The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Nova]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

It honestly looks like a movie that would've opened about 15 years ago.

Agreed. That it’s even going to hit double digits is an accomplishment in itself lol 

[WrathOfHan]

Tonight at my theater:

 

Sicario:

7:00: 7/60

9:55: 0/60

Total: 7/120

 

Uncle Drew:

7:00: 4/78

9:50: 0/78

Total: 4/156

[TwoMisfits]

Well, to give a more hopeful note to openers, here's presales at my theaters tonight...

 

Regal local

Sicario - 2 showings - 53/90, 16/90 for 69/180 (not bad)

Uncle Drew - 2 showings - 20/75, 6/75 for 26/150 (not good, but not crash and burn numbers)

 

Cinemark local

Sicario - 4 showings - 25/110, 5/60, 13/110, 6/60 for 49/340 (not as good, but not terrible)

Uncle Drew - 3 showings - 0/60, 0/60, 0/60 for 0/180 (okay, these are crash and burn numbers - I think they are pulling the last show for something else)

 

So, to sum up, Sicario is looking pretty good, and I'd expect it to meet or beat tracking...Uncle Drew is all over the place - somewhere between crash and burn and not good, so I'd say tracking or below without some really nice walking up...although, this could totally walk up...

 

[Rebeccas]

These are both walk up movies. Presales are probably not that helpful tbh.

[Eric is Quiet]

Hotel 3 Preview

57

113

50.44%

Sicario 2	24	1044	2.30%
Uncle Drew	154	1344	11.46%

 

I didn't get the Jumanji or Love, Simon advance previews, so it's hard to judge Hotel Transylvania, but filling up half the auditorium seems pretty good, especially since there's still two days left for more seats to be filled.

 

Sicario 2 Comps:

66% of The Foreigner ($8.7M)

30% of The Commuter ($4.1M)

77% of 12 Strong ($12.2M)

50% of The 15:17 to Paris ($6.3M)

80% of Annihilation ($8.9M)

41% of Death Wish ($5.3M)

21% of Tomb Raider ($5.1M)

28% of Pacific Rim 2 ($7.8M)

19% of Rampage ($7M)

 

Hmmm....with this movie doing well on MT and Pulse, as well as being walk-up driven, it's possible my theater is just an outlier, but it does seem like low-teens or below is possible.

 

Uncle Drew Comps:

77% of Jumanji ($27.8M)

92% of Pitch Perfect 3 ($18.4M)

43% of Proud Mary ($4.3M)

99% of Den of Thieves ($15.7M)

32% of Acrimony ($5.6M)

118% of Super Troopers 2 ($18M)

152% of Traffik ($6M)

36% of Breaking In ($6.3M)

148% of Superfly ($10.2M)

 

Again, another hard one to track, especially since black-led movies consistently overperform at my theater. I feel like somewhere around Superfly seems like the safest bet looking at tracking and Pulse sales, but of course, this is also a walk-up based movie, so it's a real wild card.

[poweranimals]

It looks like I2 is about to pass JWFK this weekend.

 

MT:

JWFK: 38%

I2: 37.6%

Sicario: 4.4%

Ocean's 8: 3.4%

Tag: 2%

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed
A Quiet Place	2177	4003	10665
Blockers	504	1106	2931
Rampage	705	1508	4109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2133
Super Troopers	2825	3447	6881
I Feel Pretty	871	1610	4423
Avengers: Infinity War	49836	54892	68826
Overboard	84	409	1044
Breaking In	727	1204	2899
Life Of The Party	587	1310	3010
Deadpool 2	23134	28896	41212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1599	3283
SW: Solo	15855	15855	28533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1268
Oceans 8	3009	4372	11114
Hereditary (R)	659	1178	3181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20872	23430	39337
Tag	314	660	1448
Jurassic World 2	9310	12761	23,266
Sicaro 2	788	1282	3403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1201

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, poweranimals said:

It looks like I2 is about to pass JWFK this weekend.

 

MT:

JWFK: 38%

I2: 37.6%

Sicario: 4.4%

Ocean's 8: 3.4%

Tag: 2%

JWFK should have a bigger Friday jump and w/e multi.  Next w/e though is quite possible

[Joyous Legion]

Wouldn’t be surprised if I2 gets the bulk of AM&tW double features either, given the tonal fit (and the fact that WiT doesn’t need anymore 😛).

[TalismanRing]

2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Wouldn’t be surprised if I2 gets the bulk of AM&tW double features either, given the tonal fit (and the fact that WiT doesn’t need anymore 😛).

Yes, though it will probably be around $30m that w/e so the impact wouldn't be that noticeable

 

Edited June 28, 2018 by TalismanRing

[WrathOfHan]

Uncle Drew needs some strong walkups if it’s even going to sniff mid-teens.

[TalismanRing]

Fandango AP Today (as of 4pm CST)

 

Fandango App

Monday

Tues

Wed

Thursday

 

Sicaro 2	788	1282	3403	3053
Uncle Drew	274	473	1201	1438

 

 

Fandango eyeball count at 1:45pm & 4:45pm EST

 

Sicario 2: 16 avg (1:45pm)  21.5 (4:45pm) 

Uncle Drew: 7.33 avg (1:45pm),  8.33pm (4:45pm)

 

[UD with the same 45.8% of S2 as in the  AP count so my eyeballs seem to be working]

 

Sicario 2 

 

Atomic Blonde:  15.5 (1pm) 18.3 (4pm) 28 (7pm)

Am. Assassin:     5 (2:10pm), 13.2 (4pm), 18.75 (7:15pm)

American Made:  7 (2:15 avg),  12 (4:30pm), 20 (7pm), 20 (7:30)

Foreigner:    4.8 (2pm) 11 (7:00pm), 15.4 (7:30), 12.6 (7:40)

 

I don't know what to comp Uncle Drew to.  Is this a comedy teens and adults are going to or is geared toward for kids?

 

Edit - looking at reviews it's more for teens and adult so Snow Dogs as a comp is out. 

 

Edit: UPDATED

Edited June 28, 2018 by TalismanRing

[WrathOfHan]

24 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango AP Today (as of 1pm CST)

 

Sicaro 2	788	1282	3403	1900
Uncle Drew	274	473	1201	872

 

 

Fandango eyeball count at 1:45pm EST

 

Sicario 2: 16 avg

Uncle Drew: 7.33 avg

 

[UD with the same 45.8% of S2 as in the  AP count so my eyeballs seem to be working]

 

Sicario 2 

 

Atomic Blonde:  15.5 (1pm) 18.3 (4pm) 28 (7pm)

Am. Assassin:     5 (2:10pm), 13.2 (4pm), 18.75 (7:15pm)

American Made:  7 (2:15 avg),  12 (4:30pm), 20 (7pm), 20 (7:30)

Foreigner:    4.8 (2pm) 11 (7:00pm), 15.4 (7:30), 12.6 (7:40)

 

I don't know what to comp Uncle Drew to.  Is this a comedy teens and adults are going to or is geared toward for kids?

Drew is definitely aimed more for teens and adults

[WrathOfHan]

7:00 shows:

 

Uncle Drew: 33/78

Sicario: 22/60

 

Sicario's late show has sold 5 tickets while Drew's is currently empty. I'll do comps later, but this is very strong for Drew and pretty weak for Sicario depending on the comp. I believe this is on par with what The Foreigner sold, which underperformed a bit the first two days. Sicario's already bordering on 40 tickets for tomorrow though

Edited June 28, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[aabattery]

8 hours ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Would it not have been better to release Uncle Drew during the NBA season or playoffs?

 

Blame the Cavs for that.

[Pinacolada]

30 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

7:00 shows:

 

Uncle Drew: 33/78

Sicario: 22/60

 

Sicario's late show has sold 5 tickets while Drew's is currently empty. I'll do comps later, but this is very strong for Drew and pretty weak for Sicario depending on the comp. I believe this is on par with what The Foreigner sold, which underperformed a bit the first two days. Sicario's already bordering on 40 tickets for tomorrow though

In my area Sicario is selling really well at 7pm in multiple different theaters

[aabattery]

 

Quote

Sony’s “The Equalizer 2” and Universal’s “Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again” are heading for solid North American launches in the $27 million to $33 million range for the July 20-22 weekend, early tracking showed Thursday.

 

Get that money, Denzel.

[Brainbug]

Thats 30M too high for Mamma Mia.

[The Panda]

1 minute ago, Brainbug said:

Thats 30M too high for Mamma Mia.

[WrathOfHan]

The Equalizer hype is real. My dad hasn’t seen the first but really wants to check the new one out.