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Weekend Thread: 50SF - 38.8m, PR - 25m, 15:17 - 12.6m

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1 minute ago, manny1234 said:

But I have a feeling with BP potentially big opening weekend it might affect this next weekend.

On the contrary, it will be the #1 or #2 alternative to all those sellouts with Peter Rabbit. Sony wins either way :lol: 

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Fifty Shades will more likely do $40-$42 million OW, and make $100-$105 million domestic. Peter Rabbit if it does north of $20 million and has Paddington 1 like holds then a nice hit for Sony, after the small dissapointment of Proud Mary last month.

but for 15:17 it reminds me of like Patriot’s Day since terrorism minus True Lies or Jack Ryan or Olympus Has Fallen, it’s tough to do at the box office. So WB may or may not be upset about it. But WB should be in a rut for the 1st quarter minus the overseas numbers of Paddington 2

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Peter Rabbit would need just 2x odd multiplier to outgross what looks like Paddington2's final dom. I think 3-3.5x is likely which would give it 60-70 dom even with a 20 ow (going lower than Deadline's early 22-23 number).

 

edit:

The Star and Emoji were successful too for Sony Animations last year. Smurfs3 did very well os and budget wise globally, though was a disappointment compared to the previous 2 entries.

Edited by a2knet
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So J2 could potentially drop less than NATM (9.88%) this weekend. Wtf??

 

The Friday ratio between J2 and NATM just keeps getting bigger and bigger in 2018

 

3rd Fri - 1.51

4th Fri - 1.46

5th Fri - 1.57

6th Fri - 1.67

7th Fri - 1.7

8th Fri - 1.8 (Assuming Deadline's 2.3 million estimate holds)

 

The last weekend was amazing for J2 as it recorded it's best results w.r.t NATM. The avg. bump over 7 days increased 5.22% and the ratio of the gross amount was also it's best so far.

 

NATM legs from here on out will see J2 topping out at 398.35 million. But it just seems like J2 will keep trending further ahead. There's no stopping Jumanji. So 400 million does look likely if J2 continues these amazing holds.

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3 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

Should Greatest Snowman still be in the top 5?

It'll depend on how much Maze Runner:Death Cure drops from last weekend. MR:DC needs to drop 40.8% or lower to stay in the Top 5 assuming TGS scores 6.2 million for the weekend.

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17 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:

So J2 could potentially drop less than NATM (9.88%) this weekend. Wtf??

 

The Friday ratio between J2 and NATM just keeps getting bigger and bigger in 2018

 

3rd Fri - 1.51

4th Fri - 1.46

5th Fri - 1.57

6th Fri - 1.67

7th Fri - 1.7

8th Fri - 1.8 (Assuming Deadline's 2.3 million estimate holds)

 

The last weekend was amazing for J2 as it recorded it's best results w.r.t NATM. The avg. bump over 7 days increased 5.22% and the ratio of the gross amount was also it's best so far.

 

NATM legs from here on out will see J2 topping out at 398.35 million. But it just seems like J2 will keep trending further ahead. There's no stopping Jumanji. So 400 million does look likely if J2 continues these amazing holds.

Will be too crazy if it beats SM1 as Sony's highest grosser ever. Imagine if this had gone down at a Sony meeting in 2002: 

 

CEO - "So everyone, Spider-man has broken box office records, how are we going to top this?"

- "Surely we'll make a sequel and that will do it right?"

room murmurs in agreement except for one guy who speaks out...

- "Nah, that won't work. Hey I know! Let's make a sequel to Jumanji!" 

 

giphy.gif

Edited by MovieMan89
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14 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Both of the Fifty Shades sequels have $55m budgets, weren’t they filmed back to back? I wonder if they just spent $110m and split it down the middle. 

They were shoot under the same movie entity Further Adventures of Max & Banks 2 & 3 for tax credit yes, so I imagine pretty much at the same time with schedule shooting both movies at the same time when they share locations.

 

I am not sure how much they need to decide how much each cost (could only be relevant if profit point participation of some entity is using that variable in the equation and they would decide an arbitrary number together)

 

Not sure how much those 55m are close to any reality, articles simply say "sources" says.....

 

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10 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Jumanji's Blu-Ray is releasing March 20. WTF is Sony doing? Late legs are going to be crippled! Oh, and this is a trash cover:

 

194075_medium.jpg

Looking to get all those DVDs/Blu Rays in Easter Baskets at practically full price...tons of parents toss in books and DVDs to those baskets, and this will make boatloads by coming out pre-holiday early enough to get bought...

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18 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Jumanji's Blu-Ray is releasing March 20. WTF is Sony doing? Late legs are going to be crippled! Oh, and this is a trash cover:

 

194075_medium.jpg

Smart as hell, IMO. It should sell well over Easter.

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