The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TMP]

Just now, TalismanRing said:

Yes, which is why I'm surprised WB didn' t sue them for copyright infringement.

 

Or maybe they used the threat against Gunn to keep him on SS2. 

It's a lot closer to Chronicle than Superman.

[YM!]

The Wrap says $65M-$80M four day, Disney hoping for $75M-$85M.

[filmlover]

Brightburn is to Superman/WB what Escape from Tomorrow was to Disney and their parks. Best to just not acknowledge it.

 

It's too bad it's apparently not a very good movie because the subject of "what if Superman was evil" is interesting, especially with how done-to-death the character's origin story is.

Edited May 22, 2019 by filmlover

[cdsacken]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Brightburn is to Superman/WB what Escape from Tomorrow was to Disney and their parks. Best to just not acknowledge it.

 

It's too bad it's apparently not a very good movie because the subject of "what if Superman was evil" is interesting, especially with how done-to-death the character's origin story is.

agree to disagree. Different strokes for different folks.

[Tinalera]

Just a curious question: when looking at theatre counts, is number of screens as important as amount of showings?

 

IE Aladdin has 12 showings vs Aladdin has 4 screens 3 showings each? ( this is just for example)

 

Does knowing amount of screens help you in taking context?

 

Also does knowing something is IMAX/avx/regular seating help?

 

Im just trying to better represent my information. 

[Eric Prime]

https://ew.com/movies/2019/05/22/spider-man-far-from-home-fandango-summer-movies-survey/

 

A little late, but the Fandango summer movie survey thing just got published. It's never something to take that seriously, but it's always fun to look through.

 

Quote

Most Anticipated Summer Blockbuster:
1. “Spider-Man: Far from Home” (July 2)
2. “Rocketman” (May 31)
3. “Godzilla: King of the Mosnters” (May 31)
4. “Dark Phoenix” (June 7)
5. “The Lion King” (July 19)
6. “Toy Story 4” (June 21)
7. “Men in Black: International” (June 14)
8. “Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw” (August 2)
9. “Aladdin” (May 24)
10. “The Secret Life of Pets 2” (June 7)

 

Most Anticipated Summer Family Film:
1. “The Lion King”
2. “Toy Story 4”
3. “Aladdin”
4. “The Secret Life of Pets 2”
5. “Dora and the Lost City of Gold” (July 31)

 

Most Anticipated Live-Action Summer Comedy:
1. “Booksmart” (May 24)
2. “Yesterday” (June 28)
3. “Late Night” (June 6)
4. “Good Boys” (August 16)
5. “Stuber” (July 12)

 

Most Anticipated Movie Musical:
1. “Rocketman”
2. “The Lion King”
3. “Aladdin”
4. “Yesterday”
5. “Blinded by the Light” (August 14)

 

Most Anticipated Actress:
1. Zendaya (“Spider-Man: Far from Home”)
2. Sophie Turner (“Dark Phoenix”)
3. Tessa Thompson (“Men in Black: International”)
4. Margot Robbie (“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”)
5. Jessica Chastain (“Dark Phoenix”)

 

Most Anticipated Actor:
1. Chris Hemsworth (“Men in Black: International”)
2. Brad Pitt (“Once Upon a Time in Hollywood”)
3. Tom Holland (“Spider-Man: Far from Home”)
4. Dwayne Johnson (“Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw”)
5. Jake Gyllenhaal (“Spider-Man: Far from Home”)

 

Most Anticipated Male Rising Star:
1. Richard Madden (“Rocketman”)
2. O’Shea Jackson Jr. (“Godzilla: King of Monsters”)
3. Mena Massoud (“Aladdin”)
4. Himesh Patel (“Yesterday”)
5. Mason Gooding (“Booksmart”)

 

Most Anticipated Female Rising Star:
1. Naomi Scott (“Aladdin”)
2. Millie Bobby Brown (“Godzilla: King of Monsters”)
3. Alexandra Shipp (“Shaft,” “Dark Phoenix”)
4. Vanessa Kirby (“Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw”)
5. Billie Lourd (“Booksmart”)

 

Most Anticipated Voiceover Performance:
1. Tom Hanks (as Woody in “Toy Story 4”)
2. Harrison Ford (as Rooster in “The Secret Life of Pets 2”)
3. Donald Glover (as Simba in “The Lion King”)
4. Alan Tudyk (as Iago in “Aladdin”)
5. Mark Hamill (as Chucky in “Child’s Play”)

 

Most Anticipated Summer Movie Villain:
1. Idris Elba (as Brixton in “Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw”)
2. Jessica Chastain (in “Dark Phoenix”)
3. Chiwetel Ejiofor (as Scar in “The Lion King”)
4. Octavia Spencer (as Sue Ann in “Ma”)
5. Mark Hamill (as Chucky in “Child’s Play”)

 

[Cap]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

$75M 4-day is so absurd it’s not even funny. I can’t imagine a scenario it does this kinds of numbers. But of course it makes for a much better headline when the numbers are $20-30M+ higher 

 

Putting behind a cut for Porthos

 

Spoiler

Solo PTSD?

 

 

52 minutes ago, Taruseth said:

Isn't there already some evil version in the comix themselves (in another universe or thought?)

 

There is also Red Son, a surprisingly fascinating look a “evil/other” Superman 

 

3 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

Just a curious question: when looking at theatre counts, is number of screens as important as amount of showings?

 

IE Aladdin has 12 showings vs Aladdin has 4 screens 3 showings each? ( this is just for example)

 

Does knowing amount of screens help you in taking context?

 

Also does knowing something is IMAX/avx/regular seating help?

 

Im just trying to better represent my information. 

Are you talking about for tracking or In general?  I would say for tracking knowing the IMAX/LPF v standard showings is important. 

 

In general the number of screens is important because you can cluster showings together at more optimal times (i.e: it’s gonna take 4 screens to schedule 7:00, 7:30, 8:00, 8:30, etc.). 

[TMP]

Dark Phoenix breakout coming up!

Also is Richard Madden really a "rising star"? You would think being in the biggest TV show of the decade would mean something.

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

https://ew.com/movies/2019/05/22/spider-man-far-from-home-fandango-summer-movies-survey/

 

A little late, but the Fandango summer movie survey thing just got published. It's never something to take that seriously, but it's always fun to look through.

 

 

Said this in another thread but that Most Anticipated Comedy list makes me sad since none of them are likely to break out (and even the #1 choice will be lucky to cross $20M total).

[TMP]

13 hours ago, TMP said:

$70m 4-day looks likely for Aladdin, no?

 

1 hour ago, Nova said:

From Deadline: 

Disney’s live-action take of their 1992 half-billion grossing animated hit Aladdin finally takes flight over the Memorial Day weekend frame, and while we’ve typically trumpeted the lofty-end of projections for most global launches, especially Disney’s, we’re going low on this one with $73M-$75M domestic (including Monday’s holiday), and $173M-$175M worldwide

 

36 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

The Wrap says $65M-$80M four day, Disney hoping for $75M-$85M.

Nostradamus 2.0

[Cooper Legion]

FFH coming for the summer crown 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, TMP said:

Dark Phoenix breakout coming up!

Also is Richard Madden really a "rising star"? You would think being in the biggest TV show of the decade would mean something.

To be fair, he exited the show really early on, and the only other role he's recognizable for is as Prince Charming in the Cinderella remake. Now that he's starting to snag a whole bunch of good stuff, his stock is going up up up.

[TMP]

1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

FFH coming for the summer crown 

Lion King...

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

To be fair, he exited the show really early on, and the only other role he's recognizable for is as Prince Charming in the Cinderella remake. Now that he's starting to snag a whole bunch of good stuff, his stock is going up up up.

He recently had a another "breakout" in Bodyguard.

 

(really good except for the last episode and a half which was absolute pants)

[Eric Prime]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

$75M 4-day is so absurd it’s not even funny. I can’t imagine a scenario it does this kinds of numbers. But of course it makes for a much better headline when the numbers are $20-30M+ higher 

I actually do get that number. For the past couple of years, the actuals for MDW went below Deadline's projections before release. That's not just when it comes to Disney. Even stuff like Apocalypse and Baywatch were way below projections. Better to play it safe rather than go way below and try and save face.

 

2 minutes ago, TMP said:

Dark Phoenix breakout coming up!

Also is Richard Madden really a "rising star"? You would think being in the biggest TV show of the decade would mean something.

Even after Lily James was in Cinderella, Baby Driver and Darkest Hour, Fandango still put her as a "Rising Star" last year for Mamma Mia 2. Generally speaking, they use "Rising Star" in a very loose term.

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Said this in another thread but that Most Anticipated Comedy list makes me sad since none of them are likely to break out (and even the #1 choice will be lucky to cross $20M total).

Praying Queen Lily makes Yesterday the summer breakout. 🙏

[Biggestgeekever]

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/aladdin-box-office-opening-memorial-day-1203221110/

 

Aladdin: $75M-85M

Booksmart: $10M

Brightburn: $10M-$12M

[cdsacken]

Hmm.....maybe I should stick with my orignal of 70-85..guess we'll see. RT score plummeted to 63 with 49 reviews.

[a2k]

POTC5's dom was 2.2x the 78.5 4-day.

SOLO's dom was 2.08x the 103.0 4-day.

 

75-85 4-day and 2.25-2.30x that gives ALADDIN 169-196 dom

[cdsacken]

Aladdin is picking up speed quickly.

 

2019-05-22 09:00:00	1080	Aladdin (2019)
2019-05-22 09:00:00	642	John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum
2019-05-22 09:00:00	349	Avengers Endgame (2019)
2019-05-22 09:00:00	157	Pokémon Detective Pikachu
2019-05-22 09:00:00	103	Aladdin 3D
2019-05-22 09:00:00	70	Fandango Early Access The Secret Life of Pets 2
2019-05-22 09:00:00	66	Brightburn
2019-05-22 09:00:00	59	A Dogs Journey
2019-05-22 09:00:00	56	Aladdin The IMAX 2D Experience

Combined is 1239 for Aladdin, up over 500 and combined JW

[cdsacken]

2 minutes ago, a2k said:

POTC5's dom was 2.2x the 78.5 4-day.

SOLO's dom was 2.08x the 103.0 4-day.

 

75-85 4-day and 2.25-2.30x that gives ALADDIN 169-196 dom

Your club will be close.