The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[FlashMaster659]

4 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

The Lion King -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 8 Days to Previews

 

Dolby Cinema: 2 show times, 184 tickets sold out of 410 available (44.88%)

IMAX: 2 show times, 99 tickets sold out of 302 available (32.78%)

3D: 10 show times, 40 tickets sold out of 794 available (05.04%)

Digital: 21 show times, 119 tickets sold out of 1268 available (09.38%)

Fan Event: 1 show time, 96 tickets sold out of 125 available (76.80%)

 

Total: 36 show times, 538 tickets sold out of 2898 available (18.56%)

 

 

Comps

Toy Story 4 - 822 tickets sold by 330pm on previews night

Pikachu - 280 tickets sold by 730pm on Wednesday before previews night

Aladdin - 267 tickets sold by 730pm on Wednesday before previews night

 

Where do you see it getting to by next Thursday?

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

The Lion King -- AMC Willowbrook 24 -- 8 Days to Previews

 

Dolby Cinema: 2 show times, 184 tickets sold out of 410 available (44.88%)

IMAX: 2 show times, 99 tickets sold out of 302 available (32.78%)

3D: 10 show times, 40 tickets sold out of 794 available (05.04%)

Digital: 21 show times, 119 tickets sold out of 1268 available (09.38%)

Fan Event: 1 show time, 96 tickets sold out of 125 available (76.80%)

 

Total: 36 show times, 538 tickets sold out of 2898 available (18.56%)

 

 

Comps

Toy Story 4 - 822 tickets sold by 330pm on previews night

Pikachu - 280 tickets sold by 730pm on Wednesday before previews night

Aladdin - 267 tickets sold by 730pm on Wednesday before previews night

 

I don't suppose you have same-day comps for any of the movies, by any chance?  Or close to these date comps?

[XXR vs XXR]

7 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Where do you see it getting to by next Thursday?

 

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

I don't suppose you have same-day comps for any of the movies, by any chance?  Or close to these date comps?

 

@Porthos Nah I’m afraid not. It’s my fault for not being as thorough of a tracker  

 

@FlashMaster659 Tricky to say, but Pikachu was at 165 on the Sunday before opening and hit 280 by 730pm on Wednesday. TLK went up 110 tickets since Saturday. I’m going to assume 150 more through this Sunday. That’s 688. If it jumps a similar amount through Wednesday night as Pikachu, we’re looking at about 1200 by then. With all that said, I’ll put the target at 1350 by 330pm on previews night. At the same time, TS4 was at 822. 

[TalismanRing]

On 7/7/2019 at 7:14 AM, TalismanRing said:

I didn't start tracking Aladdin or TS4 until the week they opened so I don't have comps two weeks before.

 

For what it's worth at my local

 

12 days out from Thur previews TLK is 

 

71.4% ahead of Aladdin 2 days before previews

.18% ahead of  TS4 2 days before previews

38.69% behind TS4 the night before previews

 

TLK (Sat Evening 7/6) 12 showings
 

Spoiler

 

RPX

(6pm)  23/320

(9pm)  34/320

2D

(6:30pm) 7/301

(7:30pm) 17/257

(8:30pm) 14/255

(9:30pm) 5/301

(10:30pm) 10/257

3D

(7pm) 13/301

(8pm) 12/205

(10pm) 5/301

(11pm) 4/205

FAN EVENT
(5pm) 24/205

 

 

=168/3228 = 5.2%

 

 

ALADDIN (4 showings - another was added late Thur night so not counted here) Noon TUES O/W

 

98/1242 =7.89%

 

TS4 (8 showings) 4PM TUES O/W

 

165/2049 = 8.05%

 

TS4 (8 showings) 7:30PM WED O/W

233/2049 = 11.37%

 

TLK (WED: 6:30pm) (8 days out)

 

236/3228 = 7.311%   (July 10)

 

8 days out from Thur previews TLK is 

 

240.8% ahead of Aladdin 2 days before previews

144% ahead of TS4 2 days before previews

1.1%  ahead of TS4 the night before previews

 

 

 

[XXR vs XXR]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

TLK (WED: 6:30pm) (8 days out)

 

236/3228 = 7.311%   (July 10)

 

8 days out from Thur previews TLK is 

 

240.8% ahead of Aladdin 2 days before previews

144% ahead of TS4 2 days before previews

1.1%  ahead of TS4 the night before previews

 

 

 

 

Wow your theater is another that’s incredibly far ahead of TS4 and Aladdin. 

[Sunny Max]

12 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

TLK (WED: 6:30pm) (8 days out)

 

236/3228 = 7.311%   (July 10)

 

8 days out from Thur previews TLK is 

 

240.8% ahead of Aladdin 2 days before previews

144% ahead of TS4 2 days before previews

1.1%  ahead of TS4 the night before previews

 

 

 

Amazing .. far ahead of TS4 & Aladdin ..

[FlashMaster659]

The Lion King - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Friday)

 

Dolby Cinema

 

9:00 AM - 50/203

12:00 PM - 30/203

3:00 PM - 48/203

6:00 PM - 151/203

9:00 PM - 164/203

12:15 AM - 15/203

 

RealD 3D

 

10:00 AM - 4/167

1:15 PM - 0/167

4:30 PM - 11/167

7:45 PM - 13/167

11:00 PM - 0/167

 

2D Dine-In

 

10:15 AM - 15/78

1:30 PM - 9/78

4:45 PM - 27/78

8:00 PM - 54/78

11:15 PM - 14/78

 

2D

 

8:00 AM - ?/217*

8:30 AM - ?/114*

9:30 AM - 9/167

11:00 AM - 28/217

11:45 AM - 23/114

12:30 PM - 0/167

2:00 PM - 0/217

3:15 PM - 6/114

3:45 PM - 0/167

5:15 PM - 6/217

6:15 PM - 37/114

7:00 PM - 92/167

8:30 PM - 63/217

9:30 PM - 20/114

10:15 PM - 18/167

11:45 PM - 2/217

12:45 AM - 0/114

 

Total

 

909/5264 (17.3%)

 

Toy Story 4 had sold 712 seats 4 days before opening day

 

*Glitched sell-outs once again. Although telling from the pattern that the total-seats-in-the-theater numbers form, it's easy to assume the max capacity of those shows.

Edited July 10, 2019 by FlashMaster659

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

Wow your theater is another that’s incredibly far ahead of TS4 and Aladdin. 

One week out it's ahead of everything I've casually tracked for the last three months. 

 

183% of Shazam - (Wed - 1 days out)

126% of Shazam - (Thur- 3:30 out)
229% of X-men 6 - (Tues - 2 days out)

621% of SLOP2 -  (Tues - 2 days out)

548%  of SLOP2 -  (Wed - 1 days out)

175% of Godz2    (Wed - 1 day out)

111.57%  of Godz2 -  (Thur 3:30pm)

 

Yet it still looks so empty after a month of tracking AEG so damn much.  That movie spoiled me.

 

 

 

 

[Legion Again]

6 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Yet it still looks so empty after a month of tracking AEG so damn much.  That movie spoiled me.

Damn, there goes the 60M preview dream 

[Porthos]

3 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Damn, there goes the 60M preview dream 

Simba should have smiled more. 

 

Spoiler

"emoting animals" and "needs to smile more"!  It's the two great tastes takes that go great together!

 

[XXR vs XXR]

15 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Total

 

909/5264 (17.3%)

 

Toy Story 4 had sold 712 seats 4 days before opening day

 

TS4 had a $35.4m true Friday. If I took an educated guess right now, I’d put TLK between $55-$65m.

[filmlover]

Variety:

 

Crawl: $10M

Stuber: $7-10M

 

https://variety.com/2019/film/news/box-office-spider-man-far-from-home-shows-staying-power-over-newcomers-1203262231/

 

Looks about right for both.

[MovieMan89]

I'd be shocked if Crawl does 10. That looks like an easy contender for one of the top 10 worst 3k openings to me. 

Edited July 11, 2019 by MovieMan89

[filmlover]

14 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I'd be shocked if Crawl does 10. That looks like an easy contender for one of the top 10 worst 3k openings to me. 

It's doing alright enough at my theater to not go that low but I doubt it goes much higher than the $10M forecast with the largely absent marketing push and no reviews before opening (studio opted to not screen it, a death sentence for a movie if there ever was one). I thought had potential to make similar money to previous middle-of-summer terror-in-the-water thrillers The Shallows and 47 Meters Down but now it (and Stuber unsurprisingly, considering how unfunny it looks) is looking to be an afterthought saddled between Spider-Man and The Lion King.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

Crawl Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 Day and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	28	155	3,804	4.07%

 

Total Showings Added Today: 2

Total Seats Sold Today: 57

 

By comparison, yesterday saw 32 tickets sold. 

Edited July 11, 2019 by CoolEric258

[Eric the Fall Guy]

Stuber Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 Day and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	26	120	3,174	3.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 36

 

By comparison, yesterday saw only 6 tickets sold.

[Eric the Fall Guy]

The Lion King Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 Days and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	102	2,468	18,457	13.37%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 267

 

[Porthos]

The Lion King Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	209	17990	21695	3705	17.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:               330

 

Unadjusted Comps

4.2734x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 8 days before release.

3.4401x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 8 days before release.

4.0894x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 8 days before release.

1.8913x as many tickets sold as Toy Story 4 8 days before release.

 

T-8:

Pika      132 seats sold [0 sellouts/64 shows |   6485/7352 seats    |   867 seats sold | 11.79% sold]

Aladdin  54 seats sold [0 sellouts/74 shows |  9641/10718 seats  | 1077 seats sold |  10.05% sold]

KotM      61 seats sold [0 sellouts/93 shows | 11736/12642 seats  |   906 seats sold |   7.17% sold]

TS4        91 seats sold [1 sellout/90 shows   | 10350/12309 seats  | 1959 seats sold | 15.92% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

1.8095x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 8 days before release.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

T-8:

JW2           94 seats sold  [0 sellouts/111 shows |   9354/11263 seats | 1869 seats sold | 16.59% sold]

TLK (JW)  284 seats sold  [0 sellouts/209 shows | 15765/19147 seats | 3382 seats sold | 17.66% sold]

TLK (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

[FlashMaster659]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

The Lion King Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	209	17990	21695	3705	17.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:               330

 

Unadjusted Comps

4.2734x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 8 days before release.

3.4401x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 8 days before release.

4.0894x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 8 days before release.

1.8913x as many tickets sold as Toy Story 4 8 days before release.

 

T-8:

Pika      132 seats sold [0 sellouts/64 shows |   6485/7352 seats    |   867 seats sold | 11.79% sold]

Aladdin  54 seats sold [0 sellouts/74 shows |  9641/10718 seats  | 1077 seats sold |  10.05% sold]

KotM      61 seats sold [0 sellouts/93 shows | 11736/12642 seats  |   906 seats sold |   7.17% sold]

TS4        91 seats sold [1 sellout/90 shows   | 10350/12309 seats  | 1959 seats sold | 15.92% sold]

 

Adjusted Comps

1.8095x as many tickets sold as Fallen Kingdom 8 days before release.

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: If a theater locally that is now selling tickets for reserved seating was selling them for the above movies, but as non-reserved seating for that movie, it is not counted toward the ratio of 'as many tickets sold' for the movie in question.  If a theater is brand new to the region and wasn't yet open for one of the above movies, however, it will be counted toward the ratio.  It will also be counted toward the ratio if it was playing in a different number of theaters locally.

 

T-8:

JW2           94 seats sold  [0 sellouts/111 shows |   9354/11263 seats | 1869 seats sold | 16.59% sold]

TLK (JW)  284 seats sold  [0 sellouts/209 shows | 15765/19147 seats | 3382 seats sold | 17.66% sold]

TLK (JW) is the number of tickets sold at the same theaters I had tracking info for Fallen Kingdom.

This thing is really ramping up

[superduperm]

Starting to actually believe in $200M OW. Hopefully this doesn't turn out to be another disappointing underperformance.