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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted

You know what I realized today? Shang-Chi is gonna get teared apart in a big part of Europe by After 3. Both open on the same weekend. This is the end of the MCU :Venom:

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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted

 

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

You know what I realized today? Shang-Chi is gonna get teared apart in a big part of Europe by After 3. Both open on the same weekend. This is the end of the MCU :Venom:

Well if PAPA Nolan couldn't withstand power of boners last summer, no chance PAPA Feige do.

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Cmasterclay Global Phenomenon

Cmasterclay

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Menor said:

FG was at 86434 in my early evening run at MTC2. 8% ahead of TSS in raw tickets, probably a bit less than that in gross. I would have said 8m but based on what @keysersoze123 said I am not sure about MTC1. So let's see. 

8m with or without previews?

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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted (edited)
3 hours ago, Menor said:

FG was at 86434 in my early evening run at MTC2. 8% ahead of TSS in raw tickets, probably a bit less than that in gross. I would have said 8m but based on what @keysersoze123 said I am not sure about MTC1. So let's see. 

 

You could be right. 

 

Free Guy Friday

MTC1 - 124136/646532 1685940.56 3672 shows

MTC2  - 104.2K(DBOX adjusted) 1.17m 3373 shows

 

So it finished 11% behind SS in MTC1 and did 11% better in MTC2. I agree with Menor's projections and hope for 8m friday as well.  

Edited by keysersoze123
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charlie Jatinder Global Phenomenon

charlie Jatinder

Posted
Posted (edited)

8M sounds about right. Harkins night show suggested $9-10M ish, they didn't had PLF yesterday, so probably those are inflated.

 

Edit: Though one thought. Will the smaller chains, perform like MTC2 or MTC1. If they do perform like MTC2, that means non-MTC1 FG is 1.1x TSS, i.e. $6.4M + $2M MTC1.

 

So I guess $8-8.4M. 

 

Edit 2: Even without thinking about above, $2M MTC1 would be $8.4-8.7M usually

MTC2 $1.18M usually would be $8.4-9.4M.

 

So mid 8s wouldn't be surprising.

 

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)

 

TCL Chinese Theater is saying on its webpage that tickets for Shang-Chi go on sale on Monday, 6am PDT.  More details at the post I made above.

 

EDITED:::

 

I was curious about what Jat said about tickets dropping Sunday Night, so I checked ABC's and ESPN's Sunday Night schedule and nothing is popping out to me as a good avenue for a ticket drop boost.  I mean. don't get me wrong, I luv me some baseball, but it doesn't scream "ticket launch vehicle" like Monday Night Football or a College Football Bowl game.

 

Is it possible you got some wires crossed on that Jat?  Like, as I mused in the Shang-Chi thread, maybe tickets are going on sale in part of the world on Sunday (night) but are being dropped on Monday morning in the States/Canada?

 

Only say that as looking around, I just don't see any reason for it to be Sunday Night here.  Unless I am missing something blindingly obvious.

 

(making this comment here as it really is too off topic for the main thread)

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katnisscinnaplex Box Office Gold

katnisscinnaplex

Posted
Posted
On 8/13/2021 at 9:25 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-6 The Night House Jacksonville 5 8 811 3 0 0.37%
    Phoenix 5 8 878 4 2 0.46%
    Raleigh 6 12 1,246 7 0 0.56%
  The Night House Total   16 28 2,935 14 2 0.48%
  The Protégé Jacksonville 5 8 970 8 1 0.82%
    Phoenix 6 9 1,370 10 4 0.73%
    Raleigh 7 12 1,423 7 0 0.49%
  The Protégé Total   18 29 3,763 25 5 0.66%
T-7 Paw Patrol (Friday) Jacksonville 3 15 1,751 33 18 1.88%
    Phoenix 6 17 2,698 44 4 1.63%
    Raleigh 3 14 1,274 69 17 5.42%
  Paw Patrol (Friday) Total   12 46 5,723 146 39 2.55%
  Reminiscence (Friday) Jacksonville 5 18 2,646 6 1 0.23%
    Phoenix 6 21 2,824 6 0 0.21%
    Raleigh 7 27 3,637 2 2 0.05%
  Reminiscence (Friday) Total   18 66 9,107 14 3 0.15%

 

Paw Patrol continues to look like the winner for next week.  Currently pacing at .43x of Space Jam's opening Friday for 5.66m.  It's improved against SJ two days in a row.

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-5 The Night House Jacksonville 5 8 811 3 0 0.37%
    Phoenix 5 8 878 4 0 0.46%
    Raleigh 6 12 1,246 8 1 0.64%
  The Night House Total   16 28 2,935 15 1 0.51%
  The Protégé Jacksonville 5 8 970 10 2 1.03%
    Phoenix 6 9 1,370 13 3 0.95%
    Raleigh 7 12 1,423 7 0 0.49%
  The Protégé Total   18 29 3,763 30 5 0.80%
T-6 Paw Patrol (Friday) Jacksonville 3 16 1,793 34 1 1.90%
    Phoenix 6 17 2,698 44 0 1.63%
    Raleigh 3 14 1,274 95 26 7.46%
  Paw Patrol (Friday) Total   12 47 5,765 173 27 3.00%
  Reminiscence (Friday) Jacksonville 5 18 2,646 7 1 0.26%
    Phoenix 6 21 2,824 6 0 0.21%
    Raleigh 7 27 3,637 7 5 0.19%
  Reminiscence (Friday) Total   18 66 9,107 20 6 0.22%

 

Good day in Raleigh for Paw Patrol.  Not much else to report.  

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

TCL Chinese Theater is saying on its webpage that tickets for Shang-Chi go on sale on Monday, 6am PDT.  More details at the post I made above.

 

EDITED:::

 

I was curious about what Jat said about tickets dropping Sunday Night, so I checked ABC's and ESPN's Sunday Night schedule and nothing is popping out to me as a good avenue for a ticket drop boost.  I mean. don't get me wrong, I luv me some baseball, but it doesn't scream "ticket launch vehicle" like Monday Night Football or a College Football Bowl game.

 

Is it possible you got some wires crossed on that Jat?  Like, as I mused in the Shang-Chi thread, maybe tickets are going on sale in part of the world on Sunday (night) but are being dropped on Monday morning in the States/Canada?

 

Only say that as looking around, I just don't see any reason for it to be Sunday Night here.  Unless I am missing something blindingly obvious.

 

(making this comment here as it really is too off topic for the main thread)

There was a post in r/boxoffice of someone's theater showing that tickets went on sale on Sunday night, I had thought it was a US theater but maybe not (or maybe it was fake and/or a mistake).

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Menor the Destroyer Summer Tentpole

Menor the Destroyer

Posted
Posted (edited)

I had Friday final at 105833 which seems a bit low for the Friday Deadline is reporting (although it matches what @EmpireCity had). Idk. Maybe smaller chains brought it up. 

 

Saturday PS is outstanding. 32400 already, 18% ahead of Friday at the same point in raw tickets. We could see a bump well over 20% in the end. 

Edited by Menor
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