Weekend numbers. Moana 28.3 | FB 18.5 | Arrival 7.3 | Allied 7 | DS 6.8 | Trolls 4.6 | Hacksaw 3.4

[terrestrial]

Just now, FantasticBeasts said:

trolling?

IMHO Steve Jaros, JonathanLB, IronJimbo, and Gorki and a thousand number all tend to write against / opposing to what the majority states.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, Christmas Baumer said:

I will throw one small caveat in there. If the Oscars feel that someone is due, in other words they've been nominated 5 or 6 times and should have won by now, then chances are they will throw him a bone and finally give him a win. Amy Adams is due just like Leonardo DiCaprio was due last year.

The "due factor" takes a good 20 years to kick in. Like Pacino, Scorsese  and Leo to name few.

Or maybe that's just for Italians...

Venti Anni, stai bene!

Edited December 3, 2016 by POTUS

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, Grand Moff Tele said:

Isabelle Huppert deserves to win. I have a hard time imagining Stone giving a better performance (not that this means anything for the Oscars, of course). Adams was good, sure. Huppert is otherworldly.  

Haven't seen the film, but I say best of luck to her even getting the nom. Stone and Portman are locks, Bening and Adams are Oscar darlings and therefore near-locks, and the academy wouldn't dare exclude Negga after last year's controversy, especially if Edgerton gets the nom. 

[FantasticBeasts]

So 5m it is... Does FB still have a chance of doing +18m??Can someone provide data using THG multiplier for example?

[Finnick]

@terrestrial Max 20, LOL

 

TD	YD	Title (Click to View)	Studio	Daily Gross	% +/- YD / LW		Theaters / Avg		Gross To-Date	Day
1	1	Moana	BV	$6,447,000	+234%	-70%	3,875	$1,664	$97,962,330	10
2	2	Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them	WB	$5,040,000	+167%	-73%	3,988	$1,264	$170,002,403	15
3	3	Allied	Par.	$2,175,000	+153%	-56%	3,160	$688	$24,052,432	10
4	4	Arrival	Par.	$2,070,000	+184%	-54%	2,915	$710	$67,848,514	22
5	5	Doctor Strange	BV	$1,748,000	+156%	-68%	2,935	$596	$210,571,177	29
6	8	Trolls	Fox	$995,000	+256%	-76%	3,156	$315	$137,766,445	29
7	7	Hacksaw Ridge	LGF	$990,000	+183%	-56%	2,494	$397	$54,854,956	29
8	6	Bad Santa 2	BG	$965,000	+145%	-58%	2,945	$328	$11,966,044	10
9	-	Incarnate	HTR	$915,000	-	-	1,737	$527	$915,000	1
10	9	Almost Christmas	Uni.	$696,000	+264%	-70%	1,556	$447	$36,343,150	22
11	-	Manchester by the Sea	RAtt.	$666,000	+494%	+48%	156	$4,269	$2,725,943	15
12	10	The Edge of Seventeen	STX	$520,000	+190%	-55%	1,608	$323	$11,628,490	15
-	-	The Accountant	WB	$220,000	+265%	-47%	608	$362	$83,715,470	50
-	12	Rules Don't Apply	Fox	$179,000	+50%	-70%	2,386	$75	$2,946,655	10
-	-	Believe (2016)	Free	$168,900	-	-	639	$264	$168,900	1
-	-	Jackie	FoxS	$90,742	-	-	5	$18,148	$90,742	1
-	-	Bleed for This	ORF	$84,871	+27%	-77%	649	$131	$4,637,061	15
-	-	Jack Reacher: Never Go Back	Par.	$66,000	+169%	-55%	298	$221	$57,600,104	43
-	-	Boo! A Madea Halloween	LGF	$34,000	+253%	-74%	235	$145	$72,898,754	43
-	-	Deepwater Horizon	LG/S	$32,000	+134%	-54%	166	$193	$61,205,034	64

 

[filmlover]

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Haven't seen the film, but I say best of luck to her even getting the nom. Stone and Portman are locks, Bening and Adams are Oscar darlings and therefore near-locks, and the academy wouldn't dare exclude Negga after last year's controversy, especially if Edgerton gets the nom. 

Loving is looking more and more like a nonstarter.

[Dementeleus]

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Haven't seen the film, but I say best of luck to her even getting the nom. Stone and Portman are locks, Bening and Adams are Oscar darlings and therefore near-locks, and the academy wouldn't dare exclude Negga after last year's controversy, especially if Edgerton gets the nom. 

 

It'll be their loss for not acknowledging her. 

[filmlover]

I think Huppert is in tbh. She's campaigning pretty hard. For now I think the lineup is Adams/Bening/Huppert/Portman/Stone.

[MovieMan89]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Loving is looking more and more like a nonstarter.

Nah, it's Oscar bait to a tee and got good enough reception. The Academy will go for it.  

[filmlover]

Just now, MovieMan89 said:

Nah, it's Oscar bait to a tee and got good enough reception. The Academy will go for it.  

I haven't seen it yet but everyone I know who has has said that it's very...quiet. Makes falling through the cracks pretty easy.

[TalismanRing]

24 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Not trolling, so maybe I just don't know about post-TG drops?

What I do know is that many were predicting that Moana would beat Fantastic Beasts DOM while I said FB would beat it pretty big, and that looks more likely now. Moana isn't going to be a Frozen, more like ... I don't know, Tangled? Wreck it Ralph? Maybe a stretch to Big Hero 6? Maybe hits $200m DOM? I don't see why anyone thinks that is a sure thing. 

 

 

It's projected to drop about 47% post Thanksgiving while Frozen dropped 53%, Tangled dropped -55.7% and Toy Story 2 dropped 51.7%. FB is dropping about 61%

 

After this w/e Moana is $25m+ higher than Tangled that finished with $200m and $5m+ higher than Toy Story 2 which finished with $245m.

 

Moanoa's 2nd wide weekend  is projected to be 40% higher than Tangled and about 10% higher than TS2.   Tangled went on to make post this w/e $104m more and TS2 $130m more. 

 

If it only made as much as either of those two movies going forward without accounting for it's larger weekend and better holds it would finish at $225-250m.   It will make more.

 

 

Edited December 3, 2016 by TalismanRing

[filmlover]

 

[Lumos]

Fantastic Beats was basically matching DH1's dailies all week. With that Friday increase it has now comfortably started to surpass its dailies. Assuming this trend continues 235-240m looks like where this will end up. I think that's absolutely fantastic! No one should be disappointed with this number.....post thanksgiving is one of the worst weekends for drops. Not even FB will be immune. Should do around 18m this weekend. 

Edited December 3, 2016 by Lumos

[MovieMan89]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I haven't seen it yet but everyone I know who has has said that it's very...quiet. Makes falling through the cracks pretty easy.

It doesn't have to be an audience film though for the Academy to go for it. Just seems way too up their alley and critical reception was strong. If it gets a BP nom it would seem odd for the leads not to be nommed since it seems to be a movie that completely relies on two performances. 

[baumer]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

The ghost of Peter O'Toole would like to have a word with you.

 

He didn't campaign hard enough of pissed off enough people that no one cared enough to vote for him.

[grim22]

Did Billy Lynn get pulled from theaters? No TC info or Friday #s for it.

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

It doesn't have to be an audience film though for the Academy to go for it. Just seems way too up their alley and critical reception was strong. If it gets a BP nom it would seem odd for the leads not to be nommed since it seems to be a movie that completely relies on two performances. 

Neither Edgerton and Negga are looking strong for noms at the moment. FYI my current actor predictions are Affleck/Garfield (for Hacksaw Ridge)/Gosling/Hanks/Washington with Edgerton and Wahlberg (the "!shock!" nom if Patriots Day really ends up taking off) on the outside looking in.

[filmlover]

Just now, grim22 said:

Did Billy Lynn get pulled from theaters? No TC info or Friday #s for it.

Every single theater around me dropped it after shafting it to 1 show a day everywhere. Wouldn't surprise me if they just yanked it.

[FantasticBeasts]

25 minutes ago, Lumos said:

Fantastic Beats was basically matching DH1's dailies all week. With that Friday increase it has now comfortably started to surpass its dailies. Assuming this trend continues 235-240m looks like where this will end up. I think that's absolutely fantastic! No one should be disappointed with this number.....post thanksgiving is one of the worst weekends for drops. Not even FB will be immune. Should do around 18m this weekend. 

240m feels excellent to me. After the OW I was just hoping this would pass 200m. It really exceeded my expectations.

With 240m DOM, more-or-less 140m from Japan and Chine this would need 420m fro all the other territories to reach 800m which doesn't feel out of the question at all. 

750-800m should be the case which is GREAT. I am hopeful that the sequels will do better. The first movie felt like an introduction, the intresting points of th plot seem to be coming. When it's all said and done, Wiarding World will be reaally benefited from this franchise.

Edited December 3, 2016 by FantasticBeasts

[terrestrial]

9 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Did Billy Lynn get pulled from theaters? No TC info or Friday #s for it.

Sony didn't provide any est. it seems, no The Magnificent 7, Inferno,... neither

Other distributors also do not/didn't give weekend / Friday estimates, depending on what/how much they offer actually.