Tuesday Numbers (Dec 26): TLJ 27.7, Jumanji: 17.1, PP3 7.4, TGS 5.1 (actuals/estimates)

[Porthos]

I don't think there will be any measurable difference today because it is the one year anniversary of her passing, not that there is any real way to know.

 

Which brings up a point.  I'm pleased that Disney didn't try to milk the Carrie Fisher angle at all.  It would have been incredibly easy for them to make sly allusions in their marketing without them ghoulishly banging on a drum "THIS IS THE LAST TIME TO SEE PRINCESS LEIA EVERYONE".  They could have had some sort of remembrance marketing push on the side that wouldn't have be too disrespectful.  Just an increase in Leia shots in the marketing might have done it.

 

Instead, her death was treated, rightly IMO, as a dark and sad cloud that was brought up hesitantly and respectfully in various cast interviews and whatnot.

 

Of course, when it got TOO sad, someone would chime in with a "Carrie's flipping us off right now and telling us to chill out" aside, but even that wouldn't fully dispel the change in mood.

 

Then again, sometimes these things just happen organically, so who the hell knows.

[Jonwo]

6 minutes ago, Fancyarcher said:

It wouldn't surprise me if Spielberg didn't make Edgardo Mortara either. He's certainly been working on a lot of projects as of late, which is a good thing. 

I think his next film will be small scale since he's filming Indiana Jones in 2019 so I imagine he'll shoot something in 2018 for a late 2019 release whether that's Edgardo Mortara or something else.

[ThomasNicole]

Good number for TLJ

Hope it will continue making $ 20M for wednesday and thursday

 

If stay flat or drop just around 5 - 10% this weekend, maybe the late legs will be better than expected

[NoLegMan]

R.I.P Carrie Fisher May the Force Be With You.

[ThomasNicole]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

 

COCO should averag 3m over next 6 days (Wed-Mon, despite a Wed drop) and do 185+ by New Years Monday.

Coco is having a good recovery after a bad drop last weekend

 

Let's see how the late legs will be, it could do + $ 210M

[Porthos]

Actuals are starting to float in, though no exact TLJ number yet:

 

		Movie	Distributor	Gross	Change	Thtrs.	Per Thtr.	Total Gross	Days
1	(1)	Star Wars Ep. VIII: The Las…	Walt Disney	$28,300,000	+3%	4,232	$6,687	$423,927,411	12
-	(-)	Pitch Perfect 3	Universal	$7,445,505	+15%	3,447	$2,160	$33,870,395	5
-	(-)	Downsizing	Paramount Pictures	$1,926,413	-29%	2,668	$722	$9,596,543	5
-	(-)	Darkest Hour	Focus Features	$1,518,300	-6%	806	$1,884	$9,885,832	35
-	(-)	Molly’s Game	STX Entertainment	$668,250	-36%	271	$2,466	$1,710,325	2
-	(-)	Daddy’s Home 2	Paramount Pictures	$433,169	-20%	1,073	$404	$100,184,751	47
-	(-)	Lady Bird	A24	$428,468	+3%	402	$1,066	$29,143,782	54
-	(-)	The Disaster Artist	A24	$315,305	-3%	517	$610	$16,335,339	26
-	(-)	Phantom Thread	Focus Features	$66,733	-48%	4	$16,683	$194,005	2
-	(-)	A Bad Moms Christmas	STX Entertainment	$57,638	-4%	275	$210	$71,629,184	56
-	(-)	The Florida Project	A24	$13,108	+39%	43	$305	$5,217,998	82
-	(-)	Hostiles	Entertainment Studi…	$4,834	-50%	3	$1,611	$37,289	5
-	(-)	Victoria and Abdul	Focus Features	$4,405	+55%	24	$184	$22,210,135	96
-	(-)	Marshall	Open Road	$2,532	+31%	58	$44	$9,453,039	75
-	(-)	The Killing of a Sacred Deer	A24	$1,008	+67%	8	$126	$2,290,092	68
-	(-)	Let There Be Light	Atlas Distribution	$304	-59%	8	$38	$7,205,788	61

[Fancyarcher]

Just now, Jonwo said:

I think his next film will be small scale since he's filming Indiana Jones in 2019 so I imagine he'll shoot something in 2018 for a late 2019 release whether that's Edgardo Mortara or something else.

Considering he's in his "dramatic prestige" period, something like another biopic after Indy 5 wouldn't surprise me. 

[ACSlater]

36 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Something I just realized - Bahubali 2 will end up being the highest grossing foreign language release of the year in Hollywood. Don’t think an Indian movie has done that before.

 

What's funny is that over christmas break, my sister showed both parts to the wife and myself on Netflix.

 

We both agreed that while cheesy, it was highly entertaining. I could see why it (especially the second) made so much money.

[WrathOfHan]

looooool Downsizing  

 

Phantom Thread was frontloaded as hell. Still, this will probably be getting an 80k+ PTA this weekend.

Edited December 27, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Barnack]

Is Hostile tanking to terrible level ?

 

When no distributor picked it and was not getting award attention I expected it to have an impossible road to success with that what, 50m budget, but still those PTA for 5 or less theater are terrible, they look like The Last Flag Flying numbers and that didn't reach 1 million. 

[Brainbug]

 

The Last Jedi bouncing back, avoiding all attacks from its doomsayers

Edited December 27, 2017 by Brainbug

[MrGamer]

14 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Yikes, those are some pretty bleh drops for Money and Molly. My showing of Money this morning only had four other people in it, which is down A LOT from yesterday. 

The Plummersance was short-lived but glorious. 

[WrathOfHan]

2 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Is Hostile tanking to terrible level ?

 

When no distributor picked it and was not getting award attention I expected it to have an impossible road to success with that what, 50m budget, but still those PTA for 5 or less theater are terrible, they look like The Last Flag Flying numbers and that didn't reach 1 million. 

I totally ignored that number     

 

If the movie had stronger reviews, a better studio would've picked it up. Keep in mind reviews are mostly positive, but the movie isn't appealing to the GA whatsoever 

 

Edited December 27, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Barnack said:

Is Hostile tanking to terrible level ?

 

When no distributor picked it and was not getting award attention I expected it to have an impossible road to success with that what, 50m budget, but still those PTA for 5 or less theater are terrible, they look like The Last Flag Flying numbers and that didn't reach 1 million. 

They should've just released it next year. It was never going to be a major Oscar player (and we've seen how prestige movies that lack that kind of buzz have been doing all fall, which is to say not well at all)

[WrathOfHan]

6 minutes ago, MrGamer said:

The Plummersance was short-lived but glorious. 

It's easy to see why WOM is meh. Too many scenes have procedural dialogue that makes the movie drag.

Edited December 27, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Barnack]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

They should've just released it next year. It was never going to be a major Oscar player (and we've seen how prestige movies that lack that kind of buzz have been doing all fall, which is to say not well at all)

There some study that show that releasing during the award season, while looking like an award possible candidate and getting no attention actually hurt your box office, if you have a Monument Men push it to February for sure.

[a2k]

pp3

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
2017/12/22	3	$10,625,150		3,447	$3,082	$10,625,150	1
2017/12/23	-	$6,670,245	-37%	3,447	$1,935	$17,295,395	2
2017/12/24	-	$2,633,130	-61%	3,447	$764	$19,928,525	3
2017/12/25	-	$6,496,365	+147%	3,447	$1,885	$26,424,890	4
2017/12/26	-	$7,445,505	+15%	3,447	$2,160	$33,870,395	5

 

5.0 (-33%)

4.5 (-10%)

5.4 (+20%)

5.4 (+0%)

3.8 (-30%) //  14.6 3-day (-27%) 

3.4 (-10.5%) // 18 4-day (-32%)

= 27.5 over 6 days (4.6 average) for 61.4 cume

 

Around 1.5x the 4-day more gives it 90 dom.

Edited December 27, 2017 by a2knet

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, Barnack said:

There some study that show that releasing during the award season, while looking like an award possible candidate and getting no attention actually hurt your box office, if you have a Monument Men push it to February for sure.

For sure. Compare the grosses of the actual contenders (Lady Bird, Three Billboards, Darkest Hour, Call Me by Your Name, The Shape of Water, I Tonya, Molly's Game, Phantom Thread - all of which will likely make $15-20M or more) to the ones that weren't (Breathe, Goodbye Christopher Robin, Wonderstruck, Last Flag Flying) just this fall alone.

[NoLegMan]

TLJ had solid numbers OS on Tuesday

[LonePirate]

Looks like TLJ is aiming to cross $500M on Saturday, its 16th day and one day ahead of JW. Of course, TFA reached it in only 10 days and came with $4M of passing $500M on its ninth day. No wonder TLJ seems like a disappointment given the monster it followed.