The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Prime]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Red Sparrow has sold 4 tickets on Thursday here while Death Wish is empty. Friday, however, is another story. Death Wish has already sold 14 tickets for Friday vs 1 for Red Sparrow  

The oldies love Brucey

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

The oldies love Brucey

Let's see if they love Eli Roth  

[filmlover]

Red Sparrow will likely land in the same range as Atomic Blonde. Which would be fine for it in reality, but probably not enough to prevent a bunch of JLaw concern trolling in the weekend thread.

[CJohn]

8 hours ago, filmlover said:

Red Sparrow will likely land in the same range as Atomic Blonde. Which would be fine for it in reality, but probably not enough to prevent a bunch of JLaw concern trolling in the weekend thread.

Fox didn't hire JLaw for this movie to open with 18M tbh.

[MCKillswitch123]

1 hour ago, CJohn said:

Fox didn't hire JLaw for this movie to open with 18M tbh.

Hilariously though, 18M would still be more on OW than mother!'s entire DOM run (sorry, @WrathOfHan).

 

I guess that's a consolation prize for Fox.......?

[filmlover]

9 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Hilariously though, 18M would still be more on OW than mother!'s entire DOM run (sorry, @WrathOfHan).

 

I guess that's a consolation prize for Fox.......?

Han right now:

 

[YM!]

A Wrinkle In Time

3/9/17 (10 days before previews, 11 days before release)

North Shore Cinema 

Mequon, WI

 

7:00 - 1/301

9:45 - 0/301

 

Not the worst start but behind both DH2 and Wonder

[Barnack]

3 hours ago, CJohn said:

Fox didn't hire JLaw for this movie to open with 18M tbh.

True (probably would have loved a 21-25) but they didn't hired FLaw for this movie to have that kind of reception and trailers, it is a narrower strip to land what he tried to achieve and didn't fully succeed, that type of movie with a 6/10 is not an easy one to sell (versus Atomic Blond enthusiastic reception, action sequence, comic relief available to use by marketing).

[La Binoche]

14 hours ago, filmlover said:

Red Sparrow will likely land in the same range as Atomic Blonde. Which would be fine for it in reality, but probably not enough to prevent a bunch of JLaw concern trolling in the weekend thread.

 

I'm so ready 

 

 

[Eric Prime]

18 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Theater Update:

Red Sparrow	16	1366	1.17%
Wrinkle in Time	136	1582	8.60%

 

Death Wish only has Thursday previews up, but they only just came out like an hour ago, so they haven't sold anything yet.

Death Wish	11	1050	1.05%
Red Sparrow	47	1366	3.44%
Wrinkle in Time	151	1582	9.54%

 

All three got okay jumps, but nothing spectacular.

[Krissykins]

Atomic Blonde is still one of my most disappointing movies of last year. 

[WrathOfHan]

On 2/20/2018 at 8:57 PM, WrathOfHan said:

The Greatest Showman, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, and Winchester are gone.

 

WEEKEND:

 

Every Day: 6 (3rd Smallest)
Game Night: 6 (Average)

Annihilation: 5 (Average)

 

Black Panther: 20 (Flat; 9 2D/11 3D; Biggest, 2nd Biggest, Average x2, and 4th Smallest)

Fifty Shades Freed: 6 (Down 2; Average)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 5 (3 2D/2 3D; Smallest)

Peter Rabbit: 5 (Down 2; Average)

Early Man: 4 (Down 2; 2nd Smallest)

The 15:17 to Paris: 3 (Down 2; 4th and 3rd Smallest)

 

WEEKDAYS:

 

Annihilation: 4 (Average)

Game Night: 4 (Average)

Every Day: 4 (3rd Smallest)

 

Black Panther: 12 (Down 1; 7 2D/5 3D; Biggest, 2nd Biggest, and Average x2)

The 15:17 to Paris: 4 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

Early Man: 4 (Flat; 2nd Smallest)

Fifty Shades Freed: 4 (Flat; Average)
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 4 (Flat; 2 2D/2 3D; Smallest)

Peter Rabbit: 4 (Flat; Average)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

  Reveal hidden contents

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

The 15:17 to Paris and Early Man are gone.

 

Death Wish: 4 (Average)

Red Sparrow: 4 (Average)

 

Black Panther: 14 (Up 2; 7 2D/7 3D; Biggest, 2nd Biggest, and Average x2)

Annihilation: 4 (Flat; 3rd Smallest)
Every Day: 4 (Flat; 2nd Smallest)

Fifty Shades Freed: 4 (Flat; 4th Smallest)

Game Night: 4 (Flat; Average)

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 4 (Flat; 2 2D/2 3D; Smallest)

Peter Rabbit: 4 (Flat; Average)

 

During the weekend, Every Day gets pushed down to half a screen for more BP shows.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference (all seats are recliners if you're wondering why they're small):  

Spoiler

 

Biggest: 124 seats

2nd Biggest: 113 seats

Average: 78 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

4th Smallest: 69 seats

3rd Smallest: 67 seats

2nd Smallest: 63 seats

Smallest: 60 seats

 

 

 

 

Edited February 27, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Black Panther

2. Game Night

3. Black Panther 3D

4. Red Sparrow

5. Annihilation

[dxmatrixdt]

anything that does not win awards on Sunday will be taking a massive theater count dump the week after. 

[titanic2187]

25 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:

anything that does not win awards on Sunday will be taking a massive theater count dump the week after. 

In the case of Oscar this year, sow could reach 65m if SOW is the eventual winner while 3Billboard could challenge 12 years  a slave 57m if it win. If lady bird pull an upset over both, 50m would be easily achieved

[dxmatrixdt]

6 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

In the case of Oscar this year, sow could reach 65m if SOW is the eventual winner while 3Billboard could challenge 12 years  a slave 57m if it win. If lady bird pull an upset over both, 50m would be easily achieved

nonetheless, 3BB, Darkest Hour, and Shape of Water should push towards 60M.  I, Tonya will pass 30m, Lady Bird 50m+, The Post 80m+, ... the only one that sticks out to me is The Florida Project under 6m and one nomination.

Edited February 28, 2018 by Matrix4You

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Black Panther

2. Black Panther 3D

3. Red Sparrow

4. Death Wish

5. Black Panther IMAX

[titanic2187]

5 hours ago, Matrix4You said:

nonetheless, 3BB, Darkest Hour, and Shape of Water should push towards 60M.  I, Tonya will pass 30m, Lady Bird 50m+, The Post 80m+, ... the only one that sticks out to me is The Florida Project under 6m and one nomination.

A24 has been fully committed in Lady bird's oscar campaign, maybe is out of their capacity to campaign for 2 oscar movies in a year 

[Eric Prime]

20 hours ago, CoolEric258 said:

Death Wish	11	1050	1.05%
Red Sparrow	47	1366	3.44%
Wrinkle in Time	151	1582	9.54%

 

All three got okay jumps, but nothing spectacular.

Death Wish	17	1050	1.05%
Red Sparrow	89	1366	3.44%
Wrinkle in Time	167	1582	10.56%

 

 

In case I don't have the time to do comps tomorrow, Death Wish is currently 47% of The Foreigner ($6.2M), 21% of The Commuter ($2.9M), 54% of 12 Strong ($8.7M), 11% of Den of Thieves ($1.7M), 35% of 15:17 to Paris ($4.4M), and 57% of Annihilation ($6.3M)

 

Don't have many good comps for Red Sparrow unfortuneately.

[Eric Prime]

http://deadline.com/2018/02/jennifer-lawrence-red-sparrow-black-panther-death-wish-bruce-willis-1202305645/

 

Quote

Moviegoers will continue to be transfixed by Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther in its third weekend shelling out between $61M-$67M. 

 

Black Panther has continually been one about breaking records, and just as analysts estimate a certain level for the comic book adaptation, it sails past them. While too soon to tell, should Black Panther beat this industry range with $68.5M+, it could own the second best third weekend ever, beating Avatar, and ranking under Star Wars: Force Awakens ($90.2M).

 

Given Black Panther‘s dominance in the marketplace both MGM and Fox are projecting mid-teens, possibly higher for their titles. Those are safe bets considering that two well-reviewed movies last weekend, Paramount’s Annihilation and New Line/Warner Bros.’ Game Night didn’t overperform their respective tracking ranges of $10M-$12M and mid-teens to $20M.

 

On the high-end of ranges, tracking services believe Red Sparrow could go to $20M-$24M, and Death Wish to potentially $20M, but, again, Black Panther‘s big footing in the marketplace coupled with each pic’s qualities weigh down on these ambitions.