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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted

Pulse always 8:35-8:49 EST:

The LEGO Movie 2: 120/15 minutes - Ralph II (56.2M OW) had 52/15 at the same time on a Monday (Wednesday release) so this is very good
What Men Want: 44/15
Cold Pursuit: 27/15 - Miss Bala had 6/15 at that time, Widows 27/15, Hunter Killer 12/15
The Prodigy: 4/15
 

And Pulse always 10:35-10:49 EST:
 

The LEGO Movie 2: 113/15 minutes - Ralph II had at that time on Monday 130/15; so Lego 2 had the much better start today but is at the moment a little bit behind Ralph II
What Men Want: 52/15 - not bad but after the last days I thought that the number would be higher; unfortunately I have no exact data from Night School and The Upside isn't the best comparison but that movie had at the same time but on Thursday 130/15, probably WMW is still a bit behind tomorrow
Cold Pursuit: 25/15 - Miss Bala had 10/15 at that time, Widows 34/15, Hunter Killer 19/15, Serenity 20/15 - before I counted the second time today (10:35-10:49) I would have said it should do better than 7-10M but now, no idea, probably tomorrow we get a clearer picture
The Prodigy: 10/15 - ca. on par with what Slender Man was doing at that time (but that film improved on Thursday, maybe it's the same here).

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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, el sid said:

Pulse always 8:35-8:49 EST:

The LEGO Movie 2: 120/15 minutes - Ralph II (56.2M OW) had 52/15 at the same time on a Monday (Wednesday release) so this is very good
What Men Want: 44/15
Cold Pursuit: 27/15 - Miss Bala had 6/15 at that time, Widows 27/15, Hunter Killer 12/15
The Prodigy: 4/15
 

And Pulse always 10:35-10:49 EST:
 

The LEGO Movie 2: 113/15 minutes - Ralph II had at that time on Monday 130/15; so Lego 2 had the much better start today but is at the moment a little bit behind Ralph II
What Men Want: 52/15 - not bad but after the last days I thought that the number would be higher; unfortunately I have no exact data from Night School and The Upside isn't the best comparison but that movie had at the same time but on Thursday 130/15, probably WMW is still a bit behind tomorrow
Cold Pursuit: 25/15 - Miss Bala had 10/15 at that time, Widows 34/15, Hunter Killer 19/15, Serenity 20/15 - before I counted the second time today (10:35-10:49) I would have said it should do better than 7-10M but now, no idea, probably tomorrow we get a clearer picture
The Prodigy: 10/15 - ca. on par with what Slender Man was doing at that time (but that film improved on Thursday, maybe it's the same here).

So from these I'd say LEGO is heading towards mid-50s, WMW around 25, Cold Pursuit around 12, and prodigy 5-7

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YM! Global Phenomenon

YM!

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21 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Variety:

 

Lego: $50M from WB ($60M for analysts rejoice @YourMother the Edgelord)

What Men Want: $15-25M (lol what a discrepancy)

Cold Pursuit: $7-10M

The Prodigy: $7M

 

https://variety.com/2019/film/box-office/box-office-lego-movie-2-what-men-want-1203128808/

YOU’RE SUCH A HOT TEMPTATION

 

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted (edited)

Captain Marvel Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-29 Days and counting

 

 

Sellouts

Showings

Seats left

Total Seats

Perct Sold

TOTALS

2

81

7605

10616

28.36%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:              30

 

.4730x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 29 days before release. [Captain Marvel has 58 days of pre-sales compared to Infinity War's 41 days]

 

Day T-29 Comp:

 

IW:        66 tickets sold [1 sellout/114 showings |   4648/11011 seats left  | 57.79% sold] 

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Napoleon Summer Tentpole

Napoleon

Posted
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2 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Maybe people are confusing it with the music group and accidentally clicking on it. Does a view count if you only watch like 5 seconds?

I don't think so because I searched "The Prodigy" on Youtube and the trailer didn't show up, only videos from the music group, and I had to type "The Prodigy trailer" to see the videos related to the movie.

 

The high view count could be because the studio may have promoted the trailer as an ad playing in front of other videos on Youtube.

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MCKillswitch123 Summer Tentpole

MCKillswitch123

Posted
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Soooo, everything is getting okay'ish reviews now - Prodigy has a rotten Tomatometer, but its reviews aren't actually terrible as much as average/middling; What Men Want is getting decently reviewed as well; and the wom for Lego 2 and Cold Pursuit is good. We might be in for a breakout weekend.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

Also I just noticed on BOM that in three weeks Focus has elevated Greta (campy Neil Jordan-directed thriller starring Isabelle Huppert and Chloe Grace Moretz) to wide release, however many theaters that means (I'm guessing 1,000). Hopefully it doesn't flop too hard.

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Eric S'ennui Global Phenomenon

Eric S'ennui

Posted
Posted
Spoiler

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday
         
A Wrinkle In Time   4,864   15,601
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665  
Blockers 504 1,106 2,931  
Rampage 705 1,508 4,109  
Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133  
Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881  
I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423  
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000
Overboard 84 409 1,044  
Breaking In 727 1,204 2,899  
Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010  
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212  
Show Dogs 6 128 369  
Book Club 836 1,599 3,283  
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533  
Action Point 17 48 197  
Upgrade 9 119 522  
Adrift 63 308 1,268  
Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114  
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181  
Hotel Artemis 26 166 520  
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337  
Tag 314 660 1,448  
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266  
Sicario 2 788 1,282 3,403  
Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201  
Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108  
Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308    
Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754
Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134
Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226
Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875
Unfriended   71 240 975
MI6   *3328 13,575 27,261
Teen Titans   *462 2,125 4,526
Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222
The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777
Eighth Grade (1K expansion) 494 508 720 936
Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239
The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202
Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737
BlackkKlansman 432 682 1,934 5,017
Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102
Alpha 181 283 943 2,069
Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200
Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602
A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911
Kin 21 141 263 741
Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915
Searching (1K expansion) 303 588 1,194 2,862
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881
Peppermint 286 863 2,508 4,441
God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063
A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381
White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587
Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659
House With Clocks 897 1,469 3,607 8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715
Life Itself 79 162 394 953
Assassination Nation   36 94 382
Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566  
Smallfoot 734 1,261 2,448  
Hellfest 195 304 661  
Little Women   65 134  
Venom 13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569
A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501
First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586
Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350
Halloween 9,563 12,890 21,600 36,126
The Hate U Give (2K expansion) 1,026 1,542 1,559 2,055
Hunter Killer 91 368 1,062 2,726
Indivisible 33 89 204 440
Bohemian Rhapsody 7,255 9,026 12,546 26,476
Nutcracker 1,659 1,949 2,567 5,518
Nobody's Fool 436 900 1,719 4,437
The Grinch 3,580 4,860 10,092 17,046
Spider's Web 286 718 1,735 3,554
Overlord 299 604 1,599 4,522
Fantastic Beasts 8,956 14,238 21,861 31,880
Widows 310 868 2,219 4,179
Instant Family 230 565 1,325 2,584
Ralph 2 (Wed) 7,005 12,131 19,183 15,559
Creed II (Wed) 6,712 12,083 15,354 15,870
Robin Hood (Wed) 1,602 1,846 2,621 2,632
Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion) 387 922 1,701 2,268
Possession of Hannah Grace 105 285 893 3,053
Mortal Engines 465 785 1,504 3,475
The Mule 791 1,779 3,882 6,235
Spider-Verse 3,715 5,208 9,858 19,972
Once Upon A Deadpool (Wed) 1,732 3,402 3,621 2,310
Mary Poppins (Wed) 7,713 9,137 16,304  
Aquaman 8,502 9,671 15,063  
Bumblebee 1,553 1,817 3,157  
Second Act 353 611 1,204  
Marwen 299 403 658  
Escape Room 111 368 1,543 7,297
Dogs Way Home 259 623 1,516 3,257
On the Basis (2K expansion) 537 1,043 2,200 3,511
Replicas 21 133 336 1,002
Upside 394 1,431 3,669 8,602
Glass 3,106 3,978 6,478 17,810
Kid Who Would Be King 107 318 980 1,892
Serenity 6 128 1,074 2,708
Miss Bala 350 420 1,041 4,220
Lego Movie 2 2,552 4,130 8,601  
What Men Want 1,383 2,505 5,405  
Cold Pursuit 181 827 2,155  
The Prodigy 161 359 847  
*4pm-12am        

 

Lego Movie 2 2,552 4,130 8,601
What Men Want 1,383 2,505 5,405
Cold Pursuit 181 827 2,155
The Prodigy 161 359 847

 

Lego:

130% of Hotel Transylvania 3 (57.4M)

161% of Christopher Robin (39.5M)

85% of The Grinch (57.6M)

272% of Bumblebee (59M)

 

It has come back to Earth a little bit, but still very impressive. 55M seems like the likely scenario here, which would be quite solid.

 

Men:

122% of I Feel Pretty (19.6M)

180% of Life of the Party (32.1M)

49% of Ocean's 8 (20.2M)

122% of A Simple Favor (19.6M)

152% of Night School (41.3M)

314% of Nobody's Fool (43.2M)

449% of Second Act (29.1M)

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