The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[excel1]

1 hour ago, cax16 said:

135-185(OW)

340-540 (dom total)

 

link seems broken so I just clicked back button and then clicked the Batman article again. 

 

 

I assume that was $135m is for opening day?

[filmlover]

8 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

I assume that was $135m is for opening day?

[Eric the Minion]

13 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

I assume that was $135m is for opening day?

Dude the bit's old.

[excel1]

18 minutes ago, Eric Knoxville said:

Dude the bit's old.

 

people underestimating this film bigly

[Issac Newton]

If Batman makes $135M OD, then NWH is probably a flop.

Spoiler

I really can not see it winning OW record from NWH......

 

[Maggie]

2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

If Batman makes $135M OD, then NWH is probably a flop.

  Reveal hidden contents

I really can not see it winning OW record from NWH......

 

The Batman being dark and gritty -kids will avoid it, unlike Spidey.  The discussion is pointless anyway, it will not happen. Around 150M OW would be a stunning result

[JonahVex]

Batman will beat Civil War, speak it into existence!!!

[XXR & Friends]

On 2/4/2022 at 9:12 AM, Issac Newton said:

If Batman makes $135M OD, then NWH is probably a flop.

  Hide contents

I really can not see it winning OW record from NWH......

 

 

You can't see it because it's not happening. Right now I'm thinking something more like....

 

27M Thursday

42M Friday

49M Saturday

35M Sunday 

 

Edited February 5, 2022 by RiddlerXXR

[Krissykins]

 

 

[EmpireCity]

The impact that the weather had on Thursday can't be overstated.  Entire markets in a line stretching from Albuquerque to Dallas to Austin to OKC to Illinois to Indiana and beyond were either closed completely or severely impacted.  

 

$1.65m is a good number.  Many theaters still closed in those markets at least for the morning and afternoon.  

[Krissykins]

40 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

The impact that the weather had on Thursday can't be overstated.  Entire markets in a line stretching from Albuquerque to Dallas to Austin to OKC to Illinois to Indiana and beyond were either closed completely or severely impacted.  

 

$1.65m is a good number.  Many theaters still closed in those markets at least for the morning and afternoon.  

Should expect some Thursday drops then, and maybe some better Saturday increases.

[Box Office Hit]

4 hours ago, JonahVex said:

3 day OW for Uncharted projected at 25-35m with a 60-85m total DOM run

 

Oof, that domestic total would be terrible. The budget is $120 million.

[filmlover]

Uncharted is likely gonna need good reviews in order to truly breakout. Given the history of video game movies, it's hard to put bets on them being positive.

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, filmlover said:

Uncharted is likely gonna need good reviews in order to truly breakout. Given the history of video game movies, it's hard to put bets on them being positive.

Given the history of the director, the movie is doomed

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 1/28/2022 at 9:38 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Spider-Man	3,163	57,646	3.10%	50,733	6,913	2,723	744
Scream 5	3,144	56,681	-13.31%	53,358	3,323	0	0
Sing 2	3,058	37,453	-0.81%	37,221	232	0	127
Redeeming Love	1,873	21,250	-15.49%	21,185	65	0	0
The 355	2,282	20,698	-10.75%	20,637	61	0	0
The King's Man	2,093	20,302	-3.29%	20,269	33	0	0
American Underdog	1930	16694	-1.79%	16672	22	0	0
King's Daughter	1,759	15,527	-40.68%	15,482	45	0	0
Ghostbusters	1,116	9,511	29.23%	9,500	11	0	0
West Side Story	1,072	7,443	4.48%	7,432	11	0	0
Licorice Pizza	723	6,843	-0.44%	6,843	0	0	0
Parallel Mothers	654	6,541	486.64%	6,541	0	0	0
Nightmare Alley: Vision In Darkness And Light	761	6,109		6,104	5	0	0
House of Gucci	831	5,722	4.30%	5,713	9	0	0
Belle	721	5,713	-42.92%	5,690	23	18	0
The Tiger Rising	691	5,646	-44.90%	5,612	34	0	0
Encanto	561	4,454	56.61%	4,442	12	0	12
Matrix Resurrections	655	4,245	-14.78%	4,245	0	0	0
Venom 2	443	3,274	-11.89%	3,268	6	0	6
Gamestop: Rise of the Players	265	3,112		3,112	0	0	0
Clean	230	2,847		2,847	0	0	0
Nightmare Alley	399	2,129	18.61%	2,129	0	0	0
Flee	206	1,926		1,926	0	0	0

 

US showtime sample 1/28/22 weekend. 

 

Future Releases

 

T-1 week

Jackass Forever - 32,919 (2,445 TC)

Moonfall - 33,048 (2,259 TC) (3,646 IMAX)

 

T-2 week previews

Marry Me - 3,771 (1,845 TC)

Death on the Nile - 2,077 (790 TC) (244 IMAX)

Blacklight - 679 (309 TC)

 

T-3 week previews

Uncharted - 3,304 (813 TC) (240 IMAX)*

 

*AMC has not posted showtimes for Uncharted yet.

 

JF/Moonfall T-1 showtime comps

Halloween Kills - 32,962 (2,343 TC)

Addams Family - 33,520 (2,461 TC)

WSS - 27,605 (1,950 TC)

Movie	Theaters	Shows	Change	Standard	PLF	IMAX	3D
Jackass Forever	3,225	80,243		76,315	3,928	0	0
Moonfall	3,241	64,611		55,468	9,143	4,187	0
Spider-Man	3,094	41,665	-27.72%	41,266	399	0	309
Scream 5	2,881	34,980	-38.29%	34,898	82	0	0
Sing 2	2,903	31,330	-16.35%	31,172	158	0	74
Redeeming Love	1,639	13,495	-36.49%	13,461	34	0	0
The King's Man	1578	13291	-34.53%	13275	16	0	0
The Wolf and the Lion	938	12,069		12,052	17	0	0
American Underdog	1,327	10,445	-37.43%	10,431	14	0	0
The 355	1,492	10,074	-51.33%	10,048	26	0	0
Ghostbusters	889	6,822	-28.27%	6,814	8	0	0
Licorice Pizza	694	6,509	-4.88%	6,509	0	0	0
West Side Story	658	3,915	-47.40%	3,904	11	0	0
House of Gucci	472	2,813	-50.84%	2,813	0	0	0
Encanto	396	2,787	-37.43%	2,781	6	0	6
Parallel Mothers	424	2,338	-64.26%	2,338	0	0	0
Kung Fu Panda	293	2,247		2,247	0	0	0
Belfast	337	2,223		2,223	0	0	0
Nightmare Alley: Vision In Darkness And Light	375	1,720	-71.84%	1,720	0	0	0
King's Daughter	279	1,665	-89.28%	1,665	0	0	0
Matrix Resurrections	235	1,362	-67.92%	1,362	0	0	0
Belle	199	1,311	-77.05%	1,311	0	0	0
Nightmare Alley	276	1,233	-42.09%	1,233	0	0	0

 

US showtime sample for 2/4/22 weekend

 

Preview shows for last night will be higher than actual since this doesn't account for the closures.  

OW shows comps

Jackass Forever - 80,243
Free Guy - 80,479

Dune - 82,661

 

Moonfall - 64,611

Snake Eyes - 64,832

Addams Family - 68,219

 

Future Releases

 

T-1 Week

Death on the Nile Early Access (2/9) - 824 (816 TC)

Death on the Nile - 33,327 (2,240 TC) excluding early access

Marry Me - 27,987 (2,321 TC)

Blacklight - 19,740 (1,627 TC)

 

T-1 Comps

Death on the Nile - 33,327

Moonfall - 33,048

Jackass Forever - 32,919

Halloween Kills - 32,962

 

Marry Me - 27,987

West Side Story - 27,605

 

Blacklight - 19,740

King's Man - 19,568 (3-day only; no previews)

 

T-2 Weeks Previews

Uncharted - 7,459 (2,177 TC) (1,890 PLF)

Dog - 3,104 (1,383 TC)

 

T-2 Weeks Comps

Uncharted - 7,459

Dune - 5,906

Eternals - 9,541

Ghostbustets - 9,550

(Don't love any of these, but nothing I've tracked has been closer at this point in time)

 

Dog - 3,104

Jackass Forever - 2,779

Dear Evan Hansen - 2,599

[Lagniappe]

When will the embargo on Uncharted lift? US premiere seems to be 2/14, opens the 18th. 

[Maggie]

 

 

https://twitter.com/Great_Katzby/status/1489676342568357889

 

[Lagniappe]

12 minutes ago, Maggie said:

 

 

https://twitter.com/Great_Katzby/status/1489676342568357889

 

Sorry, I meant review embargo. 

[Maggie]

Just now, Lagniappe said:

Sorry, I meant review embargo. 

I have no idea.

[el sid]

Jackass Forever, counted today at 9am EST (my normal Friday counting time, before the shows start) for today:
 

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 143 (9 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 174 (8 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 192 (7 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 11 (6 showtimes)
Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Centerpoint 11): 161+ (1 reported Sell Out - normally not true; 10 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 113 (9 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 533 (10 showtimes)

Total tickets sold in 7 theaters: 1.327+.
Jumped really good 45% since yesterday.
Fingers crossed that the walk-ups are decent too.