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That One Girl

Dec 21-23 Weekend Thread | Sat#'s (Asgard pg 60) - Aqua 21.8, MPR 8.8, BB 7.2, SMSV 6.9, Mule 3.8 | Discuss Pitbull's musical work here

By That One Girl, in Numbers and Data

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

Posted
Posted
11 hours ago, kswiston said:

 

The Hobbit 1 only did 4x its Wed-Sun on this same set up in 2012, so I don't think that better legs than openers is a given.  

 

The dates don't line up, but last year The Last Jedi did around 3.5x its Wed-Sun and Ferdinand did 6.5x. If you do the same for Rogue One, Collateral Beauty, TFA, Sisters, Alvin 4, Hobbit 3, Night at the Museum 3, Annie, Hobbit 2, and Madea, you will find that Ferdinand had by far the best multiplier of the bunch. The rest didn't even hit 5x that Wed-Sun for their post-first tuesday run, and most were under 4x.

 

That's every major third weekend of Dec release since 2012. You can definitely argue that Spider-verse reviewed a lot better than most of those, and doesn't have the Star Wars first week rush, but 8-9x seems more based on optimism than past data. 

Thanks for doing that research. 8-9x seems optimistic.

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MattW Box Office Gold

MattW

Posted
Posted

https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman-bumblebee-christmas-thursday-night-previews-weekend-box-office-1202524462/

 

Aquaman is coming in lower from its Friday midday projections with a $27.7M first day (vs. $30M including $13.7M previews) and a $68.8M 3-day (compared to the $70M-$75M we were seeing). That’s still in the range of tracking ($65M-$70M) and the question remains how much will Christmas spike the pic up. Many were predicting a $120M 5-day, and now it might be lower, possibly $100M+.

Bumblebee made more than the Emily Blunt British nanny tonight, $8.3M to $6.9M. The yellow VW-robot is eyeing a $22.6M weekend in the range where we saw it, while Poppins is eyeing $22.3M. Frankly it’s a coin-toss who comes out ahead after five days. Some are betting it’s Poppins over Bumblebee, $37M+ to $33M+.

Even though Mary Poppins Returns is filing below what we thought was originally a $35M 3-day, remember, she’s a musical and she’ll be singing for weeks to come. Poppins Wednesday through Sunday haul of $31M is poised to be running as much as 131% ahead of Greatest Showman‘s $13.4M five-day launch a year ago.

In fourth is Sony’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse with a second Friday of $5.1M, -61% because of last Friday’s previews, and a second weekend between $17.9M, -49% for a 10-day take of $66M.

Universal is grateful for Illumination’s The Grinch in the wake of Mortal Engines and Welcome to Marwen breaking down. He’s set to make a seventh weekend of $9M, -23% for a running take of $254M, just $6M shy of the domestic B.O. for Ron Howard’s 2000 live-action version of the green guy.

STX’s Second Act is eyeing $2.5M today for a $7.1M weekend. 

Universal/DreamWorks’ Welcome to Marwen at 1,911 theaters is on course to crash with $927K today and $3Mover FSS.

 

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kitik Global Phenomenon

kitik

Posted
Posted

You guys saw that they released the Spidey Christmas album, right?

All 5 songs are up on youtube. (Warning, you might not want to listen if you haven't seen the movie yet.)

 

Joy To The World (That I Just Saved)

 

 

 

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fabiopazzo2 Summer Tentpole

fabiopazzo2

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, MattW said:

https://deadline.com/2018/12/aquaman-bumblebee-christmas-thursday-night-previews-weekend-box-office-1202524462/

 

Aquaman is coming in lower from its Friday midday projections with a $27.7M first day (vs. $30M including $13.7M previews) and a $68.8M 3-day (compared to the $70M-$75M we were seeing). That’s still in the range of tracking ($65M-$70M) and the question remains how much will Christmas spike the pic up. Many were predicting a $120M 5-day, and now it might be lower, possibly $100M+.

Bumblebee made more than the Emily Blunt British nanny tonight, $8.3M to $6.9M. The yellow VW-robot is eyeing a $22.6M weekend in the range where we saw it, while Poppins is eyeing $22.3M. Frankly it’s a coin-toss who comes out ahead after five days. Some are betting it’s Poppins over Bumblebee, $37M+ to $33M+.

Even though Mary Poppins Returns is filing below what we thought was originally a $35M 3-day, remember, she’s a musical and she’ll be singing for weeks to come. Poppins Wednesday through Sunday haul of $31M is poised to be running as much as 131% ahead of Greatest Showman‘s $13.4M five-day launch a year ago.

In fourth is Sony’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse with a second Friday of $5.1M, -61% because of last Friday’s previews, and a second weekend between $17.9M, -49% for a 10-day take of $66M.

Universal is grateful for Illumination’s The Grinch in the wake of Mortal Engines and Welcome to Marwen breaking down. He’s set to make a seventh weekend of $9M, -23% for a running take of $254M, just $6M shy of the domestic B.O. for Ron Howard’s 2000 live-action version of the green guy.

STX’s Second Act is eyeing $2.5M today for a $7.1M weekend. 

Universal/DreamWorks’ Welcome to Marwen at 1,911 theaters is on course to crash with $927K today and $3Mover FSS.

 

What is this sh**?? 

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MrGlass2 Summer Tentpole

MrGlass2

Posted
Posted

$240M DOM, $260M C, 350M OS-C

$850M WW for Aquaman, the race with :Venom: is on.

4 minutes ago, kitik said:

So wait, the actual Friday number is basically equal to the previews number?

  

That's insane!

It is Amazon +3D pre-previews+5PM Thursday previews = Friday.

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Webslinger Box Office Gold

Webslinger

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Posted

I know cautious optimism gets a bad rap around these parts - and the internet as a whole, for that matter - but remember that we still have yet to hit Christmas, New Year's, and the associated holiday weekdays. Yes, not every movie comes anywhere near the unbelievable leggy levels of Jumanji or Greatest Showman last year, but this is a time frame that tends to be very kind to holdovers. Put another way: I wouldn't read too far into the opening figures of any of this weekend's big movies as a surefire sign of where they're headed with the bulk of big holiday business ahead of them, especially where the films opening on the Christmas Day proper hardly look like they'll put much of a damper in the films that are already in the marketplace.

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sfran43 Global Phenomenon

sfran43

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, Barnack said:

 

How do you know if it was out of theater ? Could be mismembering but I think it was still showing up on fandango ticket sales for weeks after that, if you look here seem to have been the case:

 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NBK-Sj8qK3GXl-iOdHYeD94YRNxWJ9HqZ9OKdGoSx2o/edit#gid=384438946

 

Selling over 500 tickets some days on fandango in August.

 

Movies often play a very long time after they stopped showing up on box office mojo, I imagine dollar theater run and what not.

If i'm wrong, I apologize in advance, but I thought "closed date" meant it was no longer playing in theaters after that date...

 

Widest Release: 4,115

theaters Close Date: July 26, 2018

 

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=newlinetentpole2018.htm

 

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