Weekend Thread | Official Estimates: Moana - 55.5/81.1M; Fantastic Beasts - 45.1M; Doctor Strange - 13.4M; Allied - 13/18M; Arrival - 11.3M; Trolls - 10.3M; Bad Santa 2 - 6.1/9M

[BoxOfficeZ]

20 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

 

Trolls: $6.99 

Moana: $15.99 

 

Does iTunes take into account total sales made or just total number of soundtracks sold when doing their ranking? 

 

Moana was definitely a very lovely film. Might go see it again. 

[Ethan Hunt]

Granted I haven't heard any of it in the context of the movie but the songs from Moana seem pretty weak

[efialtes76]

30 minutes ago, La Binoche said:

Edge of 17 can become a B-level teen classic, like Some Kind of Wonderful (which I personally like better than Mean Girls). 

 

 

More like The Perks of being a Wallflower(amazing movie)

[terrestrial]

Forbes article about this 5-day, incl comparisons to e.g. Frozen...

http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2016/11/26/moana-tops-black-friday-box-office-brad-pitts-allied-continues-to-underperform/#6c750c9f505a

 

[efialtes76]

Huge $21.8M FRI for #Moana heading to $54M area for FRI-SUN & 5day debut of about $80M. May be among Top 3 #Thanksgiving debuts of all-time.

https://twitter.com/GiteshPandya

Edited November 26, 2016 by efialtes76

[terrestrial]

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya 

Huge $21.8M FRI for #Moana heading to $54M area for FRI-SUN & 5day debut of about $80M. May be among Top 3 #Thanksgiving debuts of all-time.

[La Binoche]

Serial killer vibes 

 

http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/5e0887272964be6b258946209a00ffa2?s=400&d=mm&r=g

 

 

 

 

[terrestrial]

1 minute ago, La Binoche said:

Serial killer vibes

http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/5e0887272964be6b258946209a00ffa2?s=400&d=mm&r=g

Me = faceblind, but I think I know who he is, as the posture is a bit unusual.

If that is the Forbes guy = my son says he looks like he is enjoying it to play pranks

[UrosepsisFace]

While I agree that WOM is helping Fantastic Beasts and that casual Potter fans are coming late to the game, I still feel like many are not taking into consideration the aging fan base. There are many diehard Potterheads who just have too many responsibilities to go to the theater yet. Imagine how many teens at the height of Potterfandom are now possibly parents working in the retail or service industries. Many were not allowed vacation over TG weekend, and won't even have time over Christmas. You're looking at many fans who want to watch the movie but won't even have time till 2017. Sure, twitter-buzz is showing very strong WOM, but some of even the most fanatic Potterfans have yet to be represented and could help late legs.

[POTUS 2020]

Rank*	Title	Friday 11/25 (Estimates)	Saturday 11/26	Sunday 11/27	Monday 11/28
1	MOANA Buena Vista 3,875	$21,826,000 +120.4% / $5,633 $47,411,000 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Warner Bros. 4,144	$18,550,000 +92.3% / $4,476 $129,678,123 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	DOCTOR STRANGE Buena Vista 3,008	$5,435,000 +116.5% / $1,807 $197,159,475 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	ALLIED Paramount 3,160	$4,940,000 +112.7% / $1,563 $9,962,000 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	ARRIVAL Paramount 2,442	$4,515,000 +102.5% / $1,849 $55,652,300 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	TROLLS Fox 3,322	$4,200,000 +240.1% / $1,264 $128,996,662 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	ALMOST CHRISTMAS Universal 1,769	$2,310,000 +110% / $1,306 $31,388,865 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	BAD SANTA 2 Broad Green Pictures 2,920	$2,295,000 +68.8% / $786 $5,219,533 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	HACKSAW RIDGE Lionsgate 2,332	$2,240,000 +94.8% / $961 $49,038,382 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	THE EDGE OF SEVENTEEN STX Entertainment 1,945	$1,140,000 +115.1% / $586 $8,453,770 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	LOVING  Focus Features 421	$613,000 +202% / $1,456 $2,985,771 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	RULES DON'T APPLY Fox 2,382	$600,000 +110.5% / $252 $1,200,000 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE ACCOUNTANT Warner Bros. 556	$420,000 +100% / $755 $82,603,144 / 43	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	BLEED FOR THIS Open Road Films 1,549	$363,111 +87.3% / $234 $3,666,815 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A

 

[kayumanggi]

Variety is saying 18.6 M for FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM.

[Arlborn]

9 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

Gitesh Pandya ‏@GiteshPandya 

Huge $21.8M FRI for #Moana heading to $54M area for FRI-SUN & 5day debut of about $80M. May be among Top 3 #Thanksgiving debuts of all-time.

He calls it "huge"

 

Meanwhile at BOT...

 

 

 

Yup, that's BOT alright.

[Finnick]

 

Rank*	Title	Friday 11/25 (Estimates)	Saturday 11/26	Sunday 11/27	Monday 11/28
1	MOANA Buena Vista 3,875	$21,826,000 +120.4% / $5,633 $47,411,000 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
2	FANTASTIC BEASTS AND WHERE TO FIND THEM Warner Bros. 4,144	$18,550,000 +92.3% / $4,476 $129,678,123 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
3	DOCTOR STRANGE Buena Vista 3,008	$5,435,000 +116.5% / $1,807 $197,159,475 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
4	ALLIED Paramount 3,160	$4,940,000 +112.7% / $1,563 $9,962,000 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
5	ARRIVAL Paramount 2,442	$4,515,000 +102.5% / $1,849 $55,652,300 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
6	TROLLS Fox 3,322	$4,200,000 +240.1% / $1,264 $128,996,662 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
7	ALMOST CHRISTMAS Universal 1,769	$2,310,000 +110% / $1,306 $31,388,865 / 15	N/A	N/A	N/A
8	BAD SANTA 2 Broad Green Pictures 2,920	$2,295,000 +68.8% / $786 $5,219,533 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
9	HACKSAW RIDGE Lionsgate 2,332	$2,240,000 +94.8% / $961 $49,038,382 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
10	THE EDGE OF SEVENTEEN STX Entertainment 1,945	$1,140,000 +115.1% / $586 $8,453,770 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
11	LOVING Focus Features 421	$613,000 +202% / $1,456 $2,985,771 / 22	N/A	N/A	N/A
12	RULES DON'T APPLY Fox 2,382	$600,000 +110.5% / $252 $1,200,000 / 3	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	THE ACCOUNTANT Warner Bros. 556	$420,000 +100% / $755 $82,603,144 / 43	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	BLEED FOR THIS Open Road Films 1,549	$363,111 +87.3% / $234 $3,666,815 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	NOCTURNAL ANIMALS Focus Features 126	$314,000 +170.7% / $2,492 $1,166,834 / 8	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	JACK REACHER: NEVER GO BACK Paramount 345	$137,000 +82.7% / $397 $57,192,613 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A
-	BOO! A MADEA HALLOWEEN Lionsgate 339	$136,000 +119.4% / $401 $72,641,654 / 36	N/A	N/A	N/A

 

 

[kswiston]

After this weekend, Doctor Strange will hit $225M if it simply matches Thor The Dark World's post-Thanksgiving weekend total.

 

Anything over $233M gives Strange the best superhero legs of the year (topping Deadpool's OW multiplier). Seems doable. 

 

[Finnick]

9 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

He calls it "huge"

 

Meanwhile at BOT...

 

 

 

Yup, that's BOT alright.

OMG, that's the best comment since this thread started!!!!

[terrestrial]

 

9 minutes ago, Finnick said:

- snip -

 

Just in case

if you want to see the 'single day' with the 'last week' comparison, there is a 'single day' tab at the top of the chart

Or use this:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?sortdate=2016-11-25&view=1day&p=.htm

 

Have fun!

[Dingdong123]

Welp. So Rth's Moana estimate remained instrad of Deadline's.

 

lemme just hope for the best on this Moana run.

[MinaTakla]

New DHD projections chart is up. 

Interesting that ARRIVAL has the best increase from last Friday with a great +32% increase from last Fri. Expected drop is now -7% or less, making it once again the best in the top 5 and 10. Also, ARRIVAL's PTA remains highest in top 10 except MOANA and FB. Second best increase goes to HACKSAW with an +18% from last Fri and a drop around -10-15%. Once again, this and ARRIVAL's WOM seems to be helping both films so far.

 

1). Moana  (DIS), 3,875 Theaters / $15.7M Wed. (includes $2.6M previews)/Thurs. $9.9M (-37%)/$21.8M Fri (+127%)/ 3-day cume: $54.7M /5-day: $80.4M/Wk 1

2). Fantastic Beasts…  (WB), 4,144 theaters / $11.1M Wed./Thurs. $9.6M (-12%)/$18.5M Fri. (+93%)/ 3-day cume: $44.6M (-40%)/5-day: $65.3M/Total: $155.8M/Wk 2

3).Doctor Strange  (DIS), 3,008 theaters (-686) / $3M Wed. / $2.5M (-17%) Thurs./$5.4M Fri (+118%)/3-day cume: $13.5M (-24%) /5-day:$19M/Total cume: $205.2M/Wk 4

4). Allied (PAR), 3,160 Theaters / $2.7M Wed. (includes $600k previews)/ $2.3M (-14%) Thur. $2.3m (-14%)/$4.9M Fri (+109%)/3-day cume: $12.6M /5-day: $16.9M/Wk 1

5). Arrival  (PAR), 2,442 theaters (+107)/ $2.1M Wed./ $2.2M (+5%) Thurs./$4.6M Fri (+109%)/3-day cume: $11.2M (-7%)/5-day: $15.5M/Total:$62.3M/ Wk 3

6.) Trolls  (DWA/20^th Century Fox), 3,378 theaters (-567) / $2.66M Wed. / $1.25M Thurs (-54%)/$4.3M Fri (+244%)/3-day cume: $10.7M (-39%) /5-day: $14.7M/Total Cume: $135.5M/Wk 4

7). Almost Christmas  (UNI), 1,868 theaters (-511) / $811K Wed. /$1.2M (+36%) Thurs/$2.4M Fri (+100%)/ 3-day cume: $6.1M (-15%)/5-day: $7.95M/Total: $35.1M/ Wk 3

8). Hacksaw Ridge  (Lionsgate), 2,418 theaters (-465) / $1.1M Wed.  /$1.15M (+5%) Thurs/$2.35M Fri (+104%)/$5.6M (-15%) 3-day (-55%)/5-day:$7.9M/Total: $52.4M/ Wk 4

 Bad Santa 2  (BG/MX), 2,900 Theaters / $1.58M Wed. (includes $330k previews)/$1.3M Thurs (-16%)/$2.3M Fri (+77%)/ 3-day cume: $5.8M /5-day: $8.5M/Wk 1

10.) The Edge of Seventeen (STX) 1,945 theaters/ $733K Wed../$528K (-28%) Thurs./$1.1M Fri (+108%)/3-day: $2.9M (-40%)/5-day $4.1M/Total: $10.1M/wk 2

11.)  Rules Don’t Apply (FOX), 2,382 Theaters / $308k Wed. (includes $65k previews)/ $279k (-9%) Thurs./$598K Fri (+114%)/3-day cume: $1.5M /5-day: $2.1M/Wk 1

 

Edited November 26, 2016 by MinaTakla

[Jake Gittes]

-

BILLY LYNN'S LONG HALFTIME WALK TriStar 1,176

$80,000 +27% / $68 $1,463,724 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A

[filmlover]

Moana is looking to be closer to Tangled than to Frozen but is still doing great. Allied is gonna be yet another write-down for Paramount, Bad Santa 2 is another lame comedy sequel no one asked for performing accordingly, and the numbers for Rules Don't Apply are just embarrassing.