Ezen Baklattan Posted October 19, 2018 Author Share Posted October 19, 2018 My First Man comparison was obviously not a literal one, and it’s still looking good in quite a few categories. It just is hardly the front runner it seemed like it could be when the year started. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted October 19, 2018 Share Posted October 19, 2018 One big thing about the Gotham awards is this: the two films with the most nominations/awards are The Favourite and First Reformed; this means that, when the online journalists reported the nominees, they headlined their pieces with "The Favourite, First Reformed lead 2018 Gotham nominees". That certainly can't hurt either film, and it especially can't hurt First Reformed, which is a competitor for Original Screenplay and a dark horse for Best Actor (Ethan Hawke). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 Predicting all the big categories at this point... Best Picture 1. A Star is Born 2. Roma 3. The Favourite 4. BlacKkKlansman 5. Green Book 6. If Beale Street Could Talk 7. Vice 8. First Man 9. Black Panther ALT: Widows, Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Crazy Rich Asians Best Director 1. Alfonso Cuaron, Roma 2. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born 3. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman 4. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite 5. Barry Jenkins, If Beale Street Could Talk ALT: Damien Chazelle, First Man Best Actor 1. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born 2. Christian Bale, Vice 3. Viggo Mortenson, Green Book 4. Ryan Gosling, First Man 5. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody ALT: Ethan Hawke, First Reformed Best Actress 1. Lady Gaga, A Star is Born 2. Olivia Colman, The Favourite 3. Glenn Close, The Wife 4. Viola Davis, Widows 5. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me? ALT: Yalitza Aparicio, Roma Best Supporting Actor 1. Mahershala Ali, Green Book 2. Sam Elliott, A Star is Born 3. Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy 4. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me? 5. Daniel Kaluuya, Widows ALT: Sam Rockwell, Vice Best Supporting Actress 1. Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk 2. Amy Adams, Vice 3. Claire Foy, First Man 4. Emma Stone, The Favourite 5. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite ALT: Nicole Kidman, Boy Erased Best Original Screenplay 1. The Favourite 2. Green Book 3. Roma 4. Vice 5. Eighth Grade ALT: First Reformed Best Adapted Screenplay 1. BlacKkKlansman 2. A Star is Born 3. If Beale Street Could Talk 4. Can You Ever Forgive Me? 5. Widows ALT: First Man Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLAM! Posted November 1, 2018 Share Posted November 1, 2018 If Head Full of Honey gains any sort of traction, I can see it getting a nod for Best Cinematography. I'm not sure if they're currently lumping Color Correction in with Cinematography, but I think the Color Correction displayed in the trailer helps the film stand out just a little bit. Being a late-but-not-too-late release won't hurt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha Posted November 1, 2018 Share Posted November 1, 2018 1 hour ago, Slambros said: If Head Full of Honey gains any sort of traction, I can see it getting a nod for Best Cinematography. I'm not sure if they're currently lumping Color Correction in with Cinematography, but I think the Color Correction displayed in the trailer helps the film stand out just a little bit. Being a late-but-not-too-late release won't hurt. Honestly the color correction in that trailer looked awful 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 https://theplaylist.net/beale-street-score-exclusive-20181102/?fbclid=IwAR3ftrSelqvjNF6yokHChgCm48G_nFaBS2jyy25iXPYwHxtSQaoJoi5q_T0 can already tell this is gonna be my rooting interest in the best score category this year. if first man wins i swear to god. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: https://theplaylist.net/beale-street-score-exclusive-20181102/?fbclid=IwAR3ftrSelqvjNF6yokHChgCm48G_nFaBS2jyy25iXPYwHxtSQaoJoi5q_T0 can already tell this is gonna be my rooting interest in the best score category this year. if first man wins i swear to god. If First Man wins it'll be on the basis of a single track. So I think not Then again I didn't think La La Land had a prayer since its score was recycled themes from the songs so what do I know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 i think it's probably between those two movies. at least among oscar films there isn't much there this year. Star Is Born, The Favourite and Roma don't have original scores. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 (edited) I'll be interested in the shortlist for the category. Edited November 2, 2018 by 4815162342 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 (edited) If ASIB wins it will be the first BP over 200m even adjusted since Return of the King 15 years ago. I don't think there even were 15 BPs prior to ROTK that missed 200 adjusted. Edited November 12, 2018 by MovieMan89 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 My predictions in the five mains pre-precusor Picture A Star is Born Roma The Favourite If Beale Street Could Talk Black Panther Black Kkklansam Green Book First Man If there's nine: Vice Alternates in order of likelihood: Widows, Mary Poppins, Can You Ever Forgive Me, Eight Grade Director Bradley Cooper Alfonso Cuaron Barry Jenkins Spike Lee Yorgos Larithmos Alt: Ryan Coogler, actually Actor Bradley Cooper Christian Bale Rami Malek Ethan Hawke Viggo Mortensen Alt: Ryan Gosling Actress Lady Gaga Olivia Colman Melissa McCarthy Glenn Close Emily Blunt (idk, just feeling it) Alt: Viola Davis Supporting Actor Maheshala Ali Richard E. Grant Sam Elliot Michael B Jordan Adam Driver Alt: Daniel Kayuula Supporting Actress Regina King Emma Stone Amy Adams Rachel Weisz Claire Foy Alt: Natalie Portman or Elizabeth Debicki All categories in rough order of how likely I think they are to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said: Actress Emily Blunt (idk, just feeling it) On 2/6/2018 at 4:06 PM, Cmasterclay said: Picking Emily Blunt for Mary Poppins is poster with a Frozen avatar and 50 posts form Coolio, but otherwise those predictions look pretty damn good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted November 12, 2018 Share Posted November 12, 2018 1 hour ago, CoolioD1 said: Self own!! Who knew Rob Marshall would deliver? (Coolio, that's the answer) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 I will rather that widows sneaks in the final list, instead of that oscar-baity biopic, first man Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Quote Bailey believes that the next Oscars could see the nomination of a wider spectrum of films, including the very popular “Black Panther” alongside “two very uncompromising black and white art films,” Polish foreign language contender “Cold War” and Alfonso Cuaron’s “Roma.” “It will be interesting to see how that plays out,” he added. “It might give us a strong perspective on how to move forward.” seems like he's basically saying "if roma wins we'll add it, if a star is born wins we won't" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 OH FFS! THIS YEAR GAVE 2 CRITICAL HITS THAT ARE HUGE POPULIST HITS TOO, BP AND ASIB, AND OF COURSE THAT AMPAS IS GOING TO AWARD ANOTHER MOVIE THAT NOBODY'S GONNA SEE BEFORE AND AFTER THE WIN. SERIOUSLY. BIG MOVIES FINALLY HAVE A WINNING NARRATIVE AND AMPAS KEEPS FUCKIN UP. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, Valonqar said: OH FFS! THIS YEAR GAVE 2 CRITICAL HITS THAT ARE HUGE POPULIST HITS TOO, BP AND ASIB, AND OF COURSE THAT AMPAS IS GOING TO AWARD ANOTHER MOVIE THAT NOBODY'S GONNA SEE BEFORE AND AFTER THE WIN. SERIOUSLY. BIG MOVIES FINALLY HAVE A WINNING NARRATIVE AND AMPAS KEEPS FUCKIN UP. what the hell. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 (edited) 3 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: what the hell. It isn't what the hell. it's true. they just won't give it to big movies. they'll rather keep that dumb consolation award that everyone shat on in order to avoid awarding populist movies even if such movies had as great critical reception as small ones. And in BP case even the all important timeliness and political relevance. Still not enough. Edited November 13, 2018 by Valonqar Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Valonqar said: It isn't what the hell. it's true. they just won't give it to big movies. they'll rather keep that dumb consolation award that everyone shat on in order to avoid awarding populist movies even if such movies had as great critical reception as small ones. And in BP case even the all important timeliness and political relevance. Still not enough. the way your brain interprets things... is a mystery. star is born is probably gonna win. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 25 minutes ago, Valonqar said: OH FFS! THIS YEAR GAVE 2 CRITICAL HITS THAT ARE HUGE POPULIST HITS TOO, BP AND ASIB, AND OF COURSE THAT AMPAS IS GOING TO AWARD ANOTHER MOVIE THAT NOBODY'S GONNA SEE BEFORE AND AFTER THE WIN. SERIOUSLY. BIG MOVIES FINALLY HAVE A WINNING NARRATIVE AND AMPAS KEEPS FUCKIN UP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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