Godzilla: King of the Monsters OS thread

[Sunny Max]

4 minutes ago, Cookson said:

23-24 is a bit low for Japan. It can still leg it to 30m there.

 

Yeah it needed another strong China hold for the weekend. Doesn’t seem like that’ll happen there. We’ll see what happens domestically this weekend.. probably another 15-25 domestically.

 

Between 350-385 unfortunately it’s looking like.

yeah that's early estimate in Japan... movie could do $25 M To $27 M ... We'll see what happens this weekend 

 

but Life time will be in this range $350 to $385 M ..

[MaxAggressor]

Weekend drop is 70.6%  

 

 

[John Marston]

Whoa. Will this even pass the 1998 movie’s 379m gross?

[Cookson]

So 17m more domestically(110) gets it to 356. Though it had a decent drop(in a good way) so maybe 115-120 in the cards..

 

5-10m more in China gets it to 361-366

 

Fizzling in Japan... will give it 5 more there for 366-371.

 

Unless there’s s breakout in Spain, 380-390 total worldwide.

 

400 would at least save some face... so a bit disappointing.

Edited June 16, 2019 by Cookson

[Sunny Max]

maximum $380 m to $390 M WW .... bit disappointing we missed $400 M by just little margin 

[Cookson]

If it can have a mini box office run in Spain, it could sneak it’s way to 400m WW.

 

Maybe it can get to 120 domestically with strong holds. 140 in China has a shot now with the month extension. Japan is fizzling... looking at like 26-29 maybe there.

 

At 345 now

+17 China

+21 domestic 

+6 Japan

= 389

 

If Spain can get 5-6m surely everywhere else can get that little bit more for 400

[Sunny Max]

3 minutes ago, Cookson said:

If it can have a mini box office run in Spain, it could sneak it’s way to 400m WW.

 

Maybe it can get to 120 domestically with strong holds. 140 in China has a shot now with the month extension. Japan is fizzling... looking at like 26-29 maybe there.

 

At 345 now

+17 China

+21 domestic 

+6 Japan

= 389

 

If Spain can get 5-6m surely everywhere else can get that little bit more for 400

GD-2014 did $3.473 M in Spain ...   Absolutely no chance of 5-6 m in Spain .. 

[keysersoze123]

This week domestic it lost 26% of screens and coming off FD weekend, its gonna be lucky to drop just 50%. Next weekend it should do ok as there are no major releases but tuesday Spidey will take its BO. Probably has another 12-15 domestic, 10m in china(only spidey opens its dead) and may be another 15m OS-C. 385m WW is good target. Terrible run but it could have done better outside Endgame's shadow.

 

Kong vs Zilla should increase from this but wonder what's its potential after this.

[Sunny Max]

9 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

This week domestic it lost 26% of screens and coming off FD weekend, its gonna be lucky to drop just 50%. Next weekend it should do ok as there are no major releases but tuesday Spidey will take its BO. Probably has another 12-15 domestic, 10m in china(only spidey opens its dead) and may be another 15m OS-C. 385m WW is good target. Terrible run but it could have done better outside Endgame's shadow.

 

Kong vs Zilla should increase from this but wonder what's its potential after this.

Perfect summary .... $400 M is practically done even before ...  at max $385 M WW ..

[RamblinRed]

16 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

This week domestic it lost 26% of screens and coming off FD weekend, its gonna be lucky to drop just 50%. Next weekend it should do ok as there are no major releases but tuesday Spidey will take its BO. Probably has another 12-15 domestic, 10m in china(only spidey opens its dead) and may be another 15m OS-C. 385m WW is good target. Terrible run but it could have done better outside Endgame's shadow.

 

Kong vs Zilla should increase from this but wonder what's its potential after this.

Yeah, unfortunately a poor Thur and Fri DOM with a 24% drop on Thur and only a 28% increase on Friday.

Looks unlikely to make it to 4M DOM this weekend. likely a drop of over 55%.

 

With Yesterday and a re-release of Endgame coming next Friday and Spider-Man the following Tuesday it could easily lose 50% of its theaters in less than 10 days in the DOM market. Both XDP and KOTM struggled on Friday in terms of increases. 110M is likely the ceiling in the DOM market and 108 is probably the most likely outcome right now. I think now it basically has 9 more days to make money in the DOM market before screen losses cause really large drops. 

[Bishop54]

Any update or is the Mojo total updated as of today?

[gary]

8 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:

Any update or is the Mojo total updated as of today?

No update this week which is weird.

[Cookson]

Yeah kind of odd no international update. China itself added another 8m from last week. Japan another 3-4.

 

would imagine should be around 365 WW.

[Cookson]

Yup updated today. At 365. Another 10 domestic and 15 more OS(including China and Japan) would get it to 390. Spain doesn’t look to be breaking out. 

 

Maybe it it can get more domestically and maybe extend itself in China.... but 400 looks to be slightly out of reach for sure.

[RamblinRed]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Godzilla: King of the Monsters grossed $7.8M internationally this weekend.  International total stands at $263.5M, global total stands at $366.0M.<a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Godzilla2?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Godzilla2</a>  <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BoxOffice?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BoxOffice</a>  <a href="https://twitter.com/wbpictures?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@wbpictures</a>  <a href="https://twitter.com/Legendary?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Legendary</a>  <a href="https://twitter.com/GodzillaMovie?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@GodzillaMovie</a></p>&mdash; BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) <a href="https://twitter.com/BORReport/status/1143206102219182081?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 24, 2019</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

Looks like most of the Intl came from China and Japan this week. Not much anywhere else.

 

I see maybe 5-6M more DOM. Doubt it can make it to 110 DOM after this weekend. 57-58% drop to sub 4M does not bode well. It's likely to lose alot of its screens the next 9 days. It has the 2nd lowest PTA in the top 10 in the DOM market so it is likely to be on the chopping block as theaters free up screens for Annabelle, Yesterday, Endgame re-release, and Spider-Man.

 

I think it can make about 3-3.5M over the next 7 days DOM and then maybe another 2M after that. Think it ends in the 107-108M DOM range. I anticipate another 55%+ drop due to screen loses next weekend.

 

 

 

Edited June 24, 2019 by RamblinRed

[WP Kelley]

3 hours ago, RamblinRed said:

 

How much more can we expect from China, where it has been extended for a month? Also, what about Japan, and has it finally opened in Spain?

 

 

 

Looks like most of the Intl came from China and Japan this week. Not much anywhere else.

 

 

 

I see maybe 5-6M more DOM. Doubt it can make it to 110 DOM after this weekend. 57-58% drop to sub 4M does not bode well. It's likely to lose alot of its screens the next 9 days. It has the 2nd lowest PTA in the top 10 in the DOM market so it is likely to be on the chopping block as theaters free up screens for Annabelle, Yesterday, Endgame re-release, and Spider-Man.

 

 

 

I think it can make about 3-3.5M over the next 7 days DOM and then maybe another 2M after that. Think it ends in the 107-108M DOM range. I anticipate another 55%+ drop due to screen loses next weekend.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited June 24, 2019 by WP Kelley

[a2k]

21 hours ago, Cookson said:

Yup updated today. At 365. Another 10 domestic and 15 more OS(including China and Japan) would get it to 390. Spain doesn’t look to be breaking out. 

 

Maybe it it can get more domestically and maybe extend itself in China.... but 400 looks to be slightly out of reach for sure.

366.0 current + 7.5 dom (110 total) + 3.75 Ch + 3 Jp + 3.75 OS-Ch-Jp = 481 ww

485 max imo, add on avg 1m in each of the 4 market segments (dom, ch, jp, os-ch-jp)

Edited June 25, 2019 by a2k

[Cookson]

Yup looks done in China now. Might get another 1-2m there since it’ll play the whole month.

 

Actually starting to hold better in Japan now. Could get another 4m there(including this whole week).

 

I agree though, looks like 380-385 total.

[MaxAggressor]

 

[RamblinRed]

DOM might get hit really hard by FFH this week if the theaters around me are indicative of the entire country.

 

KOTM is going from 5 theaters with 1 screen each plus 2 other theaters with a single showing to just 1 theater with one screen starting on Tuesday. Going from 18 total showtimes today down to 4 on Tuesday.

 

FFH taking an average of 4 screens per theater tomorrow is killing the movies at the bottom and outside of the top 10.

 

380-382 feels likely a good guess for an end number. While what they did was awful thanks to the Chinese Censures that allowed KOTM to stay in theaters there for that extra time. Without that I wonder if this would have crossed 375M WW total.