Best Picture Predictions - 2018

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

yeah, i'm not even that big of a widows guy. i enjoyed it but not in my top 10 and probably my least favourite of mcqueen's films. i am just CONFUSED. the conclusion makes sense but the way you got there...

I know. I'm even worse about Green Book. read the spoiler synopsis on TheMovieSpoiler.com and cringed all the way through.  I admit I'm super unprofessional. 

[Eric Burnett]

Y'all are giving out quality roasts on Valonqar, but um...

 

Quote

(not surprising cause Davis, Rodriguez and Erivo always look angry and resentful on and off the screen).

We not gonna mention this? We aren't going to acknowledge what all three ladies have in common? His posts are usually yikes-tastic, but this is on another level.

[Valonqar]

they are not likable so that's that. otherwise their movie wouldn't have flopped. Look what Rose Byrne + Octavia did for Instant family. Or Gaga + Bradley for ASIB. Or MBJ + Tessa + Sly for Creed. etc. 

Edited December 3, 2018 by Valonqar

[Alpha]

54 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

they are not likable so that's that. otherwise their movie wouldn't have flopped. Look what Rose Byrne + Octavia did for Instant family. Or Gaga + Bradley for ASIB. Or MBJ + Tessa + Sly for Creed. etc. 

You're not very likable, either.

[Rorschach]

The "ignore user" setting is a work of beauty, isn't it?

[The Panda]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

they are not likable so that's that. otherwise their movie wouldn't have flopped. Look what Rose Byrne + Octavia did for Instant family. Or Gaga + Bradley for ASIB. Or MBJ + Tessa + Sly for Creed. etc. 

I thought you said you haven’t even seen the movie?

 

I’m sure that makes you a great judge at who is likable in a movie or not.

[Ezen Baklattan]

Okay guys...let’s stop here, why don’t we. Ignore is always an option.

 

You can wait until AFI drops its top ten tomorrow.

[CoolioD1]

20 films advance for VFX shortlist (narrowed down to a 10 film shortlist later this month)

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“Ant-Man and the Wasp”
“Aquaman”
“Avengers: Infinity War”
“Black Panther”
“Bumblebee”
“Christopher Robin”
“Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald”
“First Man”
“Incredibles 2”
“Isle of Dogs”
“Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom”
“Mary Poppins Returns”
“Mission: Impossible – Fallout”
“Mortal Engines”
“The Nutcracker and the Four Realms”
“Paddington 2”
“A Quiet Place”
“Ready Player One”
“Solo: A Star Wars Story”
“Welcome to Marwen”

nothing too surprising i guess. i thought maybe annihilation could get a nod since ex machina won but i guess not.

 

i think:

Aquaman

Avengers

Black Panther

First Man

Mary Poppins

 

will be the nominees. isle of dogs could get a kubo-esque nod.

[SLAM!]

1 hour ago, Valonqar said:

they are not likable so that's that. otherwise their movie wouldn't have flopped. Look what Rose Byrne + Octavia did for Instant family. Or Gaga + Bradley for ASIB. Or MBJ + Tessa + Sly for Creed. etc. 

 

I think you've got a bit of a point here. A lot of the films that become successes right now are because of how inviting they seem to the moviegoers (A Star is Born, Bohemian Rhapsody, etc). A film that I'm willing to link to Widows is Steve Jobs (2015), which similarly had a large cast of familiar actors and vocal support from critics, but failed to appeal exceptionally well to the mainstream audiences because it didn't look like a fun time at the movies.

 

At the same time, I don't think it's fair to link likability to an actor if they've been typecast. I'll run through all three actresses.

 

Michelle Rodriguez. I'm sure that people were rooting for her character in Avatar when she was flying her airship during the war, and I know I felt sad when her character died; plus, when her character Letty won that drag race in the first Fast & Furious film, there was a shot of her in the car, smiling, her hair thrashing violently against the sharp wind; people had to find her likeable then.

 

Cynthia Erivo. She hasn't actually hadthat many screen credits yet, so I don't think it's actually all that fair to judge her with what little we've seen of her. However, she was a broadway actress before getting film roles, and from my experience, it's pretty hard to not be likable as a broadway actor. Plus, I'm sure she'll be likeable when she plays Harriet Tubman next year.

 

Viola Davis. Her Twitter profile picture shows her with a smile on her face, and she's been posting a string of weekly messages with the hashtag #MondayMotivation. So even if we haven't exactly seen her star in a comedy (unless you count Suicide Squad), you can see, in reality, that she embraces human attributes such as compassion through her platform on Twitter.

 

It really comes down to the directors of their films, I think. You never know; in a few years, a director will come along and cast them in a film that would benefit from more warmth and more positive emotion, and we'll see them break their typecasting, and they'll evoke warmer emotions on the screen in different ways than they ethically should in films like Doubt, Widows, Girlfight (Rodriguez' initial breakout role), Bad Times at the El Royale, and Fences (which Davis was likable enough to win an Oscar for).

[CoolioD1]

Cynthia Erivo doesn't really play angry or resentful in either of the movies she's been in. nowhere near that. but what do i know, i actually saw the movies and i'm not using some angry reddit post or whatever dude reads to craft his opinions.

Edited December 4, 2018 by CoolioD1

[SLAM!]

Anyway, I think it's pretty crazy that Annihilation wasn't even able to make that twenty film VFX shortlist! Very disappointed in that!

 

And, while I've seen and enjoyed Isle of Dogs twice, I simply don't understand what the special effects are doing to constitute its nomination. I would very much appreciate an explanation.

 

Besides that, I'd say that's a fairly decent list of nominees. If there's five films in particular I feel pretty confident about for the ten-film shortlist, it's:

 

Avengers: Infinity War

Black Panther

First Man

Mary Poppins Returns

Welcome to Marwen (not joking here; what's seen in the trailers is pretty impressive)

[WrathOfHan]

Shortlist predicts with nominees in bold:

 

Aquaman

Avengers

Black Panther

First Man

Isle of Dogs

Mary Poppins

Mission Impossible

A Quiet Place

Ready Player One

Solo

 

I feel like Solo will get in over something else (Aquaman?). I can also see Christopher Robin making the shortlist

Edited December 4, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[SLAM!]

LOS ANGELES ONLINE FILM CRITICS SOCIETY NOMINATIONS

Best Picture:

A Star is Born

Eighth Grade

Black Panther

The Favourite

The Hate U Give

BlackKklansman

Green Book

Roma

A Quiet Place

Searching

 

Best Actor:

Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Christian Bale – Vice

Ethan Hawke – First Reformed

Viggo Mortensen – Green Book

 

Best Actress:

Toni Collette – Hereditary

Charlize Theron – Tully

Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Olivia Colman – The Favourite

Nicole Kidman – Destroyer

 

Best Supporting Actor:

Adam Driver – BlackKklansman

Mahershala Ali – Green Book

Russell Hornsby – The Hate U Give

Sam Elliott – A Star is Born

Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

 

Best Supporting Actress:

Elizabeth Debicki – Widows

Emma Stone – The Favourite

Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk

Amy Adams – Vice

 

Best Adapted Screenplay:

Bradley Cooper and Eric Roth – A Star is Born

Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, and Charlie Wachtel – BlacKkKlansman

Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk

Audrey Wells – The Hate U Give

Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

 

Best Original Screenplay:

Bryan Woods, Scott Beck, and John Krasinski – A Quiet Place

Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade

Tony McNamara and Deborah Davis – The Favourite

Boots Riley – Sorry to Bother You

Adam McKay – Vice

 

Best Male Director:

Alfonso Cuaron – Roma

Spike Lee – BlackKklansman

Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Ryan Coogler – Black Panther

 

Best Female Director:

Chloe Zhao – The Rider

Debra Granik – Leave No Trace

Tamara Jenkins – Private Life

Marielle Heller – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Lynne Ramsey – You Were Never Really Here

 

Best Animated Film:

Incredibles 2

Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Isle of Dogs

Ralph Breaks the Internet

Mirai

 

Best Foreign Film:

Burning

Cold War

Roma

Shoplifters

Girl

 

Best Documentary:

Free Solo

Minding the Gap

RBG

Three Identical Strangers

Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

 

Best Visual Effects:

Ready Player One

Mission Impossible – Fallout

First Man

Black Panther

Avengers: Infinity War

 

Best Cinematography:

Linus Sandgren – First Man

James Laxton – If Beale Street Could Talk

Alfonso Cuarón – Roma

Robbie Ryan – The Favourite

Rachel Morrison – Black Panther

 

Best Blockbuster:

Avengers: Infinity War

Black Panther

Deadpool 2

Mission: Impossible Fallout

Ready Player One

 

Best Independent Film:

Eighth Grade

First Reformed

Sorry to Bother You

Ben Is Back

If Beale Street Could Talk

 

Best First Feature:

Bo Burnham – Eighth Grade

Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born

Ari Aster – Hereditary

Paul Dano – Wildlife

Aneesh Chaganty – Searching

 

Best Comedy/Musical:

Crazy Rich Asians

Game Night

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again!

The Favourite

Bohemian Rhapsody

 

Best Action Film:

Mission: Impossible  -Fallout

Black Panther

Avengers: Infinity War

Deadpool 2

Widows

 

Best Sci-Fi/Horror:

A Quiet Place

Annihilation

Halloween

Hereditary

Suspiria

 

Best Performance by an Actor 23 and Under:

Alex Wolff – Hereditary

Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased

Lucas Hedges – Ben Is Back

Noah Jupe – A Quiet Place

Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

 

Best Performance by an Actress 23 and Under:

Amandla Stenberg – The Hate You Give

Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade

Millicent Simmonds – A Quiet Place

Milly Shapiro – Hereditary

Thomasin McKenzie- Leave No Trace

 

Best Breakthrough Performance:

Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade

John David Washington – BlackKklansman

Lady Gaga – A Star is Born

Yalitza Aparicio – Roma

Amandla Stenberg – The Hate U Give

 

Best Cast:

Black Panther

The Favourite

Blackkklansman

Crazy Rich Asians

Widows

 

Best Stunt Work:

Avengers: Infinity War

Mission: Impossible – Fallout

Black Panther

Deadpool

Upgrade

 

Best Score:

Justin Hurwitz – First Man

Nicholas Britell – If Beale Street Could Talk

Alexandre Desplat – Isle of Dogs

Ludwig Göransson- Black Panther

Terence Blanchard – BlackKklansman

 

Best Original Song:

All the Stars – Black Panther

Shallow – A Star is Born

Hollywood Ending – Anna and The Apocalypse

Revelation – Boy Erased

Hearts Beat Loud – Hearts Beat Loud

 

Best Editing:

Adam Gough and Alfonso Cuarón – Roma

Nicholas D. Johnson and Will Merrick – Searching

Yorgos Mavropsaridis – The Favourite

Barry Alexander Brown – BlackKklansman

Hank Corwin – Vice

 

Best Visual Effects or Animated Performance: 

Ben Whishaw – Paddington 2

Jason Liles –  Rampage

Josh Brolin – Avengers: Infinity War

Phoebe Waller-Bridge – Solo: A Star Wars Story

Tom Hardy – Venom

[CoolioD1]

that is... too many categories.

[The Panda]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Shortlist predicts with nominees in bold:

 

Aquaman

Avengers

Black Panther

First Man

Isle of Dogs

Mary Poppins

Mission Impossible

A Quiet Place

Ready Player One

Solo

 

I feel like Solo will get in over something else (Aquaman?). I can also see Christopher Robin making the shortlist

Yeah, even though Solo bombed that definitely hasn’t stopped them before.

 

Granted the Academy may be tired of nominating Star Wars at this point.  They may also go for Fallout just from being impressed by the practical effects amidst all the CGI.

[filmlover]

2 hours ago, CoolioD1 said:

that is... too many categories.

Lol for real. And some weird ones too. Why “Best Actor/Actress Under 23” and not 25? 

 

Also so happy I missed out on the @Valonqar stuff earlier (which I’m sure is rooted in his beloved Black Panther having no shot at winning Best Picture - might as well check out completely on this season altogether man).

[RichWS]

With each passing day, we are closer to death and A Star Is Born winning Picture. 

[Barnack]

16 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Lol for real. And some weird ones too. Why “Best Actor/Actress Under 23” and not 25? 

 

23 is a common over/under age in soccer and other sports I think.

 

And by 25 for actress you are starting to get a lot of Oscar nominated people already.

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, RichWS said:

With each passing day, we are closer to death and A Star Is Born winning Picture. 

Yeah, I really think this is shaping up to be the sweep that everyone thought La La Land was gonna be two years ago.

[titanic2187]

With this oscar season pace, this will be the deadest oscar season since 2012's The artist.

 

2013's oscar was the year with the most buzz in recent year, when argo, the best director snub, still managed to win best picture.