MinaTakla Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 4 hours ago, peludo said: With current exchange rates, Skyfall would not had done 1 billion today. Unless it explodes in China, and considering that Spectre is not likely to match Skyfall in both UK and US (I think it can lose $50m in each market), I do not see the billion. IMHO, about $900m would be the target. How much would it have done with today's ER, Peludo? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 There are markets in Asia/LA that could still increase from Skyfall. That could help it reach 1B WW. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
picores Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: There are markets in Asia/LA that could still increase from Skyfall. That could help it reach 1B WW. Agree. Domestic + UK its losing maybe 70-90m. It should increase in LA, Asia and China of course. It all depends on Europe and how much it can retain from Skyfall. France and Germany must perform in line with Skyfall. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 (edited) 1 hour ago, MinaTakla said: How much would it have done with today's ER, Peludo? According my last calculation, about $980m, but it was some months ago. Anyway, I do not think that number has changed substantially. That number would be taking into account the record in UK and $300m in US. If we consider that Spectre can drop about $50m in each market relative to Skyfall, we would have that Spectre would be doing about $880m. Even considering that Spectre can sell the same amount of admissions in the rest of markets than Skyfall (mainly France and Germany), what I think is unlikely, it needs another $120m increase in Latin America / China to get the billion. There are chances, but I see it difficult. Edited October 30, 2015 by peludo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bond Bug Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 15 minutes ago, peludo said: According my last calculation, about $980m, but it was some months ago. Anyway, I do not think that number has changed substantially. That number would be taking into account the record in UK and $300m in US. If we consider that Spectre can drop about $50m in each market relative to Skyfall, we would have that Spectre would be doing about $880m. Even considering that Spectre can sell the same amount of admissions in the rest of markets than Skyfall (mainly France and Germany), what I think is unlikely, it needs another $120m increase in Latin America / China to get the billion. There are chances, but I see it difficult. Why would it be unlikely that Spectre doesn't match the admissions of Skyfall? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bond Bug Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 On 10/28/2015, 4:57:19, solaris said: I dunno - Skyfall's performance at the UK box office is a pretty big outlier. All of the Craig Bonds have been huge - Casino Royale was the 6th biggest film ever at the UK box office at time of release, QoS was 11th. Skyfall capitalised on a number of factors: - The huge success of CR & QoS at the box office, home video & on TV. The Craig Bond era is essentially a franchise in it's own right - and a huge one. - Casino Royale was (and remains) a beloved film critically and to the moviegoing public- Skyfall was ultimately seen as the true sequel to this (in the sense that QoS was CR part 2). - Pent up demand after four years with no Bond film. - The 'special' factors - Olympics, Adele, 50th Anniversary. - Skyfall also just had a certain 'watercooler' appeal - say what you want about the film but Mendes and co did a great job of creating something memorable after the charisma vacuum of QoS. The blend of Craig-era grit with classic Bond motifs, combined with the novelty of having M as the Bond girl, the Home Alone-esque finale, Silva's entrance (and flirtation with Bond) all added up to something that transcended the usual (and already very wide) Bond audience in the UK. Hence, a film which opened to a huge £20m was able to sustain massive numbers on subsequent weekends and get to a 5 multiplier. This is definitely not 'the new normal'. We're seeing crazy numbers for Spectre's opening as a result of this pent up demand, but I just can't see it getting to that £100m mark. £80m feels like a reasonable target on the strength of this opening (good for top 3 all time UK) but I think legs will quickly get cut down and w're probably looking at something more like £70-£75m (good for top 5). The fact that we're throwing HUGE numbers like this around so casually is a testament to the strength of Craig's Bond over here, but let's not take Skyfall's unique run for granted. Many things aligned for Skyfall, but ultimately it was huge because Bond is cool again, and Bond is spectacular and thrilling entertainment in a league of its own, just as it was in the 60s and 70s, before it got lost among many other action movies. Quantum of Solace was not as well received and may have held Skyfall back. This time the new Bond flick follows a well-liked episode that broke records. As a result, the audience is bigger, people are more confident and have more anticipation. That is more important than James Bond at the Olympics and all the other Skyfall marketing stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 51 minutes ago, Bond Bug said: Why would it be unlikely that Spectre doesn't match the admissions of Skyfall? Don't get me wrong. I would love to see Bond making again the billion mark. I like a lot this saga. But I think Skyfall was a rarity. Too many favorable factors . This year it has not the same, starting with the film quality that seems to not match Skyfall's 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted October 30, 2015 Author Share Posted October 30, 2015 (edited) Spectre is doing extremely well tonight. Looks busier than any day so far, especially later on in the night as it's the weekend. Sellouts across the board. Edited October 30, 2015 by Heretic 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 It's got 6 from 6 at my local again tonight, 5 tomorrow and 4 on Sunday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 6 hours ago, peludo said: Don't get me wrong. I would love to see Bond making again the billion mark. I like a lot this saga. But I think Skyfall was a rarity. Too many favorable factors . This year it has not the same, starting with the film quality that seems to not match Skyfall's 100% agree 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 2 hours ago, Heretic said: Spectre is doing extremely well tonight. Looks busier than any day so far, especially later on in the night as it's the weekend. Sellouts across the board. Great to hear. Its crazy in Denmark too. OD and OW(friday-sun) are easy in top 5 of all times in admissions 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dark Alfred Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 Fri looking £6.5 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 41-42M GBP after Sunday 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted October 31, 2015 Author Share Posted October 31, 2015 7 hours ago, The Dark Alfred said: Fri looking £6.5 After burning off over £21m.. Insane! Saturday could be bigger, or remain more or less flat. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
solaris Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 So £18m for the weekend then? More? This is an absolute monster. It'll end up within spitting distance of Quantum of Solace's total after just 7 days. Seeing how this holds over the next few weeks is going to be very interesting. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted October 31, 2015 Author Share Posted October 31, 2015 Should do between £18-19m. Will be interesting to see if it'll increase today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zamor Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 Wow! That's huge, but not unexpected. As for here I think that the fact it's partially filmed here will help the BO and it will surely do better than Skyfall. Unfortunately, no chances to finish near Goldfinger, which sold 14m tickets here in the '60. Looking forward! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted October 31, 2015 Author Share Posted October 31, 2015 Quote Charles Gant @charlesgant Oct 30Camden Town, London UK and Ireland box-office has just passed £1bn for 2015. Earliest in the year this has ever happened. On course for a record breaker... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 Holy crap! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 On Fri Oct 30 2015 15:09:07 GMT+0800, fmpro said: Could you give me the math on that? It looks not to decrease much in UK and US, probably -100m combined, maybe even less. I expect rest markets to at least stay flat. that leaves it 1B. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
