The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric the Ape]

DO NOT QUOTE

 

Spoiler

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Wrinkle In Time		4,864		15,601
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826	206,000
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1,204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1,282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade (1K expansion)	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching (1K expansion)	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1,469	3,607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Smallfoot	734	1,261	2,448
Hellfest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
Venom	13,602	13,818	20,867	31,569
A Star Is Born	9,115	11,383	22,641	21,501
First Man	654	909	3,610	7,586
Goosebumps 2	300	631	1,733	3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale	264	481	1,257	3,350
Halloween	9,563	12,890	21,600	36,126
The Hate U Give (2K expansion)	1,026	1,542	1,559	2,055
Hunter Killer	91	368	1,062	2,726
Indivisible	33	89	204	440
Bohemian Rhapsody	7,255	9,026	12,546	26,476
Nutcracker	1,659	1,949	2,567	5,518
Nobody's Fool	436	900	1,719	4,437
The Grinch	3,580	4,860	10,092	17,046
Spider's Web	286	718	1,735	3,554
Overlord	299	604	1,599	4,522
Fantastic Beasts	8,956	14,238	21,861	31,880
Widows	310	868	2,219	4,179
Instant Family	230	565	1,325	2,584
Ralph 2 (Wed)	7,005	12,131	19,183	15,559
Creed II (Wed)	6,712	12,083	15,354	15,870
Robin Hood (Wed)	1,602	1,846	2,621	2,632
Green Book (Wed) (1K expansion)	387	922	1,701	2,268
Possession of Hannah Grace	105	285	893	3,053
Mortal Engines	465	785	1,504	3,475
The Mule	791	1,779	3,882	6,235
Spider-Verse	3,715	5,208	9,858	19,972
Once Upon A Deadpool (Wed)	1,732	3,402	3,621	2,310
Mary Poppins (Wed)	7,713	9,137	16,304
Aquaman	8,502	9,671	15,063
Bumblebee	1,553	1,817	3,157
Second Act	353	611	1,204
Marwen	299	403	658
Escape Room	111	368	1,543	7,297
Dogs Way Home	259	623	1,516	3,257
On the Basis (2K expansion)	537	1,043	2,200	3,511
Replicas	21	133	336	1,002
Upside	394	1,431	3,669	8,602
Glass	3,106	3,978	6,478	17,810
Kid Who Would Be King	107	318	980	1,892
Serenity	6	128	1,074	2,708
Miss Bala	350	420	1,041
*4pm-12am

 

Miss Bala

350

420

1,041

 

36% of Breaking In (6.3M)

30% of Sicario 2 (5.8M)

36% of Skyscraper (9M)

17% of Sequelizer (6.2M)

57% of Mile 22 (7.8M)

41% of Peppermint (5.6M)

98% of Hunter Killer (6.5M)

 

Dragon 3 Early

3,213

3,271

6,769

Lego 2

424

360

448

Dragon 3

218

165

212

Captain Marvel

769

568

674

[lorddemaxus]

6 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:

 

Dragon 3 Early

3,213

3,271

6,769

Lego 2

424

360

448

Dragon 3

218

165

212

Captain Marvel

769

568

674

 

Are these Lego Movie numbers any good? 

Edited January 31, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[TwoMisfits]

28 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Are these Lego Movie numbers any good? 

No, but it's still early...heck, none of the numbers are good...They Shall Not Grow Old is apparently not going to strike lightning, since it's tracking Miss Bala in presales...Dragon 3 should have a decent preview, but we'll see if it keeps momentum for 3 weeks (same for Lego, since it did well last weekend, but it's still pretty low for now)...

[WrathOfHan]

On 1/23/2019 at 3:02 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Creed II, The Mule, Second Act, and Replicas are gone.

 

The Kid Who Would Be King: 5 (Below Average and Smallest x0.25)

Serenity: 5 (Average)

 

Glass: 12 (Down 1; IMAX, Dolby, and Biggest)

Canal Street: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

A Dog's Way Home: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

Dragon Ball Super: Broly: 5 (Up 1; Biggest)

Escape Room: 5 (Up 1; Below Average)

Aquaman: 4 (Flat; Biggest)

Bumblebee: 4 (Flat; Average)

If Beale Street Could Talk: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

Mary Poppins Returns: 4 (Flat; Average)

On the Basis of Sex: 4 (Flat; Average)

The Upside: 4 (Down 1; Above Average)

Vice: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

Green Book: 3 (Up 1; Smallest x0.75)

Ralph Breaks the Internet: 3 (Up 1; Smallest x0.6)

Bohemian Rhapsody: 2 (Flat; Smallest x0.5)

The Favourite: 2 (Down 2; Smallest x0.5)

A Star Is Born: 2 (Flat; Smallest x0.4)

 

During the weekend, Kid has one of the biggest auditoriums.

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

IMAX: 372 seats

Dolby: 236 seats

Biggest: 104-107 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Above Average: 77 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Average: 67-70 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Below Average: 51-54 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Smallest: 40 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

 

 

Bohemian Rhapsody, Canal Street, If Beale Street Could Talk, and A Star Is Born are gone.

 

Destroyer: 5 (Smallest)

Free Solo: 5 (Return; IMAX)

The Least of These: The Graham Stains Story: 5 (Smallest)

Miss Bala: 5 (Dolby)

The Gandhi Murder: 4 (Smallest)

The Wife: 3 (Return; Smallest x0.6)

Black Panther: 2 (Return; Average x0.5)

Second Act: 1 (Return; Average x0.25)

 

Dragon Ball Super: Broly: 5 (Flat; Below Average)

Escape Room: 5 (Flat; Average)

The Kid Who Would Be King: 5 (Flat; Average x0.2 and Below Average)

Serenity: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Aquaman: 4 (Flat; Biggest)

Bumblebee: 4 (Flat; Average x0.8)

A Dog's Way Home: 4 (Down 1; Above Average)

Glass: 4 (Down 8; Biggest)

Green Book: 4 (Up 1; Average)

Mary Poppins Returns: 4 (Flat; Smallest x0.8)

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse: 4 (Down 1; Biggest)

The Upside: 4 (Flat; Biggest)

The Favourite: 3 (Up 1; Smallest x0.6)

Ralph Breaks the Internet: 3 (Flat; Above Average x0.6)

On the Basis of Sex: 2 (Down 2; Above Average x0.4)

Vice: 1 (Down 3; Average x0.25)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

IMAX: 372 seats

Dolby: 236 seats

Biggest: 104-107 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Above Average: 77 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Average: 67-70 seats (4 auditoriums are this size)

Below Average: 51-54 seats (2 auditoriums are this size)

Smallest: 40 seats (6 auditoriums are this size)

 

 

 

 

Edited January 31, 2019 by WrathOfHan

[efialtes76]

27 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

No, but it's still early...heck, none of the numbers are good...They Shall Not Grow Old is apparently not going to strike lightning, since it's tracking Miss Bala in presales...Dragon 3 should have a decent preview, but we'll see if it keeps momentum for 3 weeks (same for Lego, since it did well last weekend, but it's still pretty low for now)...

HTTYD is doing much better in previews than Lego. 

[filmlover]

Miss Bala is getting poor reviews unsurprisingly.

[TwoMisfits]

20 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

HTTYD is doing much better in previews than Lego. 

But wasn't that one a Regal/AMC exclusive with most presales on Atom and not Fandango...plus, buying at the theater got you a $5 ticket (whereas prebuying cost full price)...so wouldn't the presales almost certainly be lower (and not all that helpful in comparison for the 2)...

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

14 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

But wasn't that one a Regal/AMC exclusive with most presales on Atom and not Fandango...plus, buying at the theater got you a $5 ticket (whereas prebuying cost full price)...so wouldn't the presales almost certainly be lower (and not all that helpful in comparison for the 2)...

Dragon sales are lower now, but they didn’t use to be despite being two weeks further away. This is ignoring all sneak peak showings 

[efialtes76]

38 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:

Dragon sales are lower now, but they didn’t use to be despite being two weeks further away. This is ignoring all sneak peak showings 

We are talking about the sneak peaks. 

[el sid]

Pulse yesterday 8:35-8:49 EST:
Miss Bala: 6/15 minutes

Pulse yesterday 10:35-10:49 EST:
Miss Bala: 10/15 minutes - Serenity had 20/15 at that time, Hunter Killer 19/15

 

Pulse today always 8:35-8:49 EST:

They Shall Not Grow Old: 13/15
Miss Bala: 11/15 minutes - Serenity had 23/15 at that time, Hunter Killer 11/15, Spider's Web 32/15
How to Train Your Dragon 3: 50/15
Alita: 9/15

And Pulse today always 10:35-10:49 EST:

They Shall Not Grow Old: 40/15 - clearly in front of Miss Bala, but it's always in favor of a movie if it's already released so Idk how good this sales are
Miss Bala: 25/15 minutes - very muted so far, even Serenity had 31/15 at that time, Hunter Killer 24/15 (but a good Friday-jump), Spider's Web 42/14, it also stays behind Peppermint (Peppermint had relatively good presales before the reviews hurted it but probably the reviews for Miss Bala will also stay more negative)

How to Train Your Dragon 3: 80/15
Alita: 12/15

[MaxAggressor]

https://deadline.com/2019/01/how-to-train-your-dragon-the-hidden-world-to-hatch-40m-45m-opening-1202546330/

 

DreamWorks Animation’s first theatrical release during its second Universalera, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, landed on tracking this morning with a $40M-$45M stateside opening projection; solid with moms and dads. The movie opens on Feb. 22 and its only competition is MGM’s wide expansion of the Dwayne Johnson produced Fighting With My Family. 

 

Here in the U.S./Canada, industry comps are pegged to Warner Bros. Feb. 8 release The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part, which is also expected to do in the mid $40Ms.

[Alli]

10 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

https://deadline.com/2019/01/how-to-train-your-dragon-the-hidden-world-to-hatch-40m-45m-opening-1202546330/

 

DreamWorks Animation’s first theatrical release during its second Universalera, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, landed on tracking this morning with a $40M-$45M stateside opening projection; solid with moms and dads. The movie opens on Feb. 22 and its only competition is MGM’s wide expansion of the Dwayne Johnson produced Fighting With My Family. 

 

Here in the U.S./Canada, industry comps are pegged to Warner Bros. Feb. 8 release The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part, which is also expected to do in the mid $40Ms.

still no word on alita..

[lorddemaxus]

25 minutes ago, Alli said:

still no word on alita..

Ticket sales only started today. Wait for a few more days.

[grim22]

Alita looking at 25M 5 day

 

 

 

[DAJK]

Final release? Dark Phoenix? Ad Astra? That James Mangold one?

[TalismanRing]

11 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Final release? Dark Phoenix? Ad Astra? That James Mangold one?

The deal might be done by March so those would be released under Disney 

[Eric the Ape]

9 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Final release? Dark Phoenix? Ad Astra? That James Mangold one?

A recent Variety article about Disney and its jump into streaming mentions that the acquisition is expected to close in March.

 

https://variety.com/2019/biz/features/disney-plus-streaming-plans-bob-iger-1203120734/

 

Quote

Now that the Fox acquisition is near the finish line, with a projected close by March... 

 

[JB33]

13 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Final release? Dark Phoenix? Ad Astra? That James Mangold one?

Yeah I don't get that.

 

EDIT: Just saw the new posts.

Edited February 1, 2019 by JB33

[YM!]

10 hours ago, MaxAggressor said:

Here in the U.S./Canada, industry comps are pegged to Warner Bros. Feb. 8 release The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part, which is also expected to do in the mid $40Ms.

Lego 2 was tracking at $45M-$60M a few week ago. 

[filmlover]

20 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

Lego 2 was tracking at $45M-$60M a few week ago. 

At least it'll probably have two weekends at #1. Take what you can get.