75Live Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 1 minute ago, That One Guy said: how well did that Spielberg doc do last night? if it didn't do well then Spielberg will never have a box office hit again. I will be watching that at some point this week, as I have HITC to watch tonight. that's wrestling for those not in the know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 The term casual hasn't been used unironically since 2013-2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B D Joe Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 (edited) 8 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: 83 mil for that movie is actually pretty good. but when you're right you're right. i'm sure when no one goes to see that professor marston movie it will definitely prove that no one is interested in seeing a wonder woman film. I'm not saying no one is interested, just thinking Moana or Cinderella numbers rather than Jungle Book or Beauty and the Beast. Edited October 8, 2017 by B D Joe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 4 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said: Both Blade Runner and My Little Pony box office proves that cult things do not equal box office and people like myself should not get caught up in the hype without thinking things through. Cults need a wider audience to succeed. Eg: A Blade Runner and My Little Pony cross-over - My Little Blade Galloper 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 1 minute ago, a2knet said: Cults need a wider audience to succeed. Eg: A Blade Runner and My Little Pony cross-over - My Little Blade Galloper Genius! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 the-numbers.com touches on 2 important things, (1) IT's over-performance raising expectations (especially with the WB connection imo) (2) Grim and dystopian Quote After It smashed the September weekend record a month ago, further proving that films can open huge at any time of the year, prospects looked great for the long-awaited sequel to Blade Runner. Its trailers had created positive buzz, the early reviews were very favorable, and there was little by way of competition. The bar it needed to cross to break the record, Gravity’s $55.8 million wasn’t even all that high. But something went wrong on the way to the multiplex. Warner Bros. is projecting a $31.5 million opening weekend for Blade Runner 2049, and that may prove to be optimistic, although it should at least top $30 million. That won’t be enough to put it in the top 20 weekends for the month, in spite of enjoying the widest opening in terms of theaters for this time of year. Pinning down exactly what went wrong is always an act of speculation, but clearly enthusiasm for the film was lacking among younger filmgoers, and turnout from older generations (by which we mean over-25s) wasn’t enough to make up for it. Bear in mind that anyone already born when the first movie came out is at least 35 now, and anyone old enough to see the original film when it came out in theaters is now 53 or older. Even though many people (your correspondent included) didn’t see the original until it was on DVD, this is a film that probably needed to be made 10 years ago. Compounding the problem is its portrayal of a dystopian future at a time when it can feel like we’re already living in one. One arguable bright spot is that 2049 beat Blade Runner’s opening weekend when adjusted for inflation, and that film went on to earn around $91 million in today’s money. But Blade Runner opened in just 1,295 theaters, and the theatrical market bore little resemblance to 2017. One telling metric: Blade Runner’s opening weekend theater average was $14,500 in 2017 dollars, while Blade Runner 2049’s will be about half that. Unless the film shows remarkable legs (and, to be fair, it is getting great ratings from audiences), it’ll fall far short of profitability. http://www.the-numbers.com/news/225570830-Weekend-Estimates-Blade-Runner-Stumbles-Out-the-Gate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grey ghost Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Aquaman won't have the female superhero novelty and GRRRL power theme that helped make WW a cultural phenomenon nor appeal to half the population. Expect Dr Strange numbers at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, grey ghost said: Expect Dr Strange numbers at best. It'll do better than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Let's see how Justice League does (How people react to Momoa in the role) and footage from Aquaman first before making declarations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 34 minutes ago, That One Guy said: how well did that Spielberg doc do last night? if it didn't do well then Spielberg will never have a box office hit again. It's on HBO, ratings don't matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YM! Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 (edited) Hot Takes for CBMs: Panther over $340M New Mutants over $250M Deadpool 2 under $300M Incredibles over Dory Dark Phoenix under $125M Aquaman over $350M Animated Spidey over Lego Batman Edited October 8, 2017 by YourMother 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mockingjay Raphael Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 If, and that’s a BIG IF, Happy Death Day end above Blade Runner, it will be the fifth Horror movie to win a month this year, and the third month on a row being dominated by a Horror movie, and with The Last Jedi probably winning December, we will have Horror movies dominating half of the year, insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zakiyyah6 Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 (edited) Still don't see Mary Poppins doing THAT well. A recast sequel to a super old movie? Good luck. People forget that Disney proper movies are mostly not big hits unless they come from Marvel, Lucasfilm or they are live action versions of popular animated hits. Poppins is not any of those things. Edited October 8, 2017 by Zakiyyah6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MOVIEGUY Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 12 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: If, and that’s a BIG IF, Happy Death Day end above Blade Runner, it will be the fifth Horror movie to win a month this year, and the third month on a row being dominated by a Horror movie, and with The Last Jedi probably winning December, we will have Horror movies dominating half of the year, insane. Lego Batman beat Get Out in February by a hair, so it'd technically be the fourth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 13 minutes ago, Mockingjay Raphael said: The Last Jedi probably winning December, This feels like a bit of a under statement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNDERDOG Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 Off Topic: Harvey Weinstein just got booted out of his company. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 3 minutes ago, Ethan Hunt said: This feels like a bit of a under statement The question is how much does it drop from The Force Awakens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ethan Hunt Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 (edited) 4 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said: The question is how much does it drop from The Force Awakens? Below Avatar, above 700M (me thinks) Edited October 8, 2017 by Ethan Hunt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 (edited) 8 minutes ago, filmnerdjamie said: The question is how much does it drop from The Force Awakens? I wouldn't be surprised if it goes below Avatar. "Only" 20% drop from TFA (936.66) gives it 749.33, just a hair below Avatar's 1st release (749.77). 30% drop gives 655.66, close to JW's 652.27. Inbetwix those two ends you get 702.5 and that's what I'll go with. I think OW will be close to 210 and the multiplier around 3.35x. Edited October 8, 2017 by a2knet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmnerdjamie Posted October 8, 2017 Share Posted October 8, 2017 I'd actually go further to sub-$700M. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
