Eric the Clown Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 https://deadline.com/2019/11/frozen-2-knives-out-queen-slim-thanksgiving-box-office-1202795080/ Quote Let’s start with the build of it all: The pic’s official weekend came in at $130.2M, which as we’ve been sayin’ is the best animated pic launch ever in November. Today, with 41% of K-12 schools out and 14% of colleges, I understand Monday will deliver around $16M for the sequel directed by Jennifer Lee- and Chris Buck. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric the Clown Posted November 26, 2019 Author Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said: 13.5-14. let's see if evening walk ups change it, matinees were as expected in morning. 🤔 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) I'd be inclined to go with @Jedi Jat. I'm rather confused because most comps point to a 63 or 64% drop today, which gives you that 13.5-14 figure. Are more schools out today than normal on this day during other years? Edited November 26, 2019 by JB33 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 13.5-14 is good or bad??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 6 minutes ago, PKMLover said: 13.5-14 is good or bad??? Standard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 It's good after good hold. Gimme 14.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Not sure what the Tuesday bump would be. Hopefully it can do 50%+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 Yeah the Deadline number doesnt make sense statistically speaking. Tuesday should definitely be bigger. Thinking 20-21 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 MTC1 is dropping around 64-65% range. MTC2 is holding better but based on previous track, MTC1 seem more representative. Of course it does not take into account how many kids tickets get sold. Around low 20's % was for tickets sold before noon as well, I am assuming those are family tickets. So I cannot predict a number but it does like Charlie will be closer than Deadline(DUH). 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 13.3 11 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) Frozen 2 13.25 Ford v Ferrari 1.78 A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 1.52 21 Bridges 0.90 Playing with Fire 0.62 Midway 0.60 Last Christmas 0.40 The Good Liar 0.40 Charlie's Angels 0.39 Joker 0.38 Harriet 0.36 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil 0.30 Doctor Sleep 0.26 Jojo Rabbit 0.23 Parasite 0.17 Special: FRIENDSGIVING $195k // $450k (2 Days) Edited November 26, 2019 by Jedi Jat 8 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 47 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: Frozen 2 13.25 Ford v Ferrari 1.78 A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 1.52 21 Bridges 0.90 Playing with Fire 0.62 Midway 0.60 Last Christmas 0.40 The Good Liar 0.40 Charlie's Angels 0.39 Joker 0.38 Harriet 0.36 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil 0.30 Doctor Sleep 0.26 Jojo Rabbit 0.23 Parasite 0.17 Special: FRIENDSGIVING $195k // $450k (2 Days) Monday is lower than I anticipated, which means I feel an even bigger Tuesday bump than I first predicted. Something like $20.5M (+55%). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) Frozen, 130.3 ow 13.3 Monday 20.0 (+50%) 19.0 (-5%) 12.8 (-32.5%) = 65.1 // 195.4 week 1 29.4 (+130%) 29.1 18.0 (-38%) = 76.5 (-41%) // 271.9 10-day 271.9 + 76.5*2.5 = 463 dom (3.56x) Edit: Using 140% Fri bump 30.7 (+140%) 30.4 18.9 (-38%) = 80.0 (-38.5%) // 275.4 10-day 275.4 + 80.0*2.5 = 475.5 dom (3.65x) Edited November 26, 2019 by a2k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, a2k said: Frozen, 130.3 ow 13.3 Monday 20.0 (+50%) 19.0 (-5%) 12.8 (-32.5%) = 65.1 // 195.4 week 1 29.4 (+130%) 29.1 18.0 (-38%) = 76.5 (-41%) // 271.9 10-day 271.9 + 76.5*2.5 = 463 dom (3.56x) 41% is harsh drop. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) Grinch last year. Keep in mind this was it's 2nd Mon-Thu and 3rd weekend opposed to 1st Mon-Thu and 2nd weekend for Frozen2. So Frozen2's drop will be hampered by previews in the previous weekend and front-loading in initial days in general. Also it's a sequel unlike Grinch. Tue bumps have been getting better and that shouldn't be out of reach though Nov 19, 2018 2 $4,660,185 -63% 4,141 $1,125 $131,623,595 11 Nov 20, 2018 2 $6,800,655 +46% 4,141 $1,642 $138,424,250 12 Nov 21, 2018 3 $6,974,765 +3% 3,960 $1,761 $145,399,015 13 Nov 22, 2018 4 $4,703,755 -33% 3,960 $1,188 $150,102,770 14 Nov 23, 2018 4 $11,590,955 +146% 3,960 $2,927 $161,693,725 15 Nov 24, 2018 3 $11,632,050 n/c 3,960 $2,937 $173,325,775 16 Nov 25, 2018 3 $7,169,215 -38% 3,960 $1,810 $180,494,990 17 The Star, 2017 in it's 1st week like Frozen2. Nov 17, 2017 6 $2,770,595 2,837 $977 $2,770,595 1 Nov 18, 2017 6 $4,141,840 +49% 2,837 $1,460 $6,912,435 2 Nov 19, 2017 6 $2,900,239 -30% 2,837 $1,022 $9,812,674 3 Nov 20, 2017 6 $1,106,257 -62% 2,837 $390 $10,918,931 4 Nov 21, 2017 6 $1,602,057 +45% 2,837 $565 $12,520,988 5 Nov 22, 2017 7 $1,639,117 +2% 2,837 $578 $14,160,105 6 Nov 23, 2017 7 $997,091 -39% 2,837 $351 $15,157,196 7 Nov 24, 2017 7 $2,786,249 +179% 2,837 $982 $17,943,445 8 Nov 25, 2017 7 $2,573,079 -8% 2,837 $907 $20,516,524 9 Nov 26, 2017 7 $1,571,591 -39% 2,837 $554 $22,088,115 10 The 2nd Fri bump is great but Thu was also harsher compared to Grinch. Edited November 26, 2019 by a2k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 (edited) @a2k 130.3 13.3 21 22 (Grinch was obviously affected by Ralph. Catching Fire's Wednesday was +69% Monday, FB 1 +62%) 15.8 // 202 36 36 22 // 296 94 * 2.5 : 235 531 Edited November 26, 2019 by Jedi Jat 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 I call it matching OD on black Friday 👀 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said: @a2k 130.3 13.3 20 22.5 (Grinch was obviously affected by Ralph. Catching Fire's Wednesday was +69% Monday) 15.8 // 202 36 36 22 // 296 94 * 2.5 : 235 531 Oh, very good point about Grinch and Ralph. Didn't think about it. (Would go a little higher on Thu drop than 30% if Wed jumps 10%.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 The Good Liar should be 14.5+ by Sunday and head towards 20 total. Disappointing number but face saving legs. UK started at 3.2 and could do 10-15 total there am guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 26, 2019 Share Posted November 26, 2019 I have been away from the box office for about 6 months now. I just haven't been following it as close as I used to. It's kind of nice to follow the film industry without analyzing the minutai of the box office. It's nice not getting upset or "concerned" when a movie doesn't meet or exceed some ridiculous expectation that this site bestows upon it. Frozen is a straight up beast both domestic and internationally and it's going to make a pile of money. Just tangentially reading the comments from some of you here, I get the sense of some small disappointment because it didn't open to 132 million instead of 130, or that it didn't do more internationally or that it "only" made 13 million on it's first Monday. I think some of you need to give your head a shake. Not only is this film going to be a huge money maker, both domestic and internationally, it's also going to be a huge seller for merchandise and such. I know we don't talk all that much about this kind of stuff but Frozen is going to be a merch monster. But forget about the merch, this is going to be a huge money maker for Disney. Again, being away from the box office for a while, and with mojo being a piece of shit now, I don't have the budget in front of me, but I'm assuming it's about 175-200 million. So if this makes 1.2-1.4 billion, it's a massive success. Following the box office of films like this is what makes following the box office fun to track. 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...