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AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide

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2 minutes ago, Omni said:

They are. Not enough to make it to 2.2B by Sunday, though.

I'm not so sure. 

DOM could be off by 4-5 million alone.  They went with a 29% Sunday drop compared to IW's 21.5% drop. If it follows IW with actuals it will pick up quite a bit. 

Charlie seems to think it has another 6 million or so OS to grow as well...

 

It'll be a close call, but 2.2B isn't completely off the table. 

As we know, Endgame is nothing if not unpredictable. 

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4 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

I'm not so sure. 

DOM could be off by 4-5 million alone.  They went with a 29% Sunday drop compared to IW's 21.5% drop. If it follows IW with actuals it will pick up quite a bit. 

Charlie seems to think it has another 6 million or so OS to grow as well...

 

It'll be a close call, but 2.2B isn't completely off the table. 

As we know, Endgame is nothing if not unpredictable. 

Well, this weekend it just followed the norm - it fell below the expected ranges like most over-hyped movies (see IW as the main example). And I think we won't see anything extraordinary about its legs from here on.

Of course everything else remains absurd.

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Sunday Update: Marvel is in the box office endgame now.

The end of the first era of the MCU has officially climbed to second place on the all-time global box office chart with an estimated $2.189 billion through the end of today (Sunday, May 5). Avengers: Endgame is topping the final worldwide grosses of Avengers: Infinity War ($2.048 billion) and Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($2.068 billion) to do so, now trailing only Avatar‘s $2.788 billion.

Disney reports the film is also the fastest to reach $2 billion, doing so in 11 days — fast than Avatar‘s previous record of 47 days.

Boxoffice projects Endgame will surpass the James Cameron film’s final global total early this summer.

With an estimated $428 million global weekend, the film only dropped 55 percent from its record-shattering performance one week ago. $282.2 million of that figure come from overseas countries this weekend. That is a stronger hold than seen on the second weekends of Avengers: Infinity War (-61%) and Captain America: Civil War (-59%), the studio adds.

Domestically, Disney estimates a $145.8 million second frame, which would fall just shy of the second weekend record held by Force Awakens. As we reported earlier, this looked to be a close call after Friday’s numbers came in. While it looks like Disney will let the Star Wars film retain that record, it’s possible actual results could come in higher on Monday.

With $620 million earned through Sunday, that puts Endgame in ninth place all-time domestically. It’s only the 10th film to reach $600 million.

Overseas, the film’s $1.569 billion haul through Sunday makes it the second highest grossing film in history outside North America. It trails only Avatar ($2.028 billion).

RealD also announced that 45 percent of the film’s global earnings so far have come from the 3D format (accounting for $979 million).

Other overseas highlights from Disney include:

#1 for the second successive weekend in all international markets except Japan where #1 western.

Final new opener

  • This weekend saw Russia open on Monday and post an estimated $32.6M for the seven days, making it the highest industry opening of all-time and placing Avengers: Endgame as the #6 movie of all-time already.  Fastest movie to ever cross Rbl2Bn.

Highest all-time industry release

  • Asia-Pacific:  Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam.  China (western), India (western) and Thailand (western).  Highest all-time industry release across the region as a whole.  China continues to lead internationally with an estimated $576M to date, making it the #3 film of all-time there behind only Wolf Warrior 2 and The Wandering Earth.
  • Europe:  Egypt, Ethiopia, Middle East (as a whole), Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine and UAE.  Turkey (western).
  • Latin America:  Mexico, Colombia, Central America and Paraguay.

 Top 3 all-time industry release

  • Asia-Pacific:  Hong Kong (#2) and Singapore (#2).
  • Latin America:  Brazil (#2), Chile (#2), Bolivia (#2) and Peru (#2).  Avengers Endgame is the #3 release of all-time across the region as a whole, after only Avengers: Infinity War and The Avengers.

Gross to date already above Avengers: Infinity War lifetime cume

  • Asia-Pacific:  China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Japan, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Australia and New Zealand as well as across the region as a whole.
  • Europe:  Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Egypt, Estonia, Ethiopia, Finland, Germany, Hungary, Iraq, Italy, Kuwait, Latvia, Lebanon, Middle East (as a whole), Netherlands, Norway, Oman, Poland, Qatar, Serbia, Saudi Arabia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Turkey, U.A.E. and Ukraine as well as across the region as a whole.
  • Latin America:  Mexico, Colombia, Central America and Paraguay.

 Strong holds

  • Asia-Pacific:  Singapore (-41%), Indonesia (-42%), Korea (-44%),  Japan (-46%), Hong Kong (-48%), Malaysia (-48%) and Taiwan (-49%).
  • Europe:  Netherlands (-23%), Belgium (-40%), Denmark (-41%), South Africa (-41%), Sweden (-41%), Austria (-44%), Germany (-46%), France (-47%) and Israel (-48%).
  • Latin America:  Trinidad (-37%), Chile (-37%), Ecuador (-39%), Colombia (-41%), Brazil (-42%) and Peru (-44%).

Cume to date

  • Asia-Pacific:  Currently at an amazing $966M as it approaches $1Bn for the region.
  • Europe:  Currently just crossed $400M with $403M.
  • Latin America:  Currently just crossing $200M.

IMAX

Avengers: Endgame continues its dominance earning another $36.7M of global IMAX box office.  The IMAX global cume now stands at $170M surpassing Avengers: Infinity War to become the third best IMAX release ever after only 12 days of release.  With a total international gross of $120.8M, Avengers: Endgame has now passed Avatar to become the biggest IMAX international release ever.  In North America, Avengers: Endgame generated $12.1M of IMAX box office, bringing the cume to $49M.

The total IMAX cume in China is now $72M making Avengers: Endgame the highest grossing IMAX release ever in China. 

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So Endgame did about $965m in the past 7 days. Lets assume heavy drops over the next 4 weeks (60%)....

May 12 -- $2.576b
May 19 -- $2.730b

May 26 -- $2.792b

June 2 -- $2.816b

It's not going to blow Avatar away, and $3 billion is basically toast, but it should still eclipse it. 

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4 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

So Endgame did about $965m in the past 7 days. Lets assume heavy drops over the next 4 weeks (60%)....

May 12 -- $2.576b
May 19 -- $2.730b

May 26 -- $2.792b

June 2 -- $2.816b

It's not going to blow Avatar away, and $3 billion is basically toast, but it should still eclipse it. 

thats assuming this kind of drops though , and i dont think that it will drop like that

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6 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

So Endgame did about $965m in the past 7 days. Lets assume heavy drops over the next 4 weeks (60%)....

May 12 -- $2.576b
May 19 -- $2.730b

May 26 -- $2.792b

June 2 -- $2.816b

It's not going to blow Avatar away, and $3 billion is basically toast, but it should still eclipse it. 

 

Memorial Day weekend will soften the drop. I believe it passes Avatar Memorial Day weekend. Aladdin will be a non-event and Kotm will underperform.

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2 minutes ago, john2000 said:

thats assuming this kind of drops though , and i dont think that it will drop like that

 

If it's 55%, we'd have...

May 12 -- $2.625b
May 19 -- $2.819b
May 26 -- $2.907b
June 2 -- $2.947b

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DOM

IW did a $114m 2nd weekend. After that it did another $225m (x2.97)

Applying the same, EG would finish with $905m. Being conservative, let's say $875m (x2.72)

 

China

It should finish with $625m

 

OS-China

IW did a $164m 2nd weekend, and it did another $296m (x2.80)

Applying the same, EG would finish with $1.39b. Let's say $1.35b (x2.60)

 

With these numbers, it would finish with about $2.85b

Edited by peludo
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3 minutes ago, peludo said:

DOM

IW did a $114m 2nd weekend. After that it did another $225m (x2.97)

Applying the same, EG would finish with $905m. Being conservative, let's say $875m (x2.72)

 

China

It should finish with $625m

 

OS-China

IW did a $164m 2nd weekend, and it did another $296m (x2.80)

Applying the same, EG would finish with $1.39b. Let's say $1.35b (x2.60)

 

With these numbers, it would finish with about $2.85b

I want 3b. Is that not a possibility 

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20 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

 

Memorial Day weekend will soften the drop. I believe it passes Avatar Memorial Day weekend. Aladdin will be a non-event and Kotm will underperform.

I see Aladdin as more of an OS film. Maybe it will underperform DOM but I think it will get good OS numbers.

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35 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

So Endgame did about $965m in the past 7 days. Lets assume heavy drops over the next 4 weeks (60%)....

May 12 -- $2.576b
May 19 -- $2.730b

May 26 -- $2.792b

June 2 -- $2.816b

It's not going to blow Avatar away, and $3 billion is basically toast, but it should still eclipse it. 

China is gonna drop off a cliff this week, under $50m.  WW this week I'm thinking under $350m which would be down 63%

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30 minutes ago, MattW said:

China is gonna drop off a cliff this week, under $50m.  WW this week I'm thinking under $350m which would be down 63%

If it keeps dropping 63% for the next 4 weeks, it will finish at 2750

Edited by Nakamura
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