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Weekend Actuals (Page 130): Cars 53.7M | Wonder Woman 41.3M | All Eyez 26.4M | Mummy 14.5M | 47 Meters 11.2M | POTC 9M | Rough Night 8M

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THR

Quote

Cars 3 is pulling ahead of Eyez in the early Friday estimates and looks as if the animated pic will take in about $20 million-plus for the day as it cruises toward a weekend in the mid-to-high $50 million range.

 

Edited by a2knet
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6 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

I think DM3 will do $85-90m OW, still excellent for a second sequel but a drop from the previous film and Minions. 

Thinking SFA numbers for DM3 domestic ($265M)

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2 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

Cars In the Fast Lane for mid- to high-50s

'Woman' still Wonderful with a mid-to high-30s target

All Eyez on 35m

Rough Night for new ScarJo release, low teens

'47 Meters' too far Down to have much impact

 

Hire me, Variety

 

You're more Deadline material...... 

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Just now, YourMother said:

Thinking SFA numbers for DM3 domestic ($265M)

 

Don't think it'll as low as that but I think it might miss $300m, OS it'll be easily over $700m but I think we'll still see drops in the major markets. 

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Variety - no Fri number but 

Quote

Disney-Pixar’s “Cars 3” is racing toward a $58 million opening weekend, while Tupac Shakur biopic “All Eyez on Me” is performing well above forecasts, and could earn as much as $36 million, early estimates showed Friday.

http://variety.com/2017/film/news/cars-3-box-office-opening-all-eyez-on-me-wonder-woman-1202469014/

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1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

 

Don't think it'll as low as that but I think it might miss $300m, OS it'll be easily over $700m but I think we'll still see drops in the major markets. 

Then Australia numbers ain't too promising but I'm thinking an MU like performance for DM3 is likely.

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1 minute ago, YourMother said:

Then Australia numbers ain't too promising but I'm thinking an MU like performance for DM3 is likely.

 

I think Minions took a lot of the demand for a third DM film, it'll still be successful but I think Minions 2 and a potential DM4 will see diminishing returns. Even SLOP 2 I could see declining from the first film if it's not as good. 

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Cars3 would need an IO like 10% Sat drop to do high 50s (57-59) with 21 Friday.

But then if Cars3 had performed like IO when it comes to preview to OD ratio, it would have done 25+ Friday.

So sequelitis already front-loaded the OD and Sat could be worse than IO too, % wise.

Unless Fri is 22, low-mid 50s is likely for Cars3 opposed to high 50s.

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2 minutes ago, YourMother said:

Then Australia numbers ain't too promising but I'm thinking an MU like performance for DM3 is likely.

 

I think we should stop putting so much stock in Australia numbers. Wonder Woman opened low, Mummy looked like a 50M OW and these are just the past 2 weeks. The comps work when we have a track record like the Marvel May openers.

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1 minute ago, grim22 said:

 

I think we should stop putting so much stock in Australia numbers. Wonder Woman opened low, Mummy looked like a 50M OW and these are just the past 2 weeks. The comps work when we have a track record like the Marvel May openers.

 

I think Australia numbers can be good indicator to other English speaking countries like the UK although some films like BATB, Bond etc will always perform better than other countries. 

 

 

 

 

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5 minutes ago, a2knet said:

[shameless plug]

:hi5:

 

I have  DM3 over CARS3+COCO club (dom only) which closes on Tuesday at noon (20th June 12:00 PST) 

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24204-dm3-cars3-coco-domestic-club/

 

[/shameless plug]

@a2knet shame on you. You do a shameless plug like this.

 

Join the Incredibles 2 over Han Solo Domestic club

 

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/24172-honey-where-is-my-lightsaber-incredibles-2-over-han-solo-domestic/

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You can't take anything Deadline says about WW weekend numbers, right now.  We really don't know what it will do on Sunday.  Could increase, decrease or stay flat....or other options as well. :)

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