The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Yandereprime101189]

I'm so damn happy Aladdin's doing well.

 

That means we'll get Little Mermaid soon enough, maybe even an Aladdin 2 as well.

[Porthos]

Toy Story 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	89	10971	12198*	10.06%

NOTE: One theater adjusted their seats available downward, resulting in three fewer seats available for purchase.

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                    108

 

Unadjusted Comps

4.3357x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu after five days of pre-sales. 

2.2680x as many tickets sold as Aladdin after five days of pre-sales.

2.3551x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters after five days of pre-sales.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  Pika Pika had 29 days of pre-sales, Aladdin had 24, and King of the Monsters had 20 days of pre-sales while Toy Story 4 has 23 days of pre-sales.

 

Day 5:

Pika         19 tickets sold  [0 sellouts/72 showings   |     7726/8009 seats left    |  3.53% sold]

Aladdin    51 tickets sold [0 sellouts/68 showings   |     9232/9773 seats left     |  5.54% sold]

KotM        51 tickets sold [0 sellouts/82 showings   |  10705/11226 seats left    |  4.64% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

1.1005x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom after five days of pre-sales.       

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

PRE-SALES NOTE: Fallen Kingdom had 22 days of pre-sales while Toy Story 4 has 23 days of pre-sales.

 

Day 5:

JW2               97 tickets sold [0 sellouts/97 showings |    9058/10113 seats left  | 10.43% sold]

TS4 (JW)        99 tickets sold [0 sellouts/89 showings |    9372/10533 seats left  | 11.02% sold]

TS4 (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

 

[Porthos]

On 5/31/2019 at 10:23 PM, Porthos said:

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-05-31 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	26.714%	20938	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
2       20.223% 15850   Aladdin (2019) [combined] 
3	19.006%	14897	Rocketman
4	12.522%	9815	Ma (2019)
5	06.153%	4823	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
6	04.275%	3351	Avengers Endgame (2019)
7	02.638%	2068	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
8	02.202%	1726	Booksmart
9	01.134%	889	Brightburn
10      00.773% 606     Dark Phoenix [combined]
11      00.746% 584     Toy Story 4 [combined]

Fandango Sales Past 24 Hours
Since: 2019-06-01 00:00:00 (US/Central - Chicago)

RANK	PERCENT	TICKETS	MOVIE
1	24.012%	18345	Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) [combined]
2	22.621%	17282	Aladdin (2019) [combined]
3	18.173%	13884	Rocketman
4	10.145%	7751	Ma (2019)
5	07.647%	5842	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
6	05.374%	4106	Avengers Endgame (2019)
7	03.151%	2407	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
8	02.427%	1854	Booksmart
9	01.309%	1000	Brightburn
10	00.911%	696	Dark Phoenix [combined]

[MCKillswitch123]

So........... Toy Story 4 is really pointing at 130-160M OW, right?

 

Goddammit, universe

[Maximum Avery]

7 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

So........... Toy Story 4 is really pointing at 130-160M OW, right?

 

Goddammit, universe

Why? Thats an awesome number:o 130-160m

 

TTVOMJ

[john2000]

21 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

So........... Toy Story 4 is really pointing at 130-160M OW, right?

 

Goddammit, universe

um we still have 2 weeks, and if i recall correctly incredibles 2 presales didnt point to 180 ow either , no i am not saying that it will hit 200, but we barely have any info and any info we have gives us a better idea for the previews only, not fri-sat-sun

[john2000]

14 minutes ago, Maximum Avery said:

Why? Thats an awesome number:o 130-160m

 

TTVOMJ

we dont know yet, presales for incredbiles 2 didnt point to 180 ow either

[Maximum Avery]

3 minutes ago, john2000 said:

we dont know yet, presales for incredbiles 2 didnt point to 180 ow either

I am just baiting him... want to know is it love or hate.. he might hate the success^^ playing a naive little girl so he tells me all his secrets ^^

 

TTVOMJ

[BoxOfficeZ]

This thread is honestly incredible now. This def would not have been possible in the older days, but now with all the ticket websites and Fandango we can check tickets and seats pretty quickly. 

 

Here's my quasi-report from a glance. I'll probably start saving data in excel or something during my free time. 

 

- My nearest theater to me has Toy Story 4 at 31 tickets sold already for the Thursday preview night. It has more tickets than every other upcoming opener COMBINED. 

 

- Dark Phoenix has a Thursday 3D screening with 8 tickets sold. This seems horrible to me, but I don't have a base of reference besides Aladdin and KOTM but DP is lower than both at this point in time I think. 

 

- Pets 2 has....1 ticket sold. I have no clue why this even has a Thursday screening. Maybe walkups will be better?

 

 

 

 

[MCKillswitch123]

37 minutes ago, Maximum Avery said:

Why? Thats an awesome number:o 130-160m

 

TTVOMJ

23 minutes ago, john2000 said:

um we still have 2 weeks, and if i recall correctly incredibles 2 presales didnt point to 180 ow either , no i am not saying that it will hit 200, but we barely have any info and any info we have gives us a better idea for the previews only, not fri-sat-sun

....I got the bait from moment one, "little naive girl".

 

When I say "Goddammit universe", I'm not disappointed at its number because it's an underperformance. I'm disappointed because I was hoping that TS4 would hit way, WAY lower numbers. Just so audiences would stick it to Disney. TS3 WAS A PERFECT ENDING AND SHOULD HAVE REMAINED UNTOUCHED. Sadly, that isn't the case.

Edited June 2, 2019 by MCKillswitch123

[Maximum Avery]

34 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

....I got the bait from moment one, "little naive girl".

 

When I say "Goddammit universe", I'm not disappointed at its number because it's an underperformance. I'm disappointed because I was hoping that TS4 would hit way, WAY lower numbers. Just so audiences would stick it to Disney. TS3 WAS A PERFECT ENDING AND SHOULD HAVE REMAINED UNTOUCHED. Sadly, that isn't the case.

Oh stfu my lovely snowflake ❤️ i wasnt interested in why...  i know why you gerry  gerards do it xD

Move along now 

 

TTVOMJ

Edited June 2, 2019 by Maximum Avery
Soft3ned the blow

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Unless this is a TFA situation where it undoes Toy Story 3's ending I'm ok with Toy Story 4 existing. Just treat it like one of the Toy Story specials they've done over the years if it sucks. 

[MCKillswitch123]

25 minutes ago, Maximum Avery said:

Oh stfu my lovely snowflake ❤️ i wasnt interested in why...  i know why you gerry  gerards do it xD

Move along now 

 

TTVOMJ

Sure, my beautiful sunflower, I totally believe you weren't interested even though you probably had better things to do with your time ♥️

[Maximum Avery]

Just now, MCKillswitch123 said:

Sure, my beautiful sunflower, I totally believe you weren't interested even though you probably had better things to do with your time ♥️

Muh love!<3

 

TTVOMJ

[Eric the Minion]

Movie/Date

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Friday

Saturday

Secret Life of Pets 2	200	386	505	450	378	420
	11 days	10 days	9 days	8 days	7 days	6 days
Dark Phoenix	427	553	684	700	562	701
	11 days	10 days	9 days	8 days	7 days	6 days
Men in Black		13	479	171	130	86
		17 days	16 days	15 days	14 days	13 days
Toy Story 4		2,996	1,744	940	531	406
		24 days	23 days	22 days	21 days	20 days
Spider-Man FFH	249	331	417	388	249	207
	36 days	35 days	34 days	33 days	32 days	31 days

 

Pets 2

Last 7 Days (12-6)

77% of Grinch (52.1M)

227% of Hotel 3 (100.1M)

 

Day 18-6

77% of Grinch (51.9M)

214% of Hotel 3 (94.5M)

 

Dark Phoenix

Last 7 Days (12-6)

28% of Venom (22.3M)

50% of Godzilla (24.3M)

85% of Glass (34.4M 3-Day, 39.6M 4-Day)

64% of Shazam (34.5M)

 

Day 18-6

40% of Godzilla (19.8M)

76% of Shazam (40.5M)

 

Toy Story 4

First 5 Days

259% of Dumbo (119.3M)

226% of Detective Pikachu (123.1M)

308% of Shazam (165M)

104% of Incredibles 2 (191M)

 

Day 24-20

102% of Captain Marvel (156.6M)

286% of Incredibles 2 (522.4M)

 

[Stewart]

3 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

 

Dark Phoenix

Last 7 Days (12-6)

28% of Venom (22.3M)

50% of Godzilla (24.3M)

85% of Glass (34.4M 3-Day, 39.6M 4-Day)

64% of Shazam (34.5M)

 

Day 18-6

40% of Godzilla (19.8M)

76% of Shazam (40.5M)

 

[YM!]

Dark Phoenix (4 before previews, 5 before release)

North Shore Cinema 

Mequon, WI

6/6/19

 

7:00 - 23/119

10:00 - 4/119

 

Running:

82% behind Spider-Man: Homecoming ($21.8M OW)

73% behind Ant Man and The Wasp ($19.9M OW)

53% behind Godzilla: King Of The Monsters ($23M OW)

53% behind Venom ($37.8M OW)

4% behind Pokémon: Detective Pikachu ($52.5M OW)

4% ahead of Kingsman: The Golden Circle ($40.5M OW)

 

Ouch. Just ouch. Thinking $40M-$45M OW at the moment but sub $40M OW is somewhat real.

 

The Secret Life Of Pets 2 (4 before previews, 5 before release)

North Shore Cinema 

Mequon, WI

6/6/19

 

6:00 - 17/149

8:15 - 0/149

10:00 - 0/149

 

Running:

61% behind Aladdin ($35.4M OW)

39% behind Pokémon: Detective Pikachu ($33.1M OW)

32% behind Dr. Seuss The Grinch ($45.9M OW)

32% behind Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation ($29.9M OW)

28% behind Coco ($39.2M OW/$54.04M (Of we used 5 day)

6% ahead Wonder ($28.68M OW)

 

This is also very bad for this, like very bad. Thinking $45M-$55M OW but wouldn’t be shocked at lower. But if these comparisons hold not even $40M OW is safe.

 

MIBI has sold zero tickets lol. Kind of bad this soon.

 

Toy Story 4 (18 before previews, 19 before release)

 North Shore Cinema 

Mequon, WI

6/20/19

 

6:00 - 36/301 - UltraScreen 

8:30 - 6/301 - UltraScreen 

10:15 - 0/119 

 

No comparisons but this far out is exactly, currently it’s at 53% of what I2 was 9 days before previews ($96.2M OW) as tickets will increase tenfold by the time we get to the same point in time.

Edited June 2, 2019 by YourMother the Edgelord

[cdsacken]

Yeah I think Toy Story 4 range is 140-180

[TMP]

37 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

MIBI has sold zero tickets lol. Kind of bad this soon.

 

MiB going for that $20-30m OW. Not bad all things considered.

[TalismanRing]

14 minutes ago, TMP said:

MiB going for that $20-30m OW. Not bad all things considered.

It's a tent pole that costs $100m+

 

$20-30m would be bad, especially the low end