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AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

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1 hour ago, Quigley said:

 

Where is the evidence for this? In previous occasions where they underestimated a specific daily gross, they usually announce the new total gross [in this case, up to Thu] and the latest daily gross [in this case, Thu]. By subtracting the two, we would notice that the total by Wednesday was higher. In the case of Endgame, this didn't happen. 1,311.8-100=1,211.8. This is the number that was reported after Wedensday's grosses were factored in, so there is no change from their previous estimate.

 

OS Thu is $100M.

OS-Ch is $49.9M.

Because Charlie Tinder said so and I could see that happen never seen them revise a Daily number tbh so it's likely they would do it that way.

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Friday went $40.6M DOM, $35.2M CH, $53M OS-CH = $128.8.

 

China is slowing down, making $20M today and probably around $9M tomorrow. $2.2B by Sunday is not a done deal imo, but it could happen.

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On its second Friday, Infinity War had grossed $38.1M, which is 10% of its $382M OS opening weekend.

 

Endgame grossed $88.2M, which is 10.2% of its $867M opening weekend.

If we remove China, Friday was $52.4M, which is 9.8% of its $536 OS-Ch opening weekend.

 

If Endgame's 2nd Friday makes up the same proportion of its OS 2nd weekend as Inifnity War, it should should gross $219M in OS-Ch. Including Russia's Mon-to-Thu gross, which will be included in the weekend figure, it will get to $243M. OS-Ch total by Sunday should be at around $0.98-1.00 billion. (taking into account that some countrie's Thu and Wed gross will be part of OS weekend).

 

Add in a $64M weekend from China and its China gross will reach $575M. So in total, OS should be at $1.55-1.58B. 2nd OS weekend should be at $307M – 6th highest OS weekend ever. Rough calculations but hopefully accurate.

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A:EG 2nd Friday is 53M OS-Ch whereas AIW was 38M, it's total that time was 604M and it added ~400M more after that. Giving the same multiplier to A:EG it should add ~550M more to its 853M current OS-Ch gross which takes it ~1400M, Add 640M China and 900M DOM = 2940M WW.

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Endgame seems to be showing signs of frontloading overseas as well. Increasing only 6% from Thursday to Friday ($50.0m to 53.0m) in OS-C is really low. We'll have to wait for the Saturday number to see if this is just an outlier or a trend.

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1 minute ago, Agafin said:

Endgame seems to be showing signs of frontloading overseas as well. Increasing only 6% from Thursday to Friday ($50.0m to 53.0m) in OS-C is really low. We'll have to wait for the Saturday number to see if this is just an outlier or a trend.

thursday was actually at 41 as many people said 

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3 minutes ago, Agafin said:

Endgame seems to be showing signs of frontloading overseas as well. Increasing only 6% from Thursday to Friday ($50.0m to 53.0m) in OS-C is really low. We'll have to wait for the Saturday number to see if this is just an outlier or a trend.

W/Th were misreported, it’s +24% from the actual Thurs.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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6 minutes ago, Agafin said:

Endgame seems to be showing signs of frontloading overseas as well. Increasing only 6% from Thursday to Friday ($50.0m to 53.0m) in OS-C is really low. We'll have to wait for the Saturday number to see if this is just an outlier or a trend.

It's not frontloaded at all. As I pointed out in my earlier post, its Friday gross (with or without China) is the same as Infinity War, as a proportion of its OS opening weekend. Therefore these numbers do not suggest that it is frontloaded.

 

[EDIT:] Conversely, Thursday was inflated due to the holidays in certain countries.

Edited by Quigley
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10 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

W/Th were misreported, it’s +24% from the actual Thurs.

Oh ok. In that case, that's pretty good.

8 minutes ago, Quigley said:

It's not frontloaded at all. As I pointed out in my earlier post, its Friday gross (with or without China) is the same as Infinity War, as a proportion of its OS opening weekend. Therefore these numbers do not suggest that it is frontloaded.

The proportion might be good but the way it gets there is important since it indicates whether that proportion is going to get better or worse over time. That's a moot point now though, since it turns out the Thursday number wasn't right.

Edited by Agafin
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38 minutes ago, Quigley said:

On its second Friday, Infinity War had grossed $38.1M, which is 10% of its $382M OS opening weekend.

 

Endgame grossed $88.2M, which is 10.2% of its $867M opening weekend.

If we remove China, Friday was $52.4M, which is 9.8% of its $536 OS-Ch opening weekend.

 

If Endgame's 2nd Friday makes up the same proportion of its OS 2nd weekend as Inifnity War, it should should gross $219M in OS-Ch. Including Russia's Mon-to-Thu gross, which will be included in the weekend figure, it will get to $243M. OS-Ch total by Sunday should be at around $0.98-1.00 billion. (taking into account that some countrie's Thu and Wed gross will be part of OS weekend).

 

Add in a $64M weekend from China and its China gross will reach $575M. So in total, OS should be at $1.55-1.58B. 2nd OS weekend should be at $307M – 6th highest OS weekend ever. Rough calculations but hopefully accurate.

I didnt understand this part, including Russia Mon-Thu gross?

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