No Way Home Weekend Thread | #RIP AIW Record | 260M OW DOM | 340M OS | 600M OW WW W/O CHINA

[Torontofan]

9 minutes ago, Mango said:

Absolute worst case from $65m true friday is $115/60/40 and that's still $215m and assuming it drops of a cliff entirely and was uncharacteristically frontloaded for a marvel/spidey film.

 

Realistic range seems to be $235-250m based on that number. 

has a major marvel movie ever decline from true friday on sat? 

[Rthmessiah]

I'd had been thinking earlier   120m , range 115-120m, see how  it goes

[CJohn]

LOL if this does 70M True Friday. TFA might go down.

[ZeeSoh]

1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Not enough shirtless men pics to summon him

 

1 hour ago, john2000 said:

 

It worked!!

[Jiffy]

3 minutes ago, CJohn said:

LOL if this does 70M True Friday. TFA might go down.

Not with Omicron and that didn't have to deal with Christmas Eve on 2nd Friday.

 

Still, really great to see such gob-smacking numbers. 

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Jiffy said:

Not with Omicron and that didn't have to deal with Christmas Eve on 2nd Friday.

 

Still, really great to see such gob-smacking numbers. 

Omicron hasnt affected a thing .

[XXR & Friends]

4 minutes ago, Jiffy said:

Not with Omicron and that didn't have to deal with Christmas Eve on 2nd Friday.

 

Still, really great to see such gob-smacking numbers. 

 

He's talking about opening weekend. 

[Jiffy]

1 minute ago, GoblinXXR said:

 

He's talking about opening weekend. 

Lol ofc nvm then. 

[RichWS]

How we're still rolling Thursday shows that start at 3 into Friday is wild.

[Joyous Legion]

50-70-75-65, sure. 

[Flopped]

After this weekend Hollywood is going to redouble its efforts to make us think Zendaya is some A+ list superstar. Nevermind that Euphoria had middling numbers that were only considered successful because it drew people under 25 to HBO. Or that her Netflix movie absolutely bombed. 

[XXR & Friends]

It's funny to think about but looking at all the data it seems pretty clear at this point. Had COVID been trending massively downward right now (lets say numbers similar to June 2021 or less) and this had gotten an equal China release like Endgame got, we'd likely be looking at the 3rd biggest movie ever.

Even with all these issues and without China/Japan, OS is going to do $330M or so through Sunday. Legs on that will be 2.6-2.8x which translates to $860-925M. Add in Japan's $60-80M and we're at $920-1050M. DOM is going to open around $250M and should be able to hit 2.8-3.2x for $700-800M. 

That gives us $1620-1850M without China and with COVID issues still going on. COVID will probably cost NWH over $20M in South Korea, for instance. Overall restrictions and hesitancy will probably cost it 5-10% across the globe.

It's unlikely NWH will release in China, but had it gotten the chance along with the other countries on December 15th it would probably nab $300-400M. 

NWH would be on its way to $2.1-2.4B but it's going to have to settle for $1.6-1.8B

 

 

Edited December 18, 2021 by GoblinXXR

[CJohn]

This would have been an easy 300M opener in America without COVID.

[Cap]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

This would have been an easy 300M opener in America without COVID.

My nephew really wants to see it. He keeps asking when it’s going to be on Disney+ 

 

[nguyenkhoi282]

Now i want a 600M global opening!!! Probably take 265+335 or so. Lmao let's not forget Deadline's 290 👻

Edited December 18, 2021 by nguyenkhoi282

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Kids will have to wait a couple of months before watching it on a shared screen on Discord if they don't want to watch in the cinemas. 

 

Thank goodness for that. 

[Macleod]

24 minutes ago, Cap said:

My nephew really wants to see it. He keeps asking when it’s going to be on Disney+ 

 

 

Introduce him to Tom Rothman, he will explain why Netflix is gonna get this first. 😂  

(Can't believe there's no Rothman GIF or emoji here!)

 

[DlAMONDZ]

As long as it beats TFA I'm good

[EmpireCity]

49 minutes ago, CJohn said:

This would have been an easy 300M opener in America without COVID.

 

Not true.  Possible, but not all that true.  

[Jiffy]

Does BOM no longer have the biggest WW / International openings charts?

 

I like some of the additions they've made for foreign markets, but otherwise what a dumpster fire that remains.

Edited December 18, 2021 by Jiffy