasn't trying to. Just meant that movies with a christmas and winter themes in particular have always been released during the holiday because they just feel out of place other times of year. Then again, you have places like Cali where it's basically summer all year long so maybe to them it's a non-factor. 

Edited November 26, 2016 by MovieMan89

[wildphantom]

I think it's pretty irrefutable that Beasts' great hold has eaten into a small bite of what Moana would have done. 

 

Word of mouth has escalated through the week and families who perhaps didn't check out FB last weekend have gone this weekend. They'll still see Moana too, which I'm expecting will hold well, into late January. 

[dxmatrixdt]

to be fair, Moana whipped FB pretty bad Wednesday

[Noctis]

8 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

to be fair, Moana whipped FB pretty bad Wednesday

 

You're not making much sense.

[eXtacy]

FB should finish around 220m. Which is great coming off 74m debut.

[jj99]

Lion (TWC) 4 theaters/$46K Fri/$33,6K PTA/3-day: $135K/Wk 1

 

Yesss that PTA

 

Legend will get another Hit.

[FantasticBeasts]

Fantastic Beasts may very well end up dropping less than 40% second weeked..That's insane! 750m is already locked...If  Chinese/Japanese numbers were a tad better I would have been calling 800m...Now it will a little more difficult but still doable.

That's a preety solid start for a whole new franchise and I can see this growing even more in the next movies..I am so glad that JK made something completely new instead of taking Harry Ron and Hermoine back again and again. All in all, although not as goog as Potter at its peak, FB is a movie that you cannot dislike. Such an enjoyable film full of action and humour.

Edited November 26, 2016 by FantasticBeasts

[FantasticBeasts]

32 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

to be fair, Moana whipped FB pretty bad Wednesday

Trolling I guess?