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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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Shivampa Straight-to-DVD

Shivampa

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Spike is already headed back down:

  


2019-02-03 20:00:00	155	Glass (2019)
2019-02-03 20:00:00	128	Captain Marvel (2019)
2019-02-03 20:00:00	118	Miss Bala (2019)
2019-02-03 20:00:00	102	The Upside
2019-02-03 20:00:00	59	The Lego Movie 2 The Second Part
2019-02-03 20:00:00	55	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse

 

19:00 final numbers, for those who care:

  


2019-02-03 19:00:00	715	Captain Marvel (2019)
2019-02-03 19:00:00	221	Glass (2019)
2019-02-03 19:00:00	203	Miss Bala (2019)
2019-02-03 19:00:00	182	The Upside
2019-02-03 19:00:00	161	Captain Marvel The IMAX 2D Experience
2019-02-03 19:00:00	105	Spider-Man Into the Spider-Verse
2019-02-03 19:00:00	98	Aquaman
2019-02-03 19:00:00	86	The Lego Movie 2 The Second Part
2019-02-03 19:00:00	75	Captain Marvel 3D

So is it good for the movie or not? 

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, Shivampa said:

So is it good for the movie or not? 

I mean, it's not bad.  But I haven't paid enough attention to prior Super Bowl spots when tickets were already on sale to tell you just how good it is or isn't.  

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
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On 1/31/2019 at 10:21 PM, Porthos said:

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-35 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

81

7892

10616

25.69%

 

Total Sellouts Today:            2

Total Seats Sold Today:      40

 

.4556x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 35 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days]

 

On 1/31/2019 at 10:23 PM, Porthos said:

A note about this.

 

The two 6pm 'Opening Night Fan Events' for Century Arden disappeared from all ticketing sites that I can find, including Cinemark's.  Unlike AMC it's very rare for Cinemark/Century to completely de-list a showing once it sells out, though I think I've seen it happen very occasionally.

 

There were six and nine seats left in those two showings, so it is possible some Marvel-stans came by today, bought them out, and then Century Arden delisted it for whatever reason.  I suspect, however, that it's more likely a computer glitch somewhere along the line.  So I have NOT included those 15 tickets, nor the two mooted sellouts, in today's bloc.

 

If those showings don't re-appear soon enough, say a few days, I'll go ahead and re-adjust this day's total for the tickets sold and the two sellouts, and all of the subsequent stat blocks.

 

Better to be a bit cautious than set some folks up for disappointment if I had to take two sellouts off the board, I reckon. :)

Well, those showtimes are still off the board 72 hours later, so I have to presume that they are in fact either sold out, or Century Arden decided it didn't like money and just took them off the board prematurely, losing a few hundred dollars in the process (as they most certainly would have eventually sold out).

 

As such, and as the quoted post now shows, I went back and added two sellouts and 15 sold seats (6 for one showing, 9 for the other) to Thursday's total and all subsequent days.  

 

If they do pop back up I'll first swear quietly under my breath.  Then, depending on just how much later it is in the run, either re-adjust the previous totals or report it as 'lost sellouts' on that day.  Might depend on my mood at the time. 

 

I do feel a tad uneasy about calling the seats sold.  But only a tad since, as I said, I just find it hard to believe that Cinemark would flush 200+ dollars in tickets and who knows how many concession dollars down the drain for 6pm 'prime time' seats that I am 99.999% certain would be sold. 

 

I feel much less uncertain about calling it a sellout, as it most certainly is one if another ticket is never made available for those showings.

 

Daily report in a bit (getting started on it right now). :)

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JB33 Blockbuster

JB33

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

Well, those showtimes are still off the board 72 hours later, so I have to presume that they are in fact either sold out, or Century Arden decided it didn't like money and just took them off the board prematurely, losing a few hundred dollars in the process (as they most certainly would have eventually sold out).

 

As such, and as the quoted post now shows, I went back and added two sellouts and 15 sold seats (6 for one showing, 9 for the other) to Thursday's total and all subsequent days.  

 

If they do pop back up I'll first swear quietly under my breath.  Then, depending on just how much later it is in the run, either re-adjust the previous totals or report it as 'lost sellouts' on that day.  Might depend on my mood at the time. 

 

I do feel a tad uneasy about calling the seats sold.  But only a tad since, as I said, I just find it hard to believe that Cinemark would flush 200+ dollars in tickets and who knows how many concession dollars down the drain for 6pm 'prime time' seats that I am 99.999% certain would be sold. 

 

I feel much less uncertain about calling it a sellout, as it most certainly is one if another ticket is never made available for those showings.

 

Daily report in a bit (getting started on it right now). :)

Much appreciated, good sir!

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-32 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

81

7756

10616

26.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              76

 

.4616x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 32 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days]

 

Day 32 Comp:

 

IW:        40 tickets sold [1 sellout/114 showings |   4815/11011 seats left  | 56.27% sold] 

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Eric the IF Global Phenomenon

Eric the IF

Posted
Posted

This Sunday's Pulse results are finally updated. I normally don't publish this kind of stuff here, because I'm lazy and already do weekdays. But considering it's Super Bowl Sunday, I thought it woulda been interesting to see how much of a bump movies that got a Super Bowl spot got from said spots.

 

 

Movie Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday

Alita 748 385 276 474

 

Captain Marvel 774 603 515 2,504

 

Us 31 19 13 49

 

 

Sunday almost always sees an increase from Friday and Saturday (people already saw their holdovers for the weekend and such), but it seems like Captain Marvel saw the biggest boost from the SB spot, increasing by a staggering 486% from Saturday and reaching over 2,500. The last time CM even crossed the 1,000 ticket threshold was Monday, January 14, which was about 3 weeks ago, while 2,500 was all the way back in January 9, its third day of presales and close to 4 weeks ago. It's fair to say that spot was very effective.

 

Alita isn't as impressive, but still solid enough with a 179% increase from Saturday. By comparison, Glass's first Saturday to Sunday saw a 156% jump without any Super Bowl spot. We can argue whether or not the spot helped the movie get a bigger jump from Glass or not, but I'd say that it's relatively decent either way.

 

Us is obviously the lowest-selling  out of all three movies, but it's important to remember that the movie is a month and a half away. The movie's more or less doing a marathon rather than a sprint. But it's definitely the largest amount of sales in a pretty long time, and a 377% jump from Saturday to Sunday is nothing to sneeze at, and likely wouldn't have happened if the movie didn't get a Super Bowl spot.

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Stewart Box Office Gold

Stewart

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, Deep Wang said:

CP - 23k

LM2 - 346k

WMW - 121k

 

HDD2U - 10k

IIR - 17k

A - 253k

 

HTTYD - 142k

 

CM - 2.9m(+410k in last 12 days)

 

What's going on with Alita? That seems rather large? Or is it expected to be presale heavy?

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