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BUMBLEBEE | 340.8 M overseas ● 468.0 M worldwide

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From DHD:

 

Bumblebee, the well-reviewed Travis Knight-helmed origin story, doesn’t go to China, a huge Transformers market, until January 4. In the meantime, it buzzed into its first 38 hubs with $31.1M. Russia has put $4.9M in the tank from 1,200 locations, having held previews last weekend when it opened at No. 2. This frame came in at No. 4. South East Asia openers delivered No. 1s and 2s at bow, including Indonesia($4.9M from 328 sites), Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore and Vietnam. Bumblebee this weekend is out in just 34% of the overseas footprint with 17 markets joining in the coming week.

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So Bumblebee opened with $4.9m in Indonesia. Comparison with other Transformers movies:

IMG-20181224-114204.jpg

 

Even though it's basically a spin-off, it opened about the same with 2 previous movies. I expect it to have a slightly higher total than AoE, thanks to better WOM, and year-end holidays. I don't think Mary Poppins will be a competition.

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In non-Aquaman news, Paramount’s Bumblebee pushed play on another $45.7M in 55 markets. The overseas cume should pass $100M this week with the anticipated China opening set for Friday. The movie is currently in 59% of the offshore footprint where it’s seeing notable uptake in Asia.

 

BUMBLEBEE

bumblebee-9.jpg?w=301&h=202&crop=1
Paramount

Putting $45.7M in the tank in 55 markets, Paramount’s Bumblebee has now cumed $90M overseas. There were 17 openings this session to take the offshore footprint to 59% ahead of the China release this coming Friday and Japan on March 22.

 

Korea was the best start with $7.8M (including previews) from 839 locations and at No. 2 with Aquaman and local title Take Point also in the competitive mix (plus the seemingly endless holdover of Bohemian Rhapsody). The UK bowed at No. 2 behind Mary Poppins Returns with $6.3M from 584. France was a No. 3 start with $4.1M at 552, likewise Brazil opened in 3rd with $3M from 585.

In Asia, where Bumblebee is seeing uptake, Taiwan was a No. 1 start with $2M at 99. Hong Kong opened No. 2 for $1.5M at 51. In the 2nd frame, Indonesia added $2.6M at No. 1 for a $9.2M cume. Malaysia has cumed $5.2M, at No. 1 again, after two weekends. Singapore is also No. 1 for the second time, totaling $2.7M so far.

Spain was a soft open at No. 6 with $736K from 320 cinemas. Germany was at No. 6 in the 2nd session, but up 27% on last week’s start to cume $4.6M to date. The Netherlands was also up (+28%) for a $1.1M cume.

Totals elsewhere include Mexico’s $7.7M, Russia’s $5.7M, Australia’s $4.8M and Italy’s $3M.

The Transformers spinoff/origins story lands in China on January 4, and judging by the so-so performance of the local newcomers this weekend doesn’t have much to be concerned about. However, Bi Gan’s Long Day’s Journey Into Night opens December 31 and has already made $15M+ in presales as the arthouse title is being marketed to young audiences, making it one to watch. Bumblebee has a 7.4 on Douban and goes into the Transformers-loving Middle Kingdom with behemoth Tencent as an investor and co-marketing partner.

 

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8 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

China easy 125-150mn. The weekend looks like will be $60mn approx.

Yup, better reception in China than I expected given the relative lack of action, happy for it.

2 hours ago, Godzilla said:

$400 million seems locked. Is $500 million out of the question?

Not at all. You could get there with 215+150 China+135 DOM. None of those numbers are out of the question even if they all seem a bit optimistic to me for now. Could easily land in the upper part of the 450-500 range now.

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23 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Yup, better reception in China than I expected given the relative lack of action, happy for it.

 

BB's secret weapon is friendzone. that was awesome and I hope they don't bring Memo back cause the actor is terrible. Audience hated him.

Edited by Valonqar
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https://deadline.com/2019/01/aquaman-bumblebee-how-to-train-your-dragon-hidden-world-china-global-international-box-office-1202529424/

 

In other new openings outside China, Colombia kicked off with $1.1M from 201 sites for No. 2; India opened at No. 3 (No. 1 Hollywood title) with $1M at 1,042 cinemas; Norway ($428K/116) and Finland ($243K/125) were No. 1 starts; and Denmark bowed at No. 3 with $267K from 66.

 

The Top cumes outside China are in the UK ($11.6M), Korea ($11.2M), Mexico ($10M), France ($7.6M) and Germany ($6.7M). Japan is the final market to release on March 22.

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12 hours ago, MaxAggressor said:

https://deadline.com/2019/01/aquaman-bumblebee-how-to-train-your-dragon-hidden-world-china-global-international-box-office-1202529424/

 

In other new openings outside China, Colombia kicked off with $1.1M from 201 sites for No. 2; India opened at No. 3 (No. 1 Hollywood title) with $1M at 1,042 cinemas; Norway ($428K/116) and Finland ($243K/125) were No. 1 starts; and Denmark bowed at No. 3 with $267K from 66.

 

The Top cumes outside China are in the UK ($11.6M), Korea ($11.2M), Mexico ($10M), France ($7.6M) and Germany ($6.7M). Japan is the final market to release on March 22.

 

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135 dom, 140 china = 275 from these 2 markets seems reasonably certain.

 

needs around 225 from os-china to get to 500.

had a 24 (83-59) os-china weekend for a cume of 133 (192-59)

should reach 175 in current os-china markets and 10 from japan will give 185.

 

that's 135 dom + 140 china + 185 os-china = 460 ww

 

approx theatrical breakdown being,

135*0.55 dom + 60 minimum guarantee in china + 185*0.40 = 208.25

 

that's great for a film with 130-140 prod budget. eats into marketing and release costs too before non-theatrical revenues come in. that minimum guarantee in china is a big deal. usually an import would need about 240 in china to make 240*0.25 = 60.

 

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