Valonqar Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, stripe said: This is one of the most exciting races. Fierce competition, huge contenders behind the top 5. My line-up, ATM Sally Hawkins (stellar reviews in a BP contender) Frances Mc Dormand (stellar reviews in a BP contender) Margot Robbie (breakout performance, ina prestige film + biopic) Meryl Streep (goddess. Living legend. In a prestige film likely nom. December hype. Biopic) Saoirse Ronan (making history. They really love her. Stellar reviews. In a BP contender) I think this is our line-up. The Post trailer has just confirmed what we knew already that Meryl is in so that's that. I'd just add to Saoirse advantage that her movie is directed by a woman and this year with HarveyGate is going to reap advantages for movies about women, directed by women, etc. heck, The Post trailer is big on "men try to destroy a brave woman but she fights back, saves the country from government oppression". So yeah, it's a big point for Saoirse. Edited November 8, 2017 by Valonqar 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stripe Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 This is woman's year, and I am really happy with that. Usually, the Best Actress lineup was filled with minor films without more than a couple of noms. This year we have a possible Best Picture lineup with a healthy portion of leading woman films: The Post, Shape of Water, Lady Bird, 3 billboards... And maybe I, Tonya. Even Wonder Woman could take a lot of noms. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ithil Posted November 17, 2017 Share Posted November 17, 2017 This year is a tough one. There is no one standout above the rest this time that's dominating chatter. Fronrunners will be clearer after various critic awards are out but I feel like for this category they're going to be pretty varied this time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 last year, out of 5 nominees, 2 have won before for best actress, and 3 never won with 2 never even get nominated. same goes to 88th oscar, 2 out of 5 have never been nominated, that is still the same for 87th oscar. When we look at the potential list this year, the list are full of past winner or nominees, is it really a case that no newcomers to sneak into the race this year? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 50 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: last year, out of 5 nominees, 2 have won before for best actress, and 3 never won with 2 never even get nominated. same goes to 88th oscar, 2 out of 5 have never been nominated, that is still the same for 87th oscar. When we look at the potential list this year, the list are full of past winner or nominees, is it really a case that no newcomers to sneak into the race this year? Margot Robbie stands the strongest chance among newcomers entering this category. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 2, 2017 Share Posted December 2, 2017 Ronan Streep McDormand Robbie Hawkins (in that order) are the likely actress noms. If somebody else starts getting awards attention, id take out Hawkins. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted December 4, 2017 Share Posted December 4, 2017 Dench looks like a distant 6th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 Replace Dench with Streep in the SAG line-up and those are our nominees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 Sally Hawkins for all awards. She really kills it in The Shape of Water. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 15 minutes ago, filmlover said: Sally Hawkins for all awards. She really kills it in The Shape of Water. I’m starting to think that maybe she’s our winner. It’s a very unique type of role, yet she’s always been able to add subtlety and nuance to anything she can do. The big threat may be seeing how The Post does, but I’d feel safe putting her above Ronan and McDormand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 Michelle Williams is getting really fantastic ink for All the Money in the World. Too bad Actress is so stacked and the movie is landing so late for her to really kick anyone out. Maybe Robbie? I don't know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 10 hours ago, filmlover said: Michelle Williams is getting really fantastic ink for All the Money in the World. Too bad Actress is so stacked and the movie is landing so late for her to really kick anyone out. Maybe Robbie? I don't know. At this rate, she'd kick out Streep; notable snubs and so-so reviews might lead to that surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 12:41 PM, WrathOfHan said: Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul Jennifer Lawrence, mother! Meryl Streep, The Post Kate Winslet, Wonder Wheel Probably not Probably not even with the SAG nomination Yes FLOP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 On 3/14/2017 at 4:56 PM, slambros said: Jessica Chastain, Molly's Game Brie Larson, The Glass Castle Jennifer Lawrence, mother! Danielle MacDonald, Patti Cake$ Carey Mulligan, Mudbound Just missed the cut No No No Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 On 3/29/2017 at 2:57 AM, CoolioD1 said: judi dench, victoria and abdul rooney mara, mary magdalene frances mcdormand, billboard something something emma stone, battle of the sexes meryl streep, the post hey for march it's not too bad i guess. mary magdalene is the only total bust. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Final predictions: Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Margot Robbie, I, Tonya Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird Meryl Streep, The Post Pretty much it, really. Haven't seen Robbie or Streep's films yet but I'm sad that Jessica Chastain didn't get more attention for her work in Molly's Game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cap Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 12/19/2017 at 11:37 PM, filmlover said: Too bad Actress is so stacked and the movie is landing so late for her to really kick anyone out. Maybe Robbie? I don't know. No. Hard no. I cant imagine anyone giving more full realized, capicating, and heartbreaking performance than Margot Robbie this year. She wasn’t just acting and Tonya Harding. She WAS Tonya Harding. Holy Hell, her modern day interviews were EERIE. Way more that intimation, just stunning, stunning work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 hour ago, captainwondyful said: I cant imagine anyone giving more full realized, capicating, and heartbreaking performance than Margot Robbie this year. She wasn’t just acting and Tonya Harding. She WAS Tonya Harding. Holy Hell, her modern day interviews were EERIE. Way more that intimation, just stunning, stunning work. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyK Posted January 10, 2018 Share Posted January 10, 2018 On 02/01/2018 at 3:55 PM, filmlover said: Final predictions: Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Margot Robbie, I, Tonya Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird Meryl Streep, The Post Pretty much it, really. Haven't seen Robbie or Streep's films yet but I'm sad that Jessica Chastain didn't get more attention for her work in Molly's Game. Ugh, Hawkins line delivery in SoW was not good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ithil Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 McDormand has it pretty locked up at this stage. The only scenarios where she might lose are if The Shape of Water wins Best Picture, giving Hawkins a solid chance, or if Lady Bird wins Best Picture, ditto Ronan. Even then, it could just split. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...