The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[WrathOfHan]

Taking a look at Disney Springs, the Dolby shows and first dine-in for Ocean’s are doing well, but the standard shows and other dine-ins are deaaaad

[MattW]

8 hours ago, TLK said:

Fandango Presales Volume.

 

Date           Name                      Monday      Tuesday       Wednesday
04/06/18    A Quiet Place           2177          4003            10665
04/06/18    Blockers                  504            1106            2931
04/13/18    Rampage                705            1508            4109
04/13/18    Truth Or Dare         385            760              2133
04/20/18    Super Troopers 2    2825          3447            6811
04/20/18    I Feel Pretty             871            1610           4423
04/27/18    Avengers 3              49836        54892         68826   
05/04/18    Overboard               84              409            1044

05/11/18    Breaking In              727            1204           2899
05/11/18    Life Of The Party      587            1310          3010

05/18/18    Deadpool 2              23134        28896         41212
05/18/18    Show Dogs              6               128             369
05/18/18    Book Club                836            1599           3283

05/25/18    Solo : Star Wars       13688       15855         28533

06/01/18    Action Point             17              48               197

06/01/18    Adrift                       63              308             1268

06/01/18    Upgrade                  9                119              522

06/08/18    Hotel Artemis          28              177              507

06/08/18    Hereditary               669            1201            3108

06/08/18    Oceans 8                 3048          4429            11225

 

http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt

That looks like the best use of the Fandango data so far. Great stuff.

[BugsBunny]

26 minutes ago, MattW said:

That looks like the best use of the Fandango data so far. Great stuff.

So... most comparable movie on there is AQP? And O8 kind of meaningfully ahead by ~10% at least over the last three days (presumably movies like these two didn't have a super high number of WAY in advance pre-sales like a Avengers/Solo/Deadpool).

 

$50mm OW?

[TwoMisfits]

Just now, BugsBunny said:

So... most comparable movie on there is AQP? And O8 kind of meaningfully ahead by ~10% at least over the last three days (presumably movies like these two didn't have a super high number of WAY in advance pre-sales like a Avengers/Solo/Deadpool).

 

$50mm OW?

O8 had some Wed sneaks...AQP didn't...so the Wed number is actually a worrying one, not a great one, if you want a $50M weekend...

[MattW]

4 minutes ago, BugsBunny said:

So... most comparable movie on there is AQP? And O8 kind of meaningfully ahead by ~10% at least over the last three days (presumably movies like these two didn't have a super high number of WAY in advance pre-sales like a Avengers/Solo/Deadpool).

 

$50mm OW?

Whether there are good comps on that list for this week's openers is a separate question.  But having raw fandango presales for comparable times before release and keeping track of them should improve OW predictions.

[WrathOfHan]

My AMC just added a last minute 4:00 Ocean's show at the expense of a Solo show. It's at 2/60 right now

[el sid]

MT:

#1 Ocean's8 19.8% - close to 30% tomorrow?
#2 Solo 13.4%
#3 DP2 9.9%
#4 Incredibles2 7.9%
#5 Hereditary 5.7%

[KeepItU25071906]

2 minutes ago, el sid said:

MT:

#5 Hereditary 5.7%

16-18 mln?

[JB33]

HEREDITARY looking pretty good so far. What do you think @WrathOfHan? You going to see it?

[Eric Prime]

Hotel Artemis	37	1207	3.07%
Ocean's 8	228	2323	9.81%

 

Hotel Artemis comps:

 

20% of Blade Runner ($6.6M)

103% of The Foreigner ($13.5M)

46% of The Commuter ($6.3M)

119% of 12 Strong ($18.9M)

63% of Death Wish ($8.1M)

 

With how muted the advertising is, the single digit comps are likely a much better indicator.

 

Ocean's 8 Comps:

86% of Bad Moms Christmas ($14.5M)

86% of Orient Express ($24.7M)

136% of Pitch Perfect 3 ($27.2M)

175% of Red Sparrow ($29.5M)

146% of Life of the Party ($26.1M)

253% of Book Club ($34.4M)

 

🤔

 

To be fair, this does seem very walk-up driven, but let's hope my theater's just an outlier. 

 

And before you ask, no, my theater isn't getting Hereditary.

[WrathOfHan]

7 minutes ago, JB33 said:

HEREDITARY looking pretty good so far. What do you think @WrathOfHan? You going to see it?

Of course I am, but IDK when because I'm sick rn  

[JB33]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Of course I am, but IDK when because I'm sick rn  

Damn man. It's happening to several people I know. The bug is sneaking up on people in this gorgeous spring/summer weather when they least expect it.

 

Then again, you're in Florida. It's always gorgeous weather. 

[WrathOfHan]

3 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Damn man. It's happening to several people I know. The bug is sneaking up on people in this gorgeous spring/summer weather when they least expect it.

 

Then again, you're in Florida. It's always gorgeous weather. 

The last time I got sick was in July almost two years ago  

[Eric Prime]

nvm

Edited June 7, 2018 by CoolEric258

[Nova]

My theater has O8 on for 6 showtimes for the weekend. 

 

In hold over news it has Action Point on for 6 showtimes and Deadpool 2 for 5 showtimes. My theater will get what it deserves this weekend. 

[RealLyre]

3 minutes ago, Nova said:

My theater has O8 on for 6 showtimes for the weekend. 

 

In hold over news it has Action Point on for 6 showtimes and Deadpool 2 for 5 showtimes. My theater will get what it deserves this weekend. 

What about Solo 

[FantasticBeasts]

19 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The last time I got sick was in July almost two years ago  

It's not a year If I don't get sick 3 times at least....

[Nova]

13 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

What about Solo 

It also has 5 showtimes. It and Deadpool 2 are still playing in the medium and large auditoriums though. There are two large ones at my theater. Ocean's 8 has taken over one for the whole weekend. Deadpool 2 and Solo are pretty much alternating with each other for the other large one. Solo has it twice in the AM and the medium size one three times in the evening. Deadpool 2 has the medium size auditorium twice in the AM and the switches to the large one for 3 times in the evening. 

 

Solo has no 3D at my theater this weekend. 

It also lost its IMAX screens to Ocean's 8 at my IMAX theater 

Edited June 7, 2018 by Nova

[GambitPool]

27 minutes ago, Nova said:

My theater has O8 on for 6 showtimes for the weekend. 

 

In hold over news it has Action Point on for 6 showtimes and Deadpool 2 for 5 showtimes. My theater will get what it deserves this weekend. 

My theater dropped Book Club and kept Action Point. They'll get what they deserve. 

[WrathOfHan]

First Ocean's is finishing with 6/60. Wonder what it could've been if it wasn't added so late.
 

Looking around Orlando, some shows right now are doing well while others are empty. Universal's IMAX only sold 4 seats