The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[MCKillswitch123]

It's Early in the year 2018, but Man, it's looking rough for Aardman already.

[SoSaysI]

4:48 EST pulse - 322

[FlashMaster659]

It all begins tonight stateside with Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther. Many are now projecting that the movie could easily surpass $180M over three-days, and if that’s the case, it won’t just be the best February and President’s Day opening of all-time, but the best pre-summer debut (prior to May) beating Disney’s own Beauty and the Beast which began with $174.7M last March.

 

http://deadline.com/2018/02/black-panther-fifty-shades-freed-valentines-day-box-office-1202288879/

[WrathOfHan]

1 hour out:

 

7:00: 96/113 (+3)

7:15 3D: 36/69 (+14)

7:30: 55/78 (+4)

7:45 3D: 46/78 (+1)

8:00 3D: 31/60 (+9)

8:15: 50/78 (+8)

8:30: 34/63 (+5)

8:45: 34/78 (+7)

9:15: 45/78 (+8)

Total: 428/695 (+59)

 

It's pacing at 150% of Ragnarok at the same point in time (184.1M) and 125% of its final total (153.4M)  There's a 7:25 showing of Maze Runner that's currently empty, so I think a last minute cancellation might happen there. They could also play a show at 9:30 in the biggest auditorium after Fifty Shades if they feel like paying employees overtime  

[KeepItU25071906]

52 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

It all begins tonight stateside with Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther. Many are now projecting that the movie could easily surpass $180M over three-days, and if that’s the case, it won’t just be the best February and President’s Day opening of all-time, but the best pre-summer debut (prior to May) beating Disney’s own Beauty and the Beast which began with $174.7M last March.

 

http://deadline.com/2018/02/black-panther-fifty-shades-freed-valentines-day-box-office-1202288879/

That's fucking impressive. 

[WrathOfHan]

7:00 showing is finishing with 104/113; only two stray seats in the second row and wheelchairs are left  

 

7:15 3D show is finishing with 44/69

Edited February 16, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

> NEW RELEASES
1	-	Black Panther	Buena Vista	4,020	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
6	-	Early Man	Lionsgate	2,494	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
10	-	Samson	Pure Flix	1,249	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
34	-	Detective Chinatown 2	Warner Bros.	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
36	45	Double Lover	Cohen Media Group	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
41	-	Loveless (2018)	Sony Classics	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
42	-	Nostalgia	Bleecker Street	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
43	-	The Party (2017)	Roadside Attractions	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
35	46	Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool	Sony Classics	107	+68	+174.4%	-	-	-	-	8
37	51	A Fantastic Woman	Sony Classics	29	+9	+45.0%	-	-	-	-	3
> NO CHANGE
2	1	Fifty Shades Freed	Universal	3,768	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
3	2	Peter Rabbit	Sony / Columbia	3,725	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
4	4	The 15:17 to Paris	Warner Bros.	3,042	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
25	27	La Boda de Valentina	Pantelion	331	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
30	36	Pad Man	Sony / Columbia	152	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
> DECLINING
5	3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony / Columbia	2,800	-336	-10.7%	-	-	-	-	9
7	7	The Greatest Showman	Fox	1,936	-437	-18.4%	-	-	-	-	9
8	5	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	Fox	1,892	-1,031	-35.3%	-	-	-	-	4
9	6	Winchester	Lionsgate	1,479	-1,001	-40.4%	-	-	-	-	3
11	10	The Post	Fox	1,050	-815	-43.7%	-	-	-	-	9
12	11	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	957	-823	-46.2%	-	-	-	-	12
13	9	12 Strong	Warner Bros.	815	-1,086	-57.1%	-	-	-	-	5
14	14	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	Fox Searchlight	780	-493	-38.7%	-	-	-	-	15
15	8	Hostiles	Entertainment Studios	767	-1,447	-65.4%	-	-	-	-	9
16	12	Den of Thieves	STX Entertainment	730	-738	-50.3%	-	-	-	-	5
17	17	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	602	-443	-42.4%	-	-	-	-	13
18	20	Lady Bird	A24	407	-244	-37.5%	-	-	-	-	16
19	15	Forever My Girl	Roadside Attractions	401	-687	-63.1%	-	-	-	-	5
20	13	Paddington 2	Warner Bros.	393	-1,036	-72.5%	-	-	-	-	6
21	18	Coco	Buena Vista	385	-448	-53.8%	-	-	-	-	13
22	22	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	355	-203	-36.4%	-	-	-	-	8
23	19	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	Buena Vista	351	-479	-57.7%	-	-	-	-	10
24	25	Call Me by Your Name	Sony Classics	332	-143	-30.1%	-	-	-	-	13

 

 

Nothing here is really shocking, though Jumanji and Showman's holds should make all of you realize how little they'll be dropping (ESPECIALLY the former) this weekend. Showman's main TC hit should come next weekend.

Edited February 16, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Deja23]

MT:

1. Black Panther - 70.3%
2. Fifty Shades Freed - 13.2%
3. Peter Rabbit - 3.3%
4. 15:17 to Paris, The - 1.6%
5. Jumanji - 1.4%

Pulse:

1. Black Panther
2. Black Panther 3D
3. Fifty Shades Freed
4. Black Panther IMAX 2D
5. Peter Rabbit

[Boxofficerules]

Is it true that Samson is outselling Black Panther everywhere?

[Pinacolada]

30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

> NEW RELEASES
1	-	Black Panther	Buena Vista	4,020	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
6	-	Early Man	Lionsgate	2,494	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
10	-	Samson	Pure Flix	1,249	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
34	-	Detective Chinatown 2	Warner Bros.	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
36	45	Double Lover	Cohen Media Group	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
41	-	Loveless (2018)	Sony Classics	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
42	-	Nostalgia	Bleecker Street	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
43	-	The Party (2017)	Roadside Attractions	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
> EXPANDING
35	46	Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool	Sony Classics	107	+68	+174.4%	-	-	-	-	8
37	51	A Fantastic Woman	Sony Classics	29	+9	+45.0%	-	-	-	-	3
> NO CHANGE
2	1	Fifty Shades Freed	Universal	3,768	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
3	2	Peter Rabbit	Sony / Columbia	3,725	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
4	4	The 15:17 to Paris	Warner Bros.	3,042	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
25	27	La Boda de Valentina	Pantelion	331	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
30	36	Pad Man	Sony / Columbia	152	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
> DECLINING
5	3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	Sony / Columbia	2,800	-336	-10.7%	-	-	-	-	9
7	7	The Greatest Showman	Fox	1,936	-437	-18.4%	-	-	-	-	9
8	5	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	Fox	1,892	-1,031	-35.3%	-	-	-	-	4
9	6	Winchester	Lionsgate	1,479	-1,001	-40.4%	-	-	-	-	3
11	10	The Post	Fox	1,050	-815	-43.7%	-	-	-	-	9
12	11	The Shape of Water	Fox Searchlight	957	-823	-46.2%	-	-	-	-	12
13	9	12 Strong	Warner Bros.	815	-1,086	-57.1%	-	-	-	-	5
14	14	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	Fox Searchlight	780	-493	-38.7%	-	-	-	-	15
15	8	Hostiles	Entertainment Studios	767	-1,447	-65.4%	-	-	-	-	9
16	12	Den of Thieves	STX Entertainment	730	-738	-50.3%	-	-	-	-	5
17	17	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	602	-443	-42.4%	-	-	-	-	13
18	20	Lady Bird	A24	407	-244	-37.5%	-	-	-	-	16
19	15	Forever My Girl	Roadside Attractions	401	-687	-63.1%	-	-	-	-	5
20	13	Paddington 2	Warner Bros.	393	-1,036	-72.5%	-	-	-	-	6
21	18	Coco	Buena Vista	385	-448	-53.8%	-	-	-	-	13
22	22	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	355	-203	-36.4%	-	-	-	-	8
23	19	Star Wars: The Last Jedi	Buena Vista	351	-479	-57.7%	-	-	-	-	10
24	25	Call Me by Your Name	Sony Classics	332	-143	-30.1%	-	-	-	-	13

 

 

Nothing here is really shocking, though Jumanji and Showman's holds should make all of you realize how little they'll be dropping (ESPECIALLY the former) this weekend. Showman's main TC hit should come next weekend.

Damn... HOSTILES theater count drop  Hope it still gets to $30 million +

[spizzer]

On 2/13/2018 at 9:55 AM, Lordmandeep said:

Something I have noticed, but unlike your typical massive uber blockbuster, I find presales swing wildly between theatres in my area.

 

Theaters that have a much bigger minority client base are having an insane level of presales while other theatres are having rather solid pre-sales for this film.

 

Now I am unsure what this means but I am not buying it can open as large as TA/TDK and such. 

 

I'm saying around or slightly lower than TA/TDK attendance through 4 days, so that would still be below TA/TDK's pace.  Actually depending on 3D split, even 250M through 4-days might be lower than TA/TDK 3-day attendance.

Edited February 16, 2018 by spizzer

[DAJK]

13 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Is it true that Samson is outselling Black Panther everywhere?

Yes. I hear that many theatres are dropping Black Panther screens so they can get extra prints of Samson as well. 

 

I'm also hearing reports of state governments calling state of emergency, having to stop the swarms of crowds begging to be let into the auditoriums. 

[WrathOfHan]

The three most recent shows of BP here finished with 61/78 (2D), 49/78 (3D), and 37/60 (3D).

[Gokira2012]

 

[WrathOfHan]

Final count for BP:

 

7:00: 104/113

7:15 3D: 44/69

7:30: 61/78

7:45 3D: 49/78

8:00 3D: 37/60

8:15: 64/78

8:30: 41/63

8:45: 43/78

9:15: 54/78 

Final Total: 497/695

 

Comps:

 

46% of The Last Jedi (20.7M previews)

147% of Ragnarok (180.4M)

154% of Justice League (20M previews)

 

Friday report coming shortly

Edited February 16, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Porthos]

GREATER SACRAMENTO SELLOUT REPORT: PREMIERE NIGHT - FINAL REPORT [6:25pm]

(sellouts for THIS REPORT ONLY includes ALL theaters with six or less seats left)

 

Sellouts: 

26/136 (+17/+9)

 

2D:  21/101 (+15/+7)

3D:  5/35 (+2/+2)        

 

<<Reserved Theater Info: 97 showings [+9]>>

 

Almost Sold Out (95%+ sold out)

0 (-1)         

 

Nearly Sold Out (90% to 94% sold out)

5 (-4)

 

Front Two Rows Only (or equivalent)

26 (+9)

 

Heavily Sold (75% to 89% sold out)

4 (+1)

 

Weekend Showings

Fr: 3/285 (+1/+0)    

St: 0/259 (nc)

Su: 0/285 (nc)  

Mo: 0/281 (+0/+1)

 

—

 

Reserved Seating Breakdown (97/121 showings [+9]) [does not include sellouts at non-reserved theaters]:

100%:       25 (+17)

90-99%:     4  (-5)

80-89%:    11 (-2)

70-79%:    16 (+6)

60-69%:    12 (-3)

50-59%:     9 (+4)

40-49%:     5 (-3)

30-39%:     5 (-2)

20-29%:     4 (+1)

10-19%:     1 (-4)

0-9%:        5 (nc)

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	26	136	3377	11481	70.59%

Edited February 16, 2018 by Porthos

[WrathOfHan]

So uh, I was just doing the Friday report and my computer crashed (not joking).

 

THESE ARE SOME BIG FUCKING NUMBERS INCOMING  

[WrathOfHan]

How tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Black Panther:

 

10:00 3D: 26/78

10:45: 34/78

11:30: 53/124

12:15 3D: 9/78

12:45: 7/69

1:15 3D: 16/78

2:00: 6/78

2:45: 34/124

3:30 3D: 3/78

4:00 3D: 0/69

4:30 3D: 16/78

5:15: 19/78

6:00: 106/124

6:45 3D: 17/78

7:15: 31/69

7:45 3D: 43/78

8:30: 39/78

9:15: 75/124

10:00 3D: 4/78

10:30 3D: 0/69

 

 

Fifty Shades:

 

10:00: 5/69

11:00: 6/78

1:30: 15/78

4:00: 2/78

7:00: 19/78

8:00: 13/113

9:30: 6/78

10:30: 0/113

 

15:17 to Paris:

 

11:45: 6/78

2:15: 14/78

4:45: 0/78

7:15: 2/78

9:50: 0/78

 

Peter Rabbit:

 

10:15: 0/113

11:30: 9/78

12:40: 6/113

3:10: 0/113

4:35: 2/78

5:35: 0/113

6:30: 0/78

9:00: 0/78

 

Jumanji:

 

10:05: 2/60

12:55 3D: 0/60

3:45: 0/60

6:40 3D: 0/60

9:30: 4/60

 

Early Man:

 

10:30: 2/63

12:45: 0/63

3:00: 0/63

5:15: 0/63

7:30: 3/63

9:45: 0/63

 

Showman:

 

10:35: 3/67

4:20: 0/67

 

Maze Runner:

 

1:10: 2/67

9:30: 0/67

 

Winchester:

 

2:00: 0/78

6:55: 2/67

 

Black Panther: 538/1,708

Fifty Shades: 66/685

15:17 to Paris: 22/390

Peter Rabbit: 17/764

Jumanji: 6/300

Early Man: 5/378

Showman: 3/134

Maze Runner: 2/134

Winchester: 2/145

 

Black Panther comps:

 

56% of The Last Jedi (123.2M)

179% of Ragnarok (219.6M)

214% of Justice League (200.7M)

 

 

Early Man comps:

 

17% of Ferdinand (2.3M)

17% of MLP (1.5M)

23% of Ninjago (4.6M)

50% of The Star (4.9M)

 

lol who cares this is gonna bomb LET'S GET BACK TO THOSE BLACK PANTHER SALES      

[That One Girl]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

179% of Ragnarok (219.6M)

 

 

^this is happening

[Porthos]

I have to kinda eyeball it since I wasn't keeping as detailed notes for Rogue One, but I think Black Panther has passed Rogue One in overall seat sales tonight in Sacramento!   If not, it's neck and neck.

 

R1 had more sellouts (35 v 26), but BP had more theaters at front two rows or less (8 vs 26).  

 

Rogue One did have more showings for Thursday by a handful, but I'm just sayin' there might be a chance for a 30+m preview night for Black Panther if it is running neck and neck or even blipping past Rogue One.

 

PS: Don't yell at me if I just jinxed it.