The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[MrGlass2]

13 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

7:00 Purge: 49/78

 

Uh damn, this is pretty big. The late show is selling extremely well too. I won't have any comps for this 🤔

Their smart media strategy (buying ads online targeting an elite audience of shrewd trendsetters) is really paying off.

 

[GambitPool]

Didn't get to check the 7:05 showing, but this is what my theater looks like:

 

Purge 8:15: 59/108

Purge 10:00: 34/49

 

The 10 showing might get a sellout. 

[DAJK]

Movietickets

 

Jurassic World - 28.1

Incredibles 2 - 26.2

Purge - 6.7

Sicario - 5.9

Uncle Drew - 5.3

 

 

Given that discount Tuesday night has started pretty much everywhere except the far west coast, these numbers could be rather telling for Purge. Sicario and Drew are no doubt going to increase from Monday, and from what it looks like Purge is going to sell well into the late evening. I wouldn't say 3M or more is out of the question. 

[Mojoguy]

Given that discount Tuesday night has started pretty much everywhere except the far west coast, these numbers could be rather telling for Purge.

Purge isn't getting the Tuesday Discount at my local theater. The price depends on the place.

[Nova]

3 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Purge isn't getting the Tuesday Discount at my local theater. The price depends on the place.

I don’t believe discount Tuesday tickets accounts for Tuesday releases at a lot of theater chains. 

[MrGlass2]

8 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:

Purge isn't getting the Tuesday Discount at my local theater. The price depends on the place.

I think DAJK meant discounts for Sicario and Uncle Drew, to try and predict Purge numbers.

[WrathOfHan]

Just saw an Equalizer ad on YouTube; it's getting IMAX

[TwoMisfits]

Okay, no time to post a full screen write up, but I wanted to mention both of my local 12s are 3-screening Ant-Man, so for any insane folks, $150M is the max possible this weekend (using my # of screens at my locals X $50M cap)...it's good for those hoping for this to break $100M (although, you're gonna need more than just my locals to give screens to hit that hope:)...

 

I wasn't sure they were gonna 3 screen it, b/c it's not selling well Friday or late Thursday, but if I was a movie subscription pass holder (like Moviepass, Sinemia, and/or AMC), this seems like the type of movie I wouldn't prebuy for, and I'd just walk up...from the critics, it seems like it would be worth my time, but wouldn't shatter my world...and those are like the ideal for "I'll take a seat wherever and whenever I get one this weekend" free movie goers...

Edited July 4, 2018 by TwoMisfits

[GambitPool]

2 hours ago, GambitPool said:

Didn't get to check the 7:05 showing, but this is what my theater looks like:

 

Purge 8:15: 59/108

Purge 10:00: 34/49

 

The 10 showing might get a sellout. 

Update:

 

10pm showing has sold out to end the night. 

[YLF]

My friend and I wanted to see the first purge tonight but the four amc’swe were willing to drive to we’re all sold out or near sold out(no seats next to each other) from 7-1045pm showtimes.

Edited July 4, 2018 by YLF

[Porthos]

Ant Man & The Wasp Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-2 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	8605	10896	21.03%

 

Total Showings Added Today:             16 (5 for non-reserved showings)

Total Seats Added Today:                  873

Total Seats Sold Today:                     268

 

.2122x as many tickets sold as Infinity War two days before the premiere.

.4340x as many tickets sold as Black Panther two days before the premiere.

.4497x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 two days before the premiere. 

.5090x as many tickets sold as Solo two days before the premiere. 

.6691x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 two days before the premiere. 

 

===================

(spoiler box removed, as it didn't take as much screen space as I thought it might)

 

More detailed T-2 comps:

 

IW:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	8	162	3875	14671	73.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:          691

 

BP:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	7	111	5080	10359	50.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:          766

 

DP2:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	141	9796	14890	36.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Toady:          725

 

Solo:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	135	8879	13380	33.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:          236

 

JW2:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	145	10171	13595	25.19%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:            551

[Joyous Legion]

So somewhere between...

55 minutes ago, Porthos said:

.6691x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 two days before the premiere. 

...99M...

55 minutes ago, Porthos said:

.5090x as many tickets sold as Solo two days before the premiere. 

...and 42M 

[HouseOfTheSun]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

Ant Man & The Wasp Greater Sacramento Area Seat Report: T-2 Days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	8605	10896	21.03%

 

Total Showings Added Today:             16 (5 for non-reserved showings)

Total Seats Added Today:                  873

Total Seats Sold Today:                     268

 

.2122x as many tickets sold as Infinity War two days before the premiere.

.4340x as many tickets sold as Black Panther two days before the premiere.

.4497x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 two days before the premiere. 

.5090x as many tickets sold as Solo two days before the premiere. 

.6691x as many tickets sold as Jurassic World 2 two days before the premiere. 

 

===================

(spoiler box removed, as it didn't take as much screen space as I thought it might)

 

More detailed T-2 comps:

 

IW:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	8	162	3875	14671	73.59%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:          691

 

BP:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	7	111	5080	10359	50.96%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:          766

 

DP2:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	141	9796	14890	36.70%

 

Total Seats Sold Toady:          725

 

Solo:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	1	135	8879	13380	33.64%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:          236

 

JW2:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	145	10171	13595	25.19%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:            551

The thing is, every single one of those are more Presales heavy than Ant Man and the Wasp will be

[MattW]

32 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

So somewhere between...

...99M...

...and 42M 

I believe it's for Thursday previews, not the weekend as a whole, so if it has the same presales:walk-ups as each of those it would be:

IW 8.3

BP 10.9

DP2 8.4

Solo 7.2

JW2 10.2

 

I think it's safe to say the presales:walk-ups will be more like JW and BP than it will be like Solo, DP and IW

Edited July 4, 2018 by MattW

[Porthos]

24 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

So somewhere between...

...99M...

...and 42M 

Only tracking Preview Night numbers here, remember.   After that, some of these films will have different Preview -> OW multipliers.  SW on one end of the extreme, JW 2 on the other.  Marvel, meanwhile, has historically had a very good preview to OW multiplier.  Just not as good as JW.

Edited July 4, 2018 by Porthos

[MikeQ]

34 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Only tracking Preview Night numbers here, remember.   After that, some of these films will have different Preview -> OW multipliers.  SW on one end of the extreme, JW 2 on the other.  Marvel, meanwhile, has historically had a very good preview to OW multiplier.  Just not as good as JW.

Yeah, even the original Ant-Man was more previews heavy than the Jurassic World sequel. Ant-Man's share of its opening weekend from previews is 11.2% versus Fallen Kingdom's 10.3%. The Jurassic World series is showing itself to be very walk-up based (or less preview heavy, to be technical), even with its sequel, as you mention.

 

Peace,

Mike

[Nova]

The Purge is up to 9.3% on MT. Im feeling a breakout coming. What do you think @That One Guy

[a2k]

Looking at some above numbers feel that Ant-Man is looking for a healthy debut in the high 70s/low 80s (77-83).  That with 2.75x multi gives 212-228 dom.

[WrathOfHan]

DAMN, Purge is #1 on Pulse right now

[Nova]

7 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

DAMN, Purge is #1 on Pulse right now

So what you’re saying is over Ant-Man confirmed?