Wednesday Numbers : FF8: 4.89M / 685M WW | BB:1.38M | BATB: 1.3M

[JB33]

That is a big Wednesday drop, even taking everything into account. Wow. I had it pegged for around $5.6M at least.

[a2k]

Thinking F8 will recover somewhat and do 35-36 this weekend (63.5-64.5% drop).

That would leave it on track for 225-230 dom.

 

China bot experts are predicting 390+ to 405 finish there. 

 

Right now it seems the WW's looking like 225 Dom + 400 China + 450 OS-China* = 1.075b.

 

*OS-China will be affected by GOTG2's release next Wed so I don't see much more than 450.

450 will be a 2.35x multiplier of the 3-day OS-China OW : 85 (Wed-Thu) + 155 (FSS)*2.35

Edited April 20, 2017 by a2knet

[JB33]

4 minutes ago, a2knet said:

Thinking it F8 recover somewhat and do 35-36 this weekend (63.5-64.5% drop).

That would leave it on track for 225-230 dom.

 

China bot experts are predicting 390+ to 405 finish there. 

 

Right now it seems the WW's looking like 225 Dom + 400 China + 450 OS-China* = 1.075b.

 

*OS-China will be affected by GOTG2's release next Wed so I don't see much more than 450.

450 will be a 2.35x multiplier of the 3-day OS-China OW : 85 (Wed-Thu) + 155 (FSS)*2.35

 

F7 did $773M internationally minus China. Even with GOTG2 coming, you think it will drop that much?

[narniadis]

Yes, about the only hope F8 has against the BVS comparison is the difference in the school year timeframe. 

 

Either way that's a nasty Wednesday drop even by generous standards. 

[narniadis]

4 minutes ago, JB33 said:

 

F7 did $773M internationally minus China. Even with GOTG2 coming, you think it will drop that much?

 

The inflated opening is hiding the drops in non Asian territories. 

[cookie]

Post-Easter Wednesday drop comparison:

 

G.I Joe 2: 25.5%

Furious 7: 31%

Batman V Superman: 33.5%

 

F8's Wednesday is 53.2% of F7's Wednesday. 53.2% of F7's 2nd W/E would be $31.7m, a 68% drop.

 

[a2k]

56 minutes ago, JB33 said:

 

F7 did $773M internationally minus China. Even with GOTG2 coming, you think it will drop that much?

 

Am just basing it off the 3-day ow multiplier. Even giving 2.5x, 85 + 155 * 2.5 = 475 which would be down 38.5% from F7's 773. Not far from the 34-35% drop F8 is looking at dom.

 

Also, F6 OS-China was ~483.5. For F8 to settle a little below it is similar to what's happening dom.

 

Edited April 20, 2017 by a2knet

[arpiaaaa]

BATB is still above 1M

amazing

[Krissykins]

26 minutes ago, arpiaaaa said:

BATB is still above 1M

amazing

 

Only 500k more than Get Outs 34th day despite opening to $141,000,000 more opening weekend.

 

Damn, Get Out really is the story of 2017.

[DealWithIt]

The post discount Tuesday drop hits again. Plus F8 is already making tons of money. Nothing much to see here.

[PPZVGOS]

Told'ya F8 is coming below F6. 

 

I'll take that as a positive. 

 

 

[Blaze Heatnix]

41 minutes ago, PPZVGOS said:

Told'ya F8 is coming below F6. 

 

I'll take that as a positive. 

 

 

 

I think it'll finish under Logan's domestic numbers. It's a huge drop, no matter what.

[PDC1987]

1 hour ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

I think it'll finish under Logan's domestic numbers. It's a huge drop, no matter what.

Flop. Bomb. Chapter 11 incoming for Universal.

[Dragon]

2 hours ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

 

I think it'll finish under Logan's domestic numbers. It's a huge drop, no matter what.

sad day for universal then they see the oversea numbers.

 

Edited April 21, 2017 by Dragon

[a2k]

9m weekend will give BATB 470.

After that to add 9*2 to 9*3 more to it's cume for low/mid 490s is a reasonable expectation.

Disney will be very tempted to get it to 500 unless it falls bigger this weekend and is looking at sub-490 like Dory.

Edited April 21, 2017 by a2knet

[DAJK]

5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

9m weekend will give BATB 470.

After that to add a little over 9*2 more to it's cume for low 490s is a reasonable expectation.

Disney will be very tempted to get it to 500 unless it falls bigger this weekend and is looking at sub-490 like Dory.

FTSBF

 

gotta bring it back eventually 

[KP1025]

4 hours ago, a2knet said:

 

Am just basing it off the 3-day ow multiplier. Even giving 2.5x, 85 + 155 * 2.5 = 475 which would be down 38.5% from F7's 773. Not far from the 34-35% drop F8 is looking at dom.

 

Also, F6 OS-China was ~483.5. For F8 to settle a little below it is similar to what's happening dom.

 

 

 

Someone here calculated that F6's OS-C gross would probably be closer to $400M with current exchange rates. Gitesh is predicting F8 to reach $900M WW by the end of the weekend, which would be about $420M OS-C at that point (DOM is looking to be around $160M and China $320M by end of weekend). I think it would have to drop like a rock at that point to only reach $475M OS-C by the end of its run. 

[a2k]

1 minute ago, KP1025 said:

 

Someone here calculated that F6's OS-C gross would probably be closer to $400M with current exchange rates. Gitesh is predicting F8 to reach $900M WW by the end of the weekend, which would be about $420M OS-C at that point (DOM is looking to be around $160M and China $320M by end of weekend). I think it would have to drop like a rock at that point to only reach $475M OS-C by the end of its run. 

 

If his prediction about F8 reaching 900 this weekend comes true or is close to true, then yes your point makes sense. I haven't been tracking daily OS-C numbers so can't predict what the weekend will be.

[Blaze Heatnix]

50 minutes ago, Dragon said:

sad day for universal then they see the oversea numbers.

 

 

Fast and Furious numbers, you mean.

 

I agree, overseas grosses are impressive and amazing. XD

[BoilingHotCoffee]

Today, Disney's Beauty and the Beast will gross enough money to kick Star Wars out of the top 10 all time domestic after nearly 40 YEARS.

 

Fitting that it had to happen on  4/20 too. 

Edited April 21, 2017 by BoilingHotCoffee