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Ezen Baklattan

Best Picture Predictions - 2018

By Ezen Baklattan, in And The Winner Is...

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Maybe the controversies around Green Book went away, but the backlash sure as shit didn't. The Ringer and Vulture, two very popular sites for film fans, both had massive articles just in the last few days trashing its entire premise, and there's many more of them out there. Even if those specific controversies don't hurt it, the backlash to its old-ass, corny, feel-good view of race relations is still hella out there. It's like Driving Miss Daisy 2018. That's what I'm focused on when I talk about it potentially struggling. 

 

https://www.theringer.com/movies/2018/11/27/18112880/green-book-race-viggo-mortensen-mahershala-ali-peter-farrelly

https://www.vulture.com/2018/11/green-book-flopped-but-who-was-it-supposed-to-be-for.html

This is why I have a hard time seeing the screenwriting branch going for it, but I'm not convinced it won't get into Picture atm. The old farts will eat it up.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Maybe the controversies around Green Book went away, but the backlash sure as shit didn't. The Ringer and Vulture, two very popular sites for film fans, both had massive articles just in the last few days trashing its entire premise, and there's many more of them out there. Even if those specific controversies don't hurt it, the backlash to its old-ass, corny, feel-good view of race relations is still hella out there. It's like Driving Miss Daisy 2018. That's what I'm focused on when I talk about it potentially struggling. 

 

https://www.theringer.com/movies/2018/11/27/18112880/green-book-race-viggo-mortensen-mahershala-ali-peter-farrelly

https://www.vulture.com/2018/11/green-book-flopped-but-who-was-it-supposed-to-be-for.html

Just read those.  

 

Lol, there’s like a 0.000001% chance I’m going to end up liking Green Book.  The only point in me seeing it at this point is so I can trash it.

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Eric Lasagna Global Phenomenon

Eric Lasagna

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4 hours ago, PANDA said:

I watched the trailer again recently, sat so much better than the first time I watched it.

 

Probably because Debussy is inspirational, but matching a Godzilla trailer to go with Debussy is just even better

Will it win an Oscar tho? :thinking: 

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted (edited)

WAFCA (DC Critics), Black Panther shows up in Director, Supporting Actor and Screenplay

 

No Poppins

 

Green Book keeps showing up.

 

Best Film
The Favourite
Green Book
If Beale Street Could Talk
ROMA
A Star Is Born

 

Best Director
Ryan Coogler (Black Panther)
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
Alfonso Cuarón (ROMA)
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Yorgos Lanthimos (The Favourite)

 

Best Actor
Christian Bale (Vice)
Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)
Ethan Hawke (First Reformed)
Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)
Viggo Mortensen (Green Book)

 

Best Actress
Glenn Close (The Wife)
Toni Collette (Hereditary)
Olivia Colman (The Favourite)
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born)
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)

 

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Green Book)
Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy)
Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born)
Richard E. Grant (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Michael B. Jordan (Black Panther)

 

Best Supporting Actress
Cynthia Erivo (Bad Times at the El Royale)
Nicole Kidman (Boy Erased)
Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Emma Stone (The Favourite)
Rachel Weisz (The Favourite)

 

Best Acting Ensemble
Black Panther
The Favourite
If Beale Street Could Talk
Vice
Widows

 

Best Youth Performance
Elsie Fisher (Eighth Grade)
Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie (Leave No Trace)
Milly Shapiro (Hereditary)
Millicent Simmonds (A Quiet Place)
Amandla Stenberg (The Hate U Give)

 

Best Voice Performance
Bryan Cranston (Isle of Dogs)
Holly Hunter (Incredibles 2)
Shameik Moore (Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse)
Sarah Silverman (Ralph Breaks the Internet)
Ben Whishaw (Paddington 2)

 

Best Motion Capture Performance
Josh Brolin (Avengers: Infinity War)
Tye Sheridan (Ready Player One)
Phoebe Waller-Bridge (Solo: A Star Wars Story)

 

Best Original Screenplay
Bo Burnham (Eighth Grade)
Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara (The Favourite)
Paul Schrader (First Reformed)
Nick Vallelonga & Brian Currie & Peter Farrelly (Green Book)
Alfonso Cuarón (ROMA)

 

Best Adapted Screenplay
Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Ryan Coogler & Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters (A Star Is Born)

 

Best Animated Feature
Incredibles 2
Isle of Dogs
Mirai
Ralph Breaks the Internet
Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

 

Best Documentary
Free Solo
RBG
Science Fair
Three Identical Strangers
Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

 

Best Foreign Language Film
Burning
Capernaum
Cold War
ROMA
Shoplifters

 

Best Production Design
Production Designer: Hannah Beachler; Set Decorator: Jay Hart (Black Panther)
Production Designer: Fiona Crombie; Set Decorator: Alice Felton (The Favourite)
Production Designer: Nathan Crowley; Set Decorator: Kathy Lucas (First Man)
Production Designer: John Myhre; Set Decorator: Gordon Sim (Mary Poppins Returns)
Production Designer: Eugenio Caballero; Set Decorator: Bárbara Enríquez (ROMA)

 

Best Cinematography
Robbie Ryan, BSC (The Favourite)
Linus Sandgren, FSF (First Man)
James Laxton (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Alfonso Cuarón (ROMA)
Matthew Libatique, ASC (A Star Is Born)

 

Best Editing
Yorgos Mavropsaridis, ACE (The Favourite)
Tom Cross, ACE (First Man)
Alfonso Cuarón, Adam Gough (ROMA)
Jay Cassidy, ACE (A Star Is Born)
Joe Walker, ACE (Widows)

 

Best Original Score
Ludwig Göransson (Black Panther)
Justin Hurwitz (First Man)
Nicholas Britell (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Thom Yorke (Suspiria)
Hans Zimmer (Widows)

 

The Joe Barber Award for Best Portrayal of Washington, DC
The Front Runner
RBG
Vice

Edited by PANDA
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Valonqar Global Phenomenon

Valonqar

Posted
Posted

BP is coming. elitists still think it ain't gonna happen and they are in for a shock that shouldn't be a shock at all. Disney is campaigning the shit out of it, it has great narrative including that AMPAS has acknowledged that popular movies with high critical score should have bigger presence among nominees. And with super fluid Director field beyond Cooper/Cuaron, Coogler has a shot. Ditto Jordan in fluid Supporting Actor minus stable looking Ali/Grant/Elliott. 

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted

Nice to see Cynthia Erivo get some attention. She was definitely the MVP of Bad Times at the El Royale and was very good with what she was given in Widows.

 

I’m starting to think Kidman is gonna get in at the Oscars over Foy tbh. Boy Erased is the kind of movie that gets at least one major nomination if nothing else at all (and Focus is the kind of studio that has enough firepower that they can make it happen - they managed to get Ruth Negga and Michael Shannon lone nominations for their respective movies two years ago), and her 2018 (Boy Erased, Aquaman, Destroyer) appears more impressive than Foy’s year of movie disappointments (Unsane, First Man, The Girl in the Spider’s Web), and it’s the movie that they are most likely to recognize.

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MrPink Global Phenomenon

MrPink

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Also Golden Globe nominations are on Thursday. With how open some categories are this year I wouldn’t be surprised by some nominations like Topher Grace for BlacKkKlansman because that’s something they would do. 

 

Adam Driver or we riot

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, YLF said:

Has anyone seen green book? Is it as cringey as the trailers make it seem? I just can’t get myself to the theater to see it...

I saw it and liked it but it’s not close to being one of my favorites this year or gonna make my BOFFY ballot for anything. My mom thought it was the best movie she had seen all year though so I’m fully expecting that oldie crowd to push it through.

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Valonqar Global Phenomenon

Valonqar

Posted
Posted
30 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Adam Driver or we riot

I think he'll miss nomination if BKKK continues to perform as tepid with awards as it did so far. It seems that critics consider Green Book the important movie/movie about race relations and don't care to support another. Like, there can be only one or something. Also, his category has 3 almost locked contenders (Ali, Elliott, Grant) so 2 more spots could go virtually to anyone from stronger movies. 

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WrathOfHan Cinematic Universe

WrathOfHan

Posted
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1 hour ago, PANDA said:

Best Adapted Screenplay
Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman)
Ryan Coogler & Joe Robert Cole (Black Panther)
Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)
Barry Jenkins (If Beale Street Could Talk)
Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters (A Star Is Born)

I think this will end up being the Oscar's five. Widows is plummeting hard, and First Man lacks buzz.

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The Panda Global Phenomenon

The Panda

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I think this will end up being the Oscar's five. Widows is plummeting hard, and First Man lacks buzz.

Yeah, if Widows is getting shut out from critics it’s not the type of movie that’ll resurge with guilds buzz.

 

Black Panther, A Star is Born and Poppins are the only three that underperforming with critics shouldn’t be an issue (and all three of them are doing fine right now).

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