Barnack Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 4 hours ago, Valonqar said: My opinion, and that won't change, is that they should award BP and Coogler. Do you not think that having an opinion on who should win before the year is over and you have seen all the movie disqualify it automatically ? At least you do not even try to hide your giant bias. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cap Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 On 10/4/2018 at 2:12 PM, KeepItU25071906 said: I think it's gonna be 9 pictures max. Or even 8. It is gonna be however many they need to make sure Black Panther is on the list (so I suspect 10). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rorschach Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 Black Panther is a fun movie and all (I'd give it an 8/10 personally) and I wouldn't be shocked if it is nominated for Best Picture but in all honesty, it's chances of winning are pretty damn small. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 9, 2018 Share Posted October 9, 2018 6 hours ago, Valonqar said: My opinion, and that won't change, is that they should award BP and Coogler. So what if BP isn't as good as TDK? newsflash: no SH is ever going to be as good as TDK. That's Citizen Kane of SH movies yet AMPAS had no problem awarding dramas that weren't even worthy of polishing Citizen Kane's shoes. BP checks all boxes of a trendy Picture winner such as high MC score and importance/progressiveness, but it's also actually seen by masses and almost universally loved. And since AMPAS loves messages, isn't an all-black cast + Martin Freeman 1.3 billion-grossing blockbuster a big message in itself, way bigger than some indie that few people saw? Moreover, this year has several contenders directed by black directors. AMPAS cannot bail out of awarding one forever, and IMO, the director who will make history should be an African American, sorry Steve McQueen. Oscars are still predominantly American thing and emotional and narrative value would be much stronger if the winner is an American, not a Brit or other foreigner. There are Coogler, Lee and Jenkins. I choose Coogler because his filmography is impeccable, a perfect blend of critical acclaim and populism, and his movie is groundbreaking in that it's #3 highest grossing movie domestically (also see paragraph 2 for more details). I honestly don't think this would be a mistake, quite the contrary, it would be a mistake if the winner was something else. Cause fuck them indie movies, amirite? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 BREAKING NEWS https://www.indiewire.com/2018/10/golden-globes-bohemian-rhapsody-a-star-is-born-musicals-1202010897/ Both A Star Is Born and Bohemian Rhapsody will not be competing in the Musical/Comedy category of the Golden Globes! They will instead be competing in the Drama category! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 22 minutes ago, Slambros said: BREAKING NEWS https://www.indiewire.com/2018/10/golden-globes-bohemian-rhapsody-a-star-is-born-musicals-1202010897/ Both A Star Is Born and Bohemian Rhapsody will not be competing in the Musical/Comedy category of the Golden Globes! They will instead be competing in the Drama category! So A Star is Born will just sweep the Drama categories. The Favourite will likely take Comedy now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Webslinger Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 I know Warner's doing it primarily because they must feel good about the film's ability to compete, but it's good to hear that A Star Is Born isn't category frauding its way into Musical/Comedy. There's plenty of music in it, but no one's mistaking it for a traditional musical nor a comedy - especially not the latter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted October 10, 2018 Author Share Posted October 10, 2018 DRAMA First Man Green Book If Beale Street Could Talk Roma A Star is Born COMEDY/MUSICAL BlacKkKlansman Crazy Rich Asians The Favourite Mary Poppins Returns Vice Could maybe see GB get frauded, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 10, 2018 Share Posted October 10, 2018 The woes of Annapurna have me concerned about the campaigns for Beale Street and Vice. Although I guess the worst case scenario for the latter is that it ends up another The Post/Selma. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 I am always wonder, as so many oscar movie premiered or open to public at the film festival, did all those show contributed to the box office gross? Or simply, is the public pay for the showing at film festival? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 11, 2018 Share Posted October 11, 2018 2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: I am always wonder, as so many oscar movie premiered or open to public at the film festival, did all those show contributed to the box office gross? Or simply, is the public pay for the showing at film festival? This. Festival grosses aren't counted towards box office. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 12, 2018 Share Posted October 12, 2018 I’m thinking First Man is going to turn into a Steve Jobs like player, a few nominations but ultimately overlooked. Its BO is only looking to be okay at best, and its reviews are good but not glowing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted October 13, 2018 Share Posted October 13, 2018 October Predictions Best Picture 1. Roma 2. A Star is Born 3. The Favourite 4. Vice 5. BlacKkKlansman 6. Green Book 7. If Beale Street Could Talk 8. Black Panther 9. Crazy Rich Asians 10. The Hate U Give Alts: First Man, Widows, Bohemian Rhapsody, Mary Poppins Returns, Mary Queen of Scots, Boy Erased Best Director 1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma 2. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born 3. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite 4. Adam McKay, Vice 5. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman Alts: Barry Jenkins, Damien Chazelle, Peter Farrelly, Ryan Coogler, Steve McQueen Best Actress 1. Lady Gaga, A Star is Born 2. Olivia Coleman, The Favourite 3. Yalitza Aparicio, Roma 4. Glenn Cose, The Wife 5. Amandla Sternberg, The Hate U Give Alts: Viola Davis, Emma Stone (if Lead), Emily Blunt, Kiki Layne, Saoirse Ronan, Melissa McCarthy Best Actor 1. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born 2. Christian Bale, Vice 3. Viggo Mortenson, Green Book 4. John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman 5. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody Alts: Ryan Gosling, Robert Redford Best Supporting Actress 1. Amy Adams, Vice 2. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite 3. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk 4. Marina de Tavira, Roma 5. Michelle Yeoh, Crazy Rich Asians Alts: Emma Stone, Claire Foy, Regina Hall, Meryl Streep, Margot Robbie Best Supporting Actor 1. Lin Manuel Miranda, Mary Poppins Returns 2. Sam Elliott, A Star is Born 3. Sam Rockwell, Vice 4. Mahershala Ali, Green Book 5. Daniel Kaluuya, Widows Alts: Adam Driver, Michael B Jordan, Richard E Grant Adapted Screenplay 1. BlacKkKlansman 2. If Beale Street Could Talk 3. A Star is Born 4. The Hate U Give 5. Crazy Rich Asians Alts: First Man, Black Panther, Widows, Can You Ever Forgive Me? Original Screenplay 1. Roma 2. The Favourite 3. Vice 4. Green Book 5. Eighth Grade Alts: A Quiet Place, First Reformed, Sorry to Bother You Cinematography 1. Roma 2. First Man 3. A Star is Born 4. The Favourite 5. If Beale Street Could Talk Alts: Cold War, Black Panther Editing 1. A Star is Born 2. Roma 3. The Favourite 4. Vice 5. First Man Alts: BlacKkKlansman, The Hate U Give, Black Panther Costume Design 1. The Favourite 2. Black Panther 3. Mary Poppins Returns 4. Crazy Rich Asians 5. Mary, Queen of Scots Alts: A Star is Born, Fantastic Beasts 2, First Man, BlacKkKlansman, the Nutcracker Production Design 1. The Favourite 2. Black Panther 3. Mary Poppins Returns 4. Roma 5. Crazy Rich Asians Alts: First Man, Fantastic Beasts 2, A Star is Born, The Nutcracker, Makeup and Hairstyling 1. Vice 2. The Favourite 3. Black Panther Alts: The Nutcracker and the Four Realms, Bohemian Rhapsody, Mary Queen of Scots Original Score 1. If Beale Street Could Talk 2. First Man 3. BlacKkKlansman 4. Black Panther 5. Mary Poppins Returns Alts: Widows, Vice, Incredibles 2, Isle of Dogs, Avengers: Infinity War Original Song 1. The Shallows, A Star is Born 2. I'll Never Love Again, A Star is Born 3. Mary Poppins Returns 4. "All the Stars" Black Panther 5. Mary Poppins Returns Alts: Idk some random ones, and other ASIB and Poppins songs Sound Editing 1. A Quiet Place 2. Avengers: Infinity War 3. Black Panther 4. A Star is Born 5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout Alts: First Man, Roma, Bohemian Rhapsody, Widows Sound Mixing 1. A Star is Born 2. A Quiet Place 3. Black Panther 4. Roma 5. Avengers: Infinity War Alts: First Man, Bohemian Rhapsody, Widows Visual Effects 1. Avengers: Infinity War 2. Black Panther 3. First Man 4. Ready Player One 5. Annihilation Alts: Solo, Fantastic Beasts 2, Mary Poppins Returns Foreign Film 1. Roma 2. Cold War 3. I Am Not a Witch 4. Shoplifters 5. Capernaum Animated Film 1. Isle of Dogs 2. Incredibles 2 3. Mirai 4. Ralph Breaks the Internet 5. Mary and the Witch's Flower A Star is Born - 5 Wins, 12 Nominations Roma - 5 Wins, 10 Nominations Vice - 2 Wins, 8 Nominations The Favourite - 2 Wins, 10 Nominations BlacKkKlansman - 1 Win, 5 Nominations Mary Poppins Returns - 1 Win, 5 Nominations A Quiet Place - 1 Win, 1 Nomination Avengers: Infinity War - 1 Win, 3 Nominations Isle of Dogs - 1 Win, 1 Nomination Black Panther - 9 Nominations Crazy Rich Asians - 5 Nominations If Beale Street Could Talk - 5 Nominations Green Book - 4 Nominations First Man - 4 Nominations The Hate U Give - 3 Nominations Cold War - 1 Nomination Mission: Impossible - Fallout - 1 Nomination Mary, Queen of Scots - 1 Nomination Annihilation - 1 Nomination Ready Player One - 1 Nomination Bohemian Rhapsody - 1 Nomination The Wife - 1 Nomination Eighth Grade - 1 Nomination Ralph Breaks the Internet - 1 Nomination Widows - 1 Nomination Mary and the Witch's Flower - 1 Nomination I am Not a Witch - 1 Nomination Shoplifters - 1 Nomination Incredibles 2 - 1 Nomination Mirai - 1 Nomination Capernaum - 1 Nomination Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted October 13, 2018 Share Posted October 13, 2018 (edited) LESS PRESSING, BUT SIGNIFICANT NEWS https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/amp/race/academy-announcing-shortlists-nine-oscar-categories-december-1151728 The Academy has announced that the shortlists for nine categories will be announced all at once on December 17th. Those categories are: Best Foreign Feature Best Documentary Feature Best Documentary Short Best Live-Action Short Best Animated Short Best Animated Feature Best Makeup & Hairstyling and, for the first time since 1979... Best Original Score Best Original Song Edited October 13, 2018 by Slambros Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 13, 2018 Share Posted October 13, 2018 After seeing First Man, I'll be very surprised if either Gosling or Foy misses even if the movie were to miss a Best Picture nom (especially with how dead their categories are). Foy in particular has a number of really good "clip" moments they can use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 i think now i can officially say ad astra will not be in my predictions for the rest of the year. as soon as next year's thread is ready the train starts up again. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/first-man-gets-enthusiastic-reception-at-academy-screening-1152203? Oscars: 'First Man' Greeted By Warm Reception At Packed Academy Screening Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/first-man-gets-enthusiastic-reception-at-academy-screening-1152203? Oscars: 'First Man' Greeted By Warm Reception At Packed Academy Screening Not surprised. If something as middlebrow as Darkest Hour made the Best Picture cut last year, I wouldn't be worried about this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 9 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/first-man-gets-enthusiastic-reception-at-academy-screening-1152203? Oscars: 'First Man' Greeted By Warm Reception At Packed Academy Screening kris tapley always likes to point out that the best reaction he ever saw at an academy screening was Casino Royale. these reports are as useful as T E S T S C R E E N I N G posts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted October 15, 2018 Share Posted October 15, 2018 1 minute ago, CoolioD1 said: kris tapley always likes to point out that the best reaction he ever saw at an academy screening was Casino Royale. these reports are as useful as T E S T S C R E E N I N G posts tbf who wouldn't go nuts after the final scene of casino royale Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...