The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[TwoMisfits]

MT.com - both openers have now popped on...

 

24% Mission: Impossible - Fallout

18.6% Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again

11.5% Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

7.1% Teen Titans GO! to the Movies

6.5% Equalizer 2, The

[DAJK]

BP losing 90 percent of its theatres. Guess Disney is just giving up on 700M. Shame that it's gonna go down as another Gnomeo and Juliet

[Biggestgeekever]

Yeah I'm feeling $7M+ previews and 75+ for the weekend as well, @el sid. Final predictions:

 

Pre: $7.4M

Fri: $21.7M/$29.1M

Sat: $26.5M  +22.12%/-8.93%

Sun: $21.5M -18.87%

 

OW: $77.1M

2nd: $38.2M -50.45%

3rd: $23.8M - 37.70%

4th: $14.2M -40.34%

 

DOM: $258M

INT: $562M

WW: $820M

 

Perhaps too ambitious, but all the signs are there. It's youtube views, twitter tracking, and now ticket sales look to be way ahead of Rogue Nation.

Edited July 26, 2018 by Biggestgeekever

[MrPink]

3 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

Yeah I'm feeling $7M+ previews and 75+ for the weekend as well, @el sid. Final predictions:

 

Pre: $7.4M

Fri: $21.7M/$29.1M

Sat: $26.5M  +22.12%/-8.93%

Sun: $21.5M -18.87%

 

OW: $77.1M

2nd: $38.2M -50.45%

3rd: $23.8M - 37.70%

4th: $14.2M -40.34%

 

DOM: $258M

INT: $562M

WW: $820M

 

Perhaps too ambitious, but all the signs are there. It's youtube views, twitter tracking, and now ticket sales look to be way ahead of Rogue Nation.

 

75m would make 250m a pretty achievable target. Would love that.

Edited July 26, 2018 by MrPink

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

7 minutes ago, DAJK said:

BP losing 90 percent of its theatres. Guess Disney is just giving up on 700M. Shame that it's gonna go down as another Gnomeo and Juliet

Truly, its legacy.

[WrathOfHan]

6:30 Teen Titans: 24/78 (37/156 Total so far)

7:00 Mission Impossible: 88/124

Edited July 26, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[dxmatrixdt]

got ~ 41 reserved seats/showing from 12 showings starting at 4pm.  

the counts were taken starting at 3:50 and ending at 4pm where I came up 2 theaters short of what I wanted.  They would have probably curved down the results to 40/showing.

 

Hard to guess if this is starting today in 2,000 or 3,000 theaters.

 

Pretend it started in 2,500 theaters at 4pm averaging 41 tickets and that is it for the day w/ matinee pricing at $8/ticket instead of $9.16.

(2,500)(41)($8.00) = $820,000.

[DAJK]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

6:30 Teen Titans: 24/78 (37/156 Total so far)

7:00 Mission Impossible: 88/124

Compssssssss

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, DAJK said:

Compssssssss

Wait until the 8:30 MI and you'll get full comps.

[DAJK]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Wait until the 8:30 MI and you'll get full comps.

that's like... a hour away and I need to get my survivor in

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, DAJK said:

that's like... a hour away and I need to get my survivor in

 

[Poseidon]

39 minutes ago, DAJK said:

BP losing 90 percent of its theatres. Guess Disney is just giving up on 700M. Shame that it's gonna go down as another Gnomeo and Juliet

 

This will get another push with a Labor Day Re-Release and make it then.

 

[HesAPooka]

Fallout 26.4 Movietickets

 

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-07-26 18:00:50 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-07-26 17:00:00	1069	Mission Impossible - Fallout
2018-07-26 17:00:00	351	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
2018-07-26 17:00:00	229	The Equalizer 2
2018-07-26 17:00:00	200	Teen Titans Go! To the Movies
2018-07-26 17:00:00	185	Mission Impossible - Fallout The IMAX 2D Experience
2018-07-26 17:00:00	159	Ant-Man and the Wasp
2018-07-26 17:00:00	146	Mission Impossible - Fallout 3D

Edited July 26, 2018 by HesAPooka

[dxmatrixdt]

52 minutes ago, HesAPooka said:

 

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-07-26 18:00:50 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-07-26 17:00:00	1069	Mission Impossible - Fallout
2018-07-26 17:00:00	351	Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again
2018-07-26 17:00:00	229	The Equalizer 2
2018-07-26 17:00:00	200	Teen Titans Go! To the Movies

[Eric is Quiet]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Wait until the 8:30 MI and you'll get full comps.

It's past 8:30. Where are the comps?

[WrathOfHan]

Final sales tonight:

 

Mission Impossible:

7:00: 88/124

8:30: 26/67

Total 114/191

 

Teen Titans:

4:00: 13/78

6:30: 24/78

9:00: 13/78

Total: 50/234

 

MI comps:

 

42% of Ant-Man and the Wasp (31.8M)

115% of The Equalizer 2 (41.4M) (167%/60.1M with the 4 PM show removed)

135% of Rampage (48.3M)

135% of Dunkirk (68.2M)

140% of Blade Runner 2049 (45.9M)

140% of Kingsman 2 (54.6M)

285% of American Made (47.9M)

440% of The Commuter (60.3M)

455% of Death Wish (59.2M)

 

Now is the time to temper your expectations if you think this is opening to 65-70M. Considering this week's tracking is 50-57M, 60M definitely isn't a lock by any stretch of the imagination.

 

Teen Titans is running at 45% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (19.8M) and 16% of Incredibles 2 (29.2M). These are really fucking good numbers, especially when the late show is doing a bit of heavy lifting.

Edited July 27, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[WrathOfHan]

How tomorrow looks at my theater:

 

Spoiler

Mission Impossible:

 

10:00: 30/124

11:00 3D: 10/78

12:00: 8/78

1:00: 13/78

2:15 3D: 2/78

3:15: 27/78

3:45: 0/124

5:30 3D: 0/78

6:30: 8/78

7:15: 21/113

8:45 3D: 2/78

9:30: 2/124

10:30: 0/113

 

Mamma Mia:

 

10:55: 19/113

1:45: 27/113

4:30: 0/113

6:35: 0/78

9:20: 4/78

 

Teen Titans:

 

10:30: 14/78

1:15: 19/124

4:15: 0/78

7:00: 7/124

9:45: 0/78

 

Hotel Transylvania 3:

 

11:10: 5/69

1:00: 2/67

4:35: 0/69

6:25: 6/67

10:05: 0/69

 

The Equalizer 2:

 

10:05: 8/78

12:50: 2/78

3:30: 0/78

6:10: 0/78

9:00: 2/78

 

Ant-Man and the Wasp:

 

10:10: 4/63

1:05: 0/63

3:50: 0/63

6:40: 5/63

9:35: 0/63

 

Incredibles 2:

 

10:00: 4/67

1:35: 0/69

3:25: 1/67

7:05: 0/69

9:00: 3/67

 

Jurassic World:

 

10:05: 7/60

1:10: 1/60

4:10: 0/60

7:10: 0/60

10:10: 0/60

 

The First Purge:

 

4:00: 0/78

6:30: 2/78

 

Unfriended:

 

9:05: 1/78

 

Mission Impossible: 123/1,098 (109 2D/14 3D)

Mamma Mia: 50/495

Teen Titans: 40/482

Hotel Transylvania 3: 13/341

The Equalizer 2: 12/390

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 9/315

Incredibles 2: 8/339

Jurassic World: 8/300

The First Purge: 2/156

Unfriended: 1/78

 

MI comps:

 

43% of Ant-Man and the Wasp (32.6M)

125% of The Equalizer 2 (45M)

140% of Dunkirk (70.7M)

230% of Kingsman 2 (89.7M)

233% of Rampage (83.4M)

285% of Death Wish (37.1M)

310% of Sicario 2 (58.9M)

325% of Blade Runner 2049 (106.6M)

350% of The Commuter (48M)

455% of American Made (76.4M)

 

Teen Titans is running at 6% of Incredibles 2 (11M) and 33% of Emoji (8.1M)

[Alli]

i hope this doesn't pull an Edge of Tomorrow (great movie, but flop at the BO)

[Curtis1986]

 based on the turnout for tonight's IMAX showing for Mission Impossible 6 I don't see this coming close to 60+

Edited July 27, 2018 by Curtis1986

[dxmatrixdt]

2 hours ago, dmatrixfilm1715 said:

got ~ 41 reserved seats/showing from 12 showings starting at 4pm.  

the counts were taken starting at 3:50 and ending at 4pm where I came up 2 theaters short of what I wanted.  They would have probably curved down the results to 40/showing.

 

Hard to guess if this is starting today in 2,000 or 3,000 theaters.

 

Pretend it started in 2,500 theaters at 4pm averaging 41 tickets and that is it for the day w/ matinee pricing at $8/ticket instead of $9.16.

(2,500)(41)($8.00) = $820,000.

only caught 9 of these 12 theaters for the second showing 6-7pm from 4pm.

 

4pm             

9 venues - 372 reserved seats ~ still 41 avg.

 

6-7pm              

9 venues - 393 reserved seats ~ 44 avg.

 

Using a matinee pricing that is the average of the $8.00 I did above in the quoted, and the $9.16 regular, 

= $8.58 

(2,500)(44)($8.58) = $943,800. in round #2, +15% which the bump in prices and attendance.

 

they all have a next showing and some of them have twilights too