Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)

[The Futurist]

Parasite's success is great news for the sci fi genre.

Hope it allows more sci fi films like Parasite to get greenlit.

Edited October 20, 2019 by The Futurist

[reddevil19]

4 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Doing 900m+ without China is a fantastic performance for the Joker.

Todd Phillips continue to show people how it s done.

Cinephiles know what's what. Europe representing!

[babz06]

6 minutes ago, kitik said:

 

 

That's not too shabby, just below Parasite's 380 last weekend from 3 theaters.

 

I obviously haven't seen either yet, because I don't live in NY/LA, but I'm curious if people think that there's a chance that Jojo Rabbit will expand better in a few weeks if it appeals a bit more to the masses. 

 

Though I see that The Lighthouse is going to open here next weekend, so at least that's something.

Jojo Rabbit won TIFF people's choice award so it'll have more wide audience appeal than The Lighthouse. 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, baumer said:

 

Do you have any numbers for Clerks?

Nothing for Saturday.

Edited October 20, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Eric the IF]

TW	LW	Title (click to view)	Studio	Weekend Gross	% Change	Theater Count / Change		Average	Total Gross	Budget*	Week #
1	N	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	BV	$36,000,000	-	3,790	-	$9,499	$36,000,000	-	1
2	1	Joker (2019)	WB	$29,205,000	-47.7%	4,090	-284	$7,141	$247,229,004	$55	3
3	N	Zombieland 2: Double Tap	Sony	$26,725,000	-	3,468	-	$7,706	$26,725,000	$42	1
4	2	The Addams Family (2019)	UAR	$16,057,007	-47.0%	4,102	+95	$3,914	$56,816,034	-	2
5	3	Gemini Man	Par.	$8,500,000	-58.6%	3,642	-	$2,334	$36,516,543	$138	2
6	4	Abominable	Uni.	$3,500,000	-42.4%	2,647	-849	$1,322	$53,915,070	$75	4
7	5	Downton Abbey	Focus	$3,080,000	-36.9%	2,258	-761	$1,364	$88,612,460	-	5
8	7	Judy	RAtt.	$2,055,975	-36.4%	1,418	-209	$1,450	$19,018,113	-	4
9	6	Hustlers	STX	$2,050,000	-47.3%	1,575	-782	$1,302	$101,871,912	$20	6
10	8	It: Chapter Two	WB (NL)	$1,505,000	-52.0%	1,528	-775	$985	$209,659,518	-	7
11	15	Parasite (2019)	Neon	$1,241,334	+223.1%	33	+30	$37,616	$1,821,976	-	2
12	9	Jexi	LGF	$1,215,000	-60.9%	2,332	-	$521	$5,734,684	-	2
13	10	Ad Astra	Fox	$838,000	-55.4%	796	-882	$1,053	$48,702,771	-	5
14	11	Rambo: Last Blood	LGF	$560,000	-62.7%	930	-901	$602	$44,082,166	$50	5
15	21	Pain and Glory	SPC	$463,532	+70.5%	67	+44	$6,918	$1,130,373	-	3
16	N	The Lighthouse	A24	$419,764	-	8	-	$52,471	$419,764	-	1
17	N	Jojo Rabbit	FoxS	$350,000	-	5	-	$70,000	$350,000	-	1
18	13	The Lion King (2019)	BV	$300,000	-56.2%	325	-1,362	$923	$542,983,628	$260	14
19	20	The Peanut Butter Falcon	RAtt.	$225,950	-18.7%	248	-56	$911	$19,879,110	-	11
20	23	Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice	Greenwich	$188,253	-8.6%	147	-21	$1,281	$3,501,004	-	7
21	22	Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark	LGF	$150,000	-38.9%	219	-127	$685	$68,152,304	$25	11
22	16	Good Boys	Uni.	$106,000	-68.8%	190	-184	$558	$82,975,895	$20	10
23	26	Toy Story 4	BV	$97,000	-39.2%	145	-44	$669	$433,722,484	-	18
24	31	Where's My Roy Cohn?	SPC	$96,513	+5.2%	66	+9	$1,462	$493,746	-	5
25	29	Dora and the Lost City of Gold	Par.	$92,000	-34.5%	147	-77	$626	$60,449,018	$49	11
27	27	Angel has Fallen	LGF	$90,000	-38.4%	168	-120	$536	$68,878,413	$40	9
26	24	Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw	Uni.	$90,000	-51.6%	187	-114	$481	$173,694,635	$200	12
28	33	Lucy in the Sky	FoxS	$58,000	-26.1%	231	+33	$251	$272,095	-	3
29	41	The Art of Racing in the Rain	Fox	$38,000	-14.3%	66	-23	$576	$26,385,699	-	11
30	49	Aladdin (2019)	BV	$33,000	+14.0%	45	-28	$733	$355,562,840	$183	22
31	45	Official Secrets	IFC	$27,336	-19.2%	34	-9	$804	$1,922,458	-	8
32	N	The Cave (2019)	NGE	$22,100	-	2	-	$11,050	$22,100	-	1
33	51	Monos	Neon	$20,688	-9.1%	40	-10	$517	$367,496	-	6
34	39	47 Meters Down: Uncaged	ENTMP	$20,000	-59.0%	51	-48	$392	$22,232,261	$12	10
35	N	Immortal Hero	Free	$18,845	-	12	-	$1,570	$18,845	-	1
36	50	Ready or Not	FoxS	$17,000	-37.4%	39	-13	$436	$28,705,847	$6	9
37	47	First Love	WGUSA	$15,880	-48.8%	34	-6	$467	$195,548	-	4
38	53	Miles Davis: Birth of Cool	Abr.	$14,923	-28.6%	18	+2	$829	$555,631	-	9
39	N	Greener Grass	IFC	$14,113	-	22	-	$642	$14,113	-	1
40	N	By The Grace of God	MBox	$8,188	-	2	-	$4,094	$8,188	-	1
41	-	Cyrano, My Love	RAtt.	$7,107	-	3	-	$2,369	$306,707	-	36
42	67	Gift	Mats.	$4,139	-2.7%	5	+3	$828	$9,663	-	2
43	70	Tel Aviv on Fire	Cohen	$4,071	+22.0%	5	-3	$814	$500,996	-	12
44	58	Honeyland	Neon	$3,700	-58.1%	18	-6	$206	$688,754	-	13
45	N	Serendipity (2019)	Cohen	$1,550	-	2	-	$775	$1,550	-	1
46	N	Stuffed	MBox	$1,534	-	1	-	$1,534	$2,506	-	1
47	80	Desolation Center	Mats.	$1,505	+30.6%	3	-4	$502	$25,760	-	6
48	64	The Dead Center	Arrow	$710	-86.7%	1	-9	$710	$8,397	-	2
49	77	Britt-Marie Was Here	Cohen	$602	-57.3%	1	-2	$602	$35,540	-	5
TOTAL (49 MOVIES):				$135,534,319	-4.1%	35,166	-3,221	$3,854

[charlie Jatinder]

32 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Damn. That's impressive. Seems like 350mn is a possibility.

A 350 internationally and a drag to 110mn in NA will see it cover production cost. Can make good money on video, all this for not ending up bomb, which was very hard to believe.

[a2k]

TDKR's record DC OS of 636.8 (with about 53 from China) is gonna be broken by Joker without China.

 

EDIT: TDKR's record DC OS-China of 584 is gonna be broken by Joker by 50+.

Edited October 20, 2019 by a2k

[Cap]

24 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

430 to 350. That is gonna be fun to play with once I get out of Maleficent 😈

[cdsacken]

15 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

A 350 internationally and a drag to 110mn in NA will see it cover production cost. Can make good money on video, all this for not ending up bomb, which was very hard to believe.

Yep

15 minutes ago, a2k said:

TDKR's record DC OS of 636.8 (with about 53 from China) is gonna be broken by Joker without China.

Happy for Joker but that's depressing. TDKR was incredible, it deserves so much more.

[RealLyre]

1 hour ago, sfran43 said:

 

deadline was estimating 1.38M..

 

seems like it's following The Farewell which is still really solid for a non-english speaking film but I was expecting more. 15M-20M+ should still happen ig 

Edited October 20, 2019 by RealLyre
.

[sfran43]

 

[kitik]

With Halloween still 10 days away, Addams Family is going to hit 100, right?

[kitik]

26 minutes ago, a2k said:

TDKR's record DC OS of 636.8 

 

I thought Aquaman had the DC OS record.

[reddevil19]

1 minute ago, kitik said:

 

I thought Aquaman had the DC OS record.

Yeah, over 800, but only 520-ish without China, so TDKR and soon Joker will be above that OS-C result.

[RJ 95]

1 minute ago, reddevil19 said:

Yeah, over 800, but only 520-ish without China, so TDKR and soon Joker will be above that OS-C result.

Also surely at the end of it's run Joker will be #1 solo superhero movie of all time in Europe surpassing IM3 and TDKR.

[reddevil19]

Next objectives for DC:

• Decent reception for BoP, regardless of box office (similar to Shazam)
• WW84 increase internationally, to challenge the billion
• Black Panther numbers for The Batman

 

 

[Xftg123]

1 hour ago, narniadis said:

It doesnt have any majors left unless there was a misreported opening on Friday. Will be curious to see how far over 400m it goes

For the rest of this month, nope.

 

There is going to be Terminator Dark Fate out in November, but who knows how much that will do overseas.

[reddevil19]

1 minute ago, Xftg123 said:

For the rest of this month, nope.

 

There is going to be Terminator Dark Fate out in November, but who knows how much that will do overseas.

He's saying Maleficent 2 has no major markets left to open in, according to reports. In which case, yeah, it's a better opening that some feared, but still not too great, as it does put its OS target somewhere round 300.

[excel1]

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

Sorta funny that The Lego Movie, Godzilla, and Maleficent were all among the biggest movies of 2014 and have spawned sequels five years later that will all finish in the same range ($100-110M) but at half or less of what their predecessors made. Guess if we want to extend that to sequels to 2014 movies we can also include Dark Phoenix making only a fraction of what Days of Future Past did.

 

5 years way too long between movies 

[DAJK]

35 minutes ago, kitik said:

With Halloween still 10 days away, Addams Family is going to hit 100, right?

I doubt it. 90 would be good, but it would be nice to see another non-Disney film do it.

 

27 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

Next objectives for DC:

• Decent reception for BoP, regardless of box office (similar to Shazam)
• WW84 increase internationally, to challenge the billion
• Black Panther numbers for The Batman

 

 

Batman ain’t doing BP numbers I can guarantee. Joker #s IMO