Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[reddevil19]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 20m+ friday is happening. AMC is adding more shows to Joker and I am expecting a good increase in show count by late afternoon. Juggernauts defy gravity. 70m+ 2nd weekend. That means its looking at 400m domestic run !!!!

[MrGlass2]

Just now, keysersoze123 said:

I think 20m+ friday is happening. AMC is adding more shows to Joker and I am expecting a good increase in show count by late afternoon. Juggernauts defy gravity. 70m+ 2nd weekend. That means its looking at 400m domestic run !!!!

No words...

 

[Inceptionzq]

Just now, reddevil19 said:

I was just about to post that lol

[Cooper Legion]

It would be quite something if this broke up the dom top 8 of movies made by Disney. 

[reddevil19]

1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

It would be quite something if this broke up the dom top 8 of movies made by Disney. 

How dare you?!  

 

1	Avengers: Endgame	BV	$858,373,000	4,662	$357,115,007	4,662	4/26	9/12
2	The Lion King (2019)	BV	$541,549,012	4,802	$191,770,759	4,725	7/19	-
3	Toy Story 4	BV	$433,379,910	4,575	$120,908,065	4,575	6/21	-
4	Captain Marvel	BV	$426,829,839	4,310	$153,433,423	4,310	3/8	7/4
5	Spider-Man: Far from Home	Sony	$390,361,240	4,634	$92,579,212	4,634	7/2	-

Edited October 11, 2019 by reddevil19

[kitik]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 20m+ friday is happening. AMC is adding more shows to Joker and I am expecting a good increase in show count by late afternoon. Juggernauts defy gravity. 70m+ 2nd weekend. That means its looking at 400m domestic run !!!!

 

400 seems a little hard to believe right now, but 350 seems like it could be a potential target.

 

How about an over/under of Aquaman right now?

[Lordmandeep]

sorry i cant accept Far from Home being a solely sony film.

 

The ties to endgame gives the film a huge Asterisk attached to it. 

 

 

 

[Firepower]

As I said months before, this is real people's movie. The main reason of this run is because people LOVE it, incredible WOM. Not like random cbm love, but like monumental masterpiece love, like if Gladiator would have been a very controversial movie. It's basically a mix of huge hype, great marketing, tons of controversies and a movie that lives up to all this.

[reddevil19]

Just now, kitik said:

 

400 seems a little hard to believe right now, but 350 seems like it could be a potential target.

 

How about an over/under of Aquaman right now?

Post-Nolan, the outlier for DC is their equivalent of Ant-Man, but with even less brand power behind it, in the form of Shazam, and...Justice League. That will NEVER NOT BE FUNNY. And I say that as someone who didn't find that movie particularly bad, just...meh. Its performance will forever amuse me.

 

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, kitik said:

 

400 seems a little hard to believe right now, but 350 seems like it could be a potential target.

 

How about an over/under of Aquaman right now?

fairly empty market and it will need few 40% drops for it to happen. That is as inevitable as death and taxes. It has already held like crazy despite losing 3/4 of PLF shows at AMC. So Malificent 2 will do nothing to it.

[Cooper Legion]

3 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

How dare you?!  

I didn't say Disney distributed, now did I? Nor made exclusively by Disney. But FFH was made by Disney, and I'm very comfortable using it in that group.

[titanic2187]

10 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 20m+ friday is happening. AMC is adding more shows to Joker and I am expecting a good increase in show count by late afternoon. Juggernauts defy gravity. 70m+ 2nd weekend. That means its looking at 400m domestic run !!!!

[Firepower]

Malificent's target audience is completely different btw.

[a2k]

11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think 20m+ friday is happening. AMC is adding more shows to Joker and I am expecting a good increase in show count by late afternoon. Juggernauts defy gravity. 70m+ 2nd weekend. That means its looking at 400m domestic run !!!!

8 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

 

 

20.5

26.7 (+30%)

21.3 (-20%)

= 68.5

[john2000]

awesome wb needed a winner this year, as they sucked until now

[titanic2187]

 

30 minutes ago, john2000 said:

e)the first big blockbuster and a movie that people were actually intrested in since the lion king, 3 months ago imo that helped more than anything other than great wom

 

.   

Joker's 96m opening wasn't far higher than IT2's 91m, if 3 month box office drought in cinema really helped joker that much, the opening would have been easily 100m+ instead of posting crazy 2nd weekend hold in almost every countries 

[Damianport1]

5 minutes ago, a2k said:

 

 

20.5

26.7 (+30%)

21.3 (-20%)

= 68.5

Only 30% sat increase would very weird tho

[john2000]

2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

 

.   

Joker's 96m opening wasn't far higher than IT2's 91m, if 3 month box office drought in cinema really helped joker that much, the opening would have been easily 100m+ instead of posting crazy 2nd weekend hold in almost every countries 

oscar buzz didnt do shit however, again i didnt say that this was the biggest reason, if you read my comment, however it was a big factor , way bigger than the oscars

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

Only 30% sat increase would very weird tho

would be but i feel nervous coming up with a higher number. it's insane, figuring something's gotta give. smaller sat bump, or normal-ish sun drop despite Columbus Day.

[Cooper Legion]

Should be more like +40 Sat, -35 Sun. Check out Gravity, Martian, Columbus day weekends. Still about a 3.3 IM though.