Weekend Thread | Hotel 3 $44.1 Skyscraper 25.4, Ant Man’s size does matter with $28.8M

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

I'm sure Ant-Man will get a Labor Day re-release alongside Incredibles 2 like Disney has done for more than 20 years and that'll be what pushes it past $200M.

Disney better fudge its 200M if needs be considering they made fools of themselves trying to get super bomb AWIT to 100M. At least people care for AM&TW. Oh, and just fuckin fudge BP's 700M and call it a day. I bet that BP lost some due to AWIT fudge. 

[pepsa]

AMATW needs to gross about 64m more OS from it's current markets to hit that 2.5 multi. But it did open in India this WE so more like $68m

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 15, 2018 by sfran43

[baumer]

Some nice Saturday bumps.  Sicario jumps 50% on Saturday.  

[WrathOfHan]

Predictions for next weekend:

 

The Equalizer 2: 35M

Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again: 33M

Hotel Transylvania 3: 24.5M

Ant-Man and the Wasp: 15.3M

Skyscraper: 12.8M

Incredibles 2: 11M

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: 9.3M

Unfriended: Dark Web: 4M

The First Purge: 3.6M

Sorry to Bother You: 2.6M

 

It'll be refreshing to see 6 movies in the top ten putting up grosses over 10M.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

Black Panther

BV

$14,000

-55.0%

28

-24

$500

$699,900,993

[dxmatrixdt]

Ant-Man and Jurassic World might each go up about 0.2 million.  Everything else looks good.

[meriodejaneiro]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Black Panther

BV

$14,000

-55.0%

28

-24

$500

$699,900,993

That's begging for an urgent fudge.

[wildphantom]

That’s a great hold for I2 considering HT3’s arrival 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

That's huge!  80% higher than the opening of the original.  If it behaves like a typical leggy film in Japan, 100 mill is on the table.  

[eVerYtHING]

wow that Ant-Man drop is nasty. also since when does skyscraper cost 125M? BOMB. at least it has China next week.

[Moviefanatic]

11 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Black Panther

BV

$14,000

-55.0%

28

-24

$500

$699,900,993

I wish i could censor that 699 number. Makes we wanna scratch my eyes out 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, eVerYtHING said:

wow that Ant-Man drop is nasty. also since when does skyscraper cost 125M? BOMB. at least it has China next week.

 

Ant-man drop is typical for a sequel of a Marvel film.  The number for Skyscraper isn't good but far from a bomb.  The 125 price tag is actually kind of modest.  

[Eric Lasagna]

Thoughts before I head off to work:

 

Great result for HT3, especially with it opening between the first two movies. Will be interesting to see where the film will land, especially with summer weekdays as a big positive, and Christopher Robin as a potential negative. I also assume HT4 is now on the cards.

 

LOL Skyscraper. Its oncoming run is going to be hilarious since Sequelizer and Cruise Missle will kill its legs.

 

Ant-Man's drop is obviously not good. Hopefully it can pull an SMH or DP2, although I wouldn't be surprised if it ends up going sub-$200M in the end.

 

Glad to see Incredibles in the top 10, and that's quite an impressive hold since it finally got some direct competition. FK reaching $400M still seems like a challenge, but hopefully the next couple of weeks aren't so bad.

 

Very happy at STBY, especially after some of the inital doom and gloom over its performance. Seems Annapurna is finally getting a better grasp at distribution, and this seems like it will get above $10M. Leave No Trace also did decent this weekend.

 

WYBMN is doing well, but 3 Identical Strangers is a beast. That sub-50% PTA drop basically ensures it will get above $10M like the other summer docs this year.

 

Definitely very happy over Eighth Grade. Another big win for A24 is always exciting to see.

[baumer]

JWFK did 26.7 mill internationally, plus another 15.5 here.  So another 42.2 mill WW.  I's at 1.13 billion right now.  If it has a leggy run in Japan like many films do, then 1.25 billion is locked and 1.3 isn't out of the question.

 

 

[Moviefanatic]

So it looks JWFK and I2 will reach 400+ and 600+(Could be a slow crawl for I2). Very nice!

 

Flop number for Skyscraper and big drop for Ant Man. Let’s see if it pulls and Spider-Man and DP. Mission impossible coming out soon won’t help tho 

Edited July 15, 2018 by Moviefanatic

[eVerYtHING]

1 minute ago, baumer said:

 

Ant-man drop is typical for a sequel of a Marvel film.  The number for Skyscraper isn't good but far from a bomb.  The 125 price tag is actually kind of modest.  

62%  drop seems like a lot? Compared to other Marvel films arent they usually 55%? Especially when its coming off a smaller opening anyway it should not be dropping quite that much.

 

and i would say it is a flop - 25M opening in summer is what, 65M total maybe? on a 125M budget. Thats not good. Unless it smashes it in CHina which is possible .

[TalismanRing]

18 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Disney better fudge its 200M if needs be considering they made fools of themselves trying to get super bomb AWIT to 100M. At least people care for AM&TW. Oh, and just fuckin fudge BP's 700M and call it a day. I bet that BP lost some due to AWIT fudge. 

Doesn't look to be any need to fudge AM&TW. It only needs a 2.7 multi.

 

SM:HC had a bigger 2nd w/e drop (62.2%) and went on to a 2.85 multi.   

 

CA:TFA dropped 60.7% and did a 2.74 multi  (with two $35m openers + one $19m opener the next we and POTA doing $55m the w/e after)

 

I doubt BP lost anything to AWIT's fudge - but it's also benefited from some double features along the way just as AWIT did -  particularly with AIW

[cookie]

Mojo's actually separating HT3's Amazon Prime preview grosses from the OW. Interesting.

 

JUNE 2018

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
24	25	26	27	28	29 Rank  Wk/nd Rank Daily Gross Wk/nd Gross Change Y/L* Wk/nd Chng Thtrs/% Theaters / Average Wk/nd Thtr Avg Gross-to-date	30 8 (estimate) $1,276,000 - / - 1,000 / $1,276 $1,276,000 / -12

JULY 2018

Sunday	Monday	Tuesday	Wednesday	Thursday	Friday	Saturday
8	9	10	11	12 Rank  Wk/nd Rank Daily Gross Wk/nd Gross Change Y/L* Wk/nd Chng Thtrs/% Theaters / Average Wk/nd Thtr Avg Gross-to-date	13 1 (estimate) $16,875,000 - / - 4,267 / $3,955 $18,151,000 / 1	14 1 (estimate) $15,070,000 -10.7% / - 4,267 / $3,532 $33,221,000 / 2
15 1 (estimate)  1 $12,155,000 $44,100,000 -19.3% / - - / - 4,267 / $2,849 $10,335 $45,376,000 / 3	16	17	18	19	20	21

* % Change since yesterday / same day last week.