Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)

[filmlover]

Looks like everything had strong multipliers this weekend. The theater was crazy busy where I saw Zombieland and Maleficent yesterday so I can't say I'm surprised.

[titanic2187]

13 minutes ago, a2k said:

ROCKETMAN had a smaller weekend taking it to 89.0 (same as DA current cume - 88.6 after 3.1 weekend) but it had summer weekdays

 

Jul 5–7	10	$2,612,554	-33.6%	1,409	-594	$1,854	$89,014,938	6
Jul 12–14	12	$1,685,106	-35.5%	1,332	-77	$1,265	$91,960,016	7
Jul 19–21	14	$964,239	-42.8%	720	-612	$1,339	$93,981,610	8
Jul 26–28	14	$468,543	-51.4%	518	-202	$905	$94,952,460	9
Aug 2–4	15	$294,009	-37.3%	518	-	$568	$95,555,558	10
Aug 9–11	24	$148,723	-49.4%	181	-337	$822	$95,899,640	11
Aug 16–18	29	$101,715	-31.6%	160	-21	$636	$96,089,685	12
Aug 23–25	33	$71,468	-29.7%	118	-42	$606	$96,227,407	13
Aug 30–Sep 1	45	$57,633	-19.4%	102	-16	$565	$96,332,928	14
Aug 30–Sep 2	45	$74,832	+4.7%	102	-16	$734	$96,350,127	14

How this can cross 100m is now dependent on how long and how much can Focus Feature retain the screen for the movie. 

 

8 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

I can see this becoming the biggest foreign language event since Baahubali2  

[reddevil19]

7 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Shame it couldn't have dropped more. They're playing an annoying ad on radio here in the UK - "Critics have spoken. Gemini Man is a smart spy thriller like nothing that came before." Like, fuck right off. Absolute piece of shit.

[sfran43]

 

Edited October 20, 2019 by sfran43

[sfran43]

 

Edited October 20, 2019 by sfran43

[a2k]

50-55 dom for GM

30-35 from China

= 80-90 from these 2 markets

 

225 WW am guessing

55*0.55 + 35*0.25 + 135*0.40 = 93 theatrical returns (138-158 prod budget)

[reddevil19]

Just now, sfran43 said:

 

Hope actuals push it over 30, just for my OCD.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Even if it's front-loaded ZL2 should get to low-60s dom - around IT2's legs will take it there.

[reddevil19]

4 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

The disparity is always impressive, no matter how many times it's mentioned. Like, only the 7th to crack 250. But the 6 that already did it are so far beyond 250, it's insane. I look forward to next year continuing the trend. 😕 

[cdsacken]

46 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

can they AWIT Downton to 100M or too big a gap?

Feeling like it's gonna be really tough. Felt like it was gonna be at 98 last week. Worried it be closer to 96.5-97.5 now. Depends on super later legs. Expecting Thursday to Thursday weekly drop of 39% as this Monday was huge.

[sfran43]

 

Edited October 20, 2019 by sfran43

[Valonqar]

Just now, cdsacken said:

Feeling like it's gonna be really tough. Felt like it was gonna be at 98 last week. Worried it be closer to 96.5-97.5 now. Depends on super later legs. Expecting Thursday to Thursday weekly drop of 39% as this Monday was huge.

So Rocketman 2.0. Still an excellent success. 

[reddevil19]

So, Joker at 490 OS, as per BOM. Just under 740 WW. Still looking good for 930 or so. Maybe 950...

Edited October 20, 2019 by reddevil19

[RJ 95]

Yup that's 625m locked.

Good chance for 650m+

[cdsacken]

1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

So Rocketman 2.0. Still an excellent success. 

Oh that's a great idea. I'm gonna look at that and compare the numbers.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

Edited October 20, 2019 by sfran43

[Gavin Feng]

$970M+ for Joker