The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Nikostar]

11 hours ago, Grebacio said:

and all three movies will open below 20M

With two of them opening below 10m

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

If I had to guess:

 

Bad Guys- 12m

Northman- 9m (Idk, seems higher than Green Knight's 6.7m here and nearly on par with Ambulance's 8.6m, stronger reviews can give it slight edge. Also has Dolby)

Massive Talent- 4m

[cax16]

On 4/9/2022 at 2:30 PM, cax16 said:

Can now do a direct comp with The Batman,

 

day 4 of sales for Dr Strange 16370 at nearest 24 theatres 

 

day 4 of sales for Batman was 6032

 

I’ll do a count again at like day 14 for another direct comp. 

Day 14,

 

Batman was 9427

Dr strange is 18605

 

Dr Strange has already surpassed The Batman final sales so I’ll do a comparison on day 21 which was the last day I had for Batman, then I can use those numbers for future comps.

 

 

[ZackM]

Still chugging along with ~5k tickets per day despite the weekend noise.

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	3 Days Ago	4 Days Ago	5 Days Ago
Showings Added	53	0	21	30	74
Seats Added	6,085	0	3,707	2,107	9,334
Seats Sold	4,702	7,077	3,741	5,142	5,206
4/19/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	429	7,092	290,734	1,187,525	24.48%
% of Seats Sold	Sellouts	90%+	80%+	70%+	60%+
# of Showings	8	35	202	556	975
ATP
$16.80

[filmlover]

The Bad Guys is really feeling like a sub-$15M opener ngl.

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric is a furry said:

The Bad Guys Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	40	70	5647	1.24%

 

Comp

0.424x of Boss Baby 2 T-3 (556K)

0.391x of Jungle Cruise T-3 (1.06M)

1.707x of Addams Family 2 T-3 (939K)

5.000x of Ron's Gone Wrong (1.2M)

0.414x of Encanto (621K)

 

It's a bit all over the place, and all the comps go into weird and wild directions by the end of their run. But this seems fairly solid, considering that this isn't a film that will make much in previews anyways. Addams Family 2 did 31.5x its previews for instance, while Ron's Gone Wrong did 30.4x its previews.

The Bad Guys Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	48	92	6856	1.34%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 22

 

Comp

0.514x of Boss Baby 2 T-2 (673K)

0.386x of Jungle Cruise T-2 (1.04M)

1.508x of Addams Family 2 T-2 (829K)

4.381x of Ron's Gone Wrong T-2 (1.05M)

0.396x of Encanto (595K)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric is a furry said:

The Northman Greater Philadelphia Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	16	324	2900	11.17%

 

Comp

2.400x of Old T-3 (3.6M)

2.160x of Snake Eyes T-3 (3.02M)

10.800x of The Last Duel T-3 (3.78M)

0.247x of Dune T-3 (1.26M)

3.600x of Ambulance T-3 (2.52M)

 

I mean yeah, the 3M previews are pretty awesome, but my pessimistic side is going to Dune, only because Northman's doing hella crazy business in Dolby and I don't want to get people's hopes up. BTW I didn't track The Green Knight, so that's why I don't have that comp.

The Northman Greater Philadelphia Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	22	370	3758	9.85%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 46

 

Comp

1.947x of Old T-2 (2.92M)

1.823x of Snake Eyes T-2 (2.55M)

8.605x of The Last Duel T-2 (3.01M)

0.244x of Dune T-2 (1.24M)

3.458x of Ambulance T-2 (2.42M)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric is a furry said:

The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent Greater Philadelphia Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	193	2876	6.71%

 

Comp

1.245x of Free Guy T-3 (2.74M)

0.697x of Jackass Forever T-3 (1.15M)

 

Does anybody have any other good comps for this? I was kind of at a blank here.

The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent Greater Philadelphia Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	32	235	3552	6.62%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 42

 

Comp

1.054x of Free Guy T-2 (2.32M)

0.699x of Jackass Forever T-2 (1.15M)

0.348x of The Lost City T-2 (1.13M)

[Eric is Quiet]

23 hours ago, Eric is a furry said:

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	234	9195	45297	20.30%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 250

 

Comp

0.816x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-17 (40.82M)

2.024x of The Batman T-17 (43.72M)

Doctor Strange 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	234	9356	45297	20.65%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 161

 

Comp

0.741x of Spider-Man: No Way Home T-16 (37.06M)

2.007x of The Batman T-16 (43.36M)

[Porthos]

On 4/18/2022 at 11:42 PM, Porthos said:

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	329	31047	40908	9861	24.11%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

226

 

T-17 Comps - TECHNICALLY BETTER THAN NOTHING EDITION

	%		Sold T-17	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	74.26		13279	13279		0/225	14920/28199	47.09%		28183	34.99%		37.13m
Batsy:	268.40		156	3674		0/248	28624/32298	11.38%		11757	83.87%		57.97m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	107.23%	14.82
SC:	5847	168.65%	14.84
LTBC:	7712	127.87%	14.83
ET:	6409	153.86%	14.62
NWH:	28183	34.99%	17.49
Batsy:	11757	83.87%	18.12

 

Regal:     2169/10901  [19.90% sold]
Matinee:    576/4632  [12.44% | 5.84% of all tickets sold]

 

===

 

Marvel promoting one of their products leads to interest in their other products.  Who knew?

 

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-16 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	351	32409	42436	10027	23.63%

 

Total Showings Added Today	22
Total Seats Added Today	1528
Total Seats Sold Today	166

 

 

T-16 Comps - TECHNICALLY BETTER THAN NOTHING EDITION

	%		Sold T-16	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NWH:	68.49		1361	14640		0/273	19521/34161	42.86%		28183	35.58%		34.25m
Batsy:	263.04		138	3812		0/280	30966/34778	10.96%		11757	85.29%		56.82m

PRE-SALE NOTE: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness tickets have been on sale for twelve more days than No Way Home's tickets had been on sale at this point in pre-sales, and eight more days than The Batman's main showings had been on sale.

 

 

Multiverse of Madness has sold...

	Final Sold	% of Final	Est Gross
BW:	9196	109.04%	15.07
SC:	5847	171.49%	15.09
LTBC:	7712	130.02%	15.08
ET:	6409	156.45%	14.86
NWH:	28183	35.58%	17.79
Batsy:	11757	85.29%	18.42

 

Regal:     2224/11027  [20.17% sold]
Matinee:    601/4632  [12.97% | 5.99% of all tickets sold]

[WrathOfHan]

Rn I'm feeling 12-14M for Northman and 8-10M for Massive Talent/Bad Guys. Northman might over index in cities but Dolby sales can't be underestimated.

[katnisscinnaplex]

23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-16	Doctor Strange 2	Jacksonville	7	155	24,173	2,874	57	11.89%
		Phoenix	6	131	19,512	3,098	94	15.88%
		Raleigh	8	124	14,960	3,511	93	23.47%
	Doctor Strange 2 Total		21	410	58,645	9,483	244	16.17%
T-2	The Bad Guys	Jacksonville	6	26	3,134	35	7	1.12%
		Phoenix	5	16	2,221	30	6	1.35%
		Raleigh	7	15	1,458	55	11	3.77%
	The Bad Guys Total		18	57	6,813	120	24	1.76%
T-2	The Northman	Jacksonville	7	14	1,868	146	24	7.82%
		Phoenix	5	9	1,229	112	25	9.11%
		Raleigh	7	9	983	95	16	9.66%
	The Northman Total		19	32	4,080	353	65	8.65%
T-2	TUWoMT	Jacksonville	7	12	1,550	50	8	3.23%
		Phoenix	5	8	1,026	46	13	4.48%
		Raleigh	7	12	1,226	41	8	3.34%
	TUWoMT Total		19	32	3,802	137	29	3.60%

 

TUWoMT T-2 comps

 - Ambulance - 1.52x (1.066m)

 - Stillwater - 4.28x (1.199m)

 - HWB - 2.49x (2.03m)

 - X - 1.54x (677k)

 

Northman T-2 comps

 - Green Knight - 2.18x (1.63m)

 - Ghostbusters - .324x (1.34m)

 - Morbius - .249x (1.42m)

 - Last Duel - 4.25x (1.49m)

 

Bad Guys T-2 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .112x (557k)

 - Encanto - .5x (743k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - 1.15x (1.04m)

 - Boss Baby 2 - .83x (1.08m)

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 1.765x (16.77m)

 - Shang-Chi - 2.31x (20.36m)

 - Black Widow - 1.29x (17m)

 - No Way Home - .273x (13.67m)

 

DS2 T-16 comps

 - Spider-Man - .672x (33.61m)

 - Eternals - 7.76x (73.72m)

 - Black Widow - 5.53x (73.03m)

Day	Movie	Area	TC	Shows	Seats	Sold	New	% Sold
T-1	The Bad Guys	Jacksonville	6	27	3,199	39	4	1.22%
		Phoenix	6	19	2,441	39	9	1.60%
		Raleigh	7	18	1,854	74	19	3.99%
	The Bad Guys Total		19	64	7,494	152	32	2.03%
T-1	The Northman	Jacksonville	7	15	1,933	163	17	8.43%
		Phoenix	7	11	1,418	122	10	8.60%
		Raleigh	7	10	1,048	120	25	11.45%
	The Northman Total		21	36	4,399	405	52	9.21%
T-1	TUWoMT	Jacksonville	7	15	1,877	78	28	4.16%
		Phoenix	7	11	1,203	57	11	4.74%
		Raleigh	7	12	1,226	56	15	4.57%
	TUWoMT Total		21	38	4,306	191	54	4.44%
T-15	Doctor Strange 2	Jacksonville	7	157	24,345	2,951	77	12.12%
		Phoenix	6	134	19,734	3,150	52	15.96%
		Raleigh	8	124	14,960	3,574	63	23.89%
	Doctor Strange 2 Total		21	415	59,039	9,675	192	16.39%

 

TUWoMT T-1 comps

 - Ambulance - 1.46x (1.02m)

 - Stillwater - 4.06x (1.14m)

 - HWB - 1.97x (1.6m)

 - X - 1.4x (618k)

 

Northman T-1 comps

 - Green Knight - 1.75x (1.31m)

 - Ghostbusters - .29x (1.2m)

 - Morbius - .234x (1.33m)

 - Last Duel - 4.76x (1.67m)

 

Bad Guys T-1 comps

 - Sonic 2 - .11x (541k)

 - Encanto - .5x (735k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - 1.42x (1.28m)

 - Boss Baby 2 - .87x (1.14m)

 

DS2 final sales (T-1 hour) comps

 - Eternals - 1.8x (17.11m)

 - Shang-Chi - 2.36x (20.78m)

 - Black Widow - 1.31x (17.35m)

 - No Way Home - .279x (13.95m)

 

DS2 T-15 comps

 - Spider-Man - .62x (31.05m)

 - Black Widow - 5.41x (71.35m)

 - Batman (Thu) - 3.47x (61.03m)

 - Batman + EA - 2.19x (47.3m)

[Ezen Baklattan]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Rn I'm feeling 12-14M for Northman and 8-10M for Massive Talent/Bad Guys. Northman might over index in cities but Dolby sales can't be underestimated.

Single digits would be a DISASTER for Bad Guys, but at this point I'd consider anything over $15m a win. We're a far cry from the heyday of DreamWorks's box office.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 4/19/2022 at 11:53 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Santikos Tracking

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold
T-2	The Bad Guys	Standard	20	39	76	2,506	3.03%
T-2	The Northman	Standard	20	26	131	2,122	6.17%
T-2	TUWoMT	Standard	7	8	28	890	3.15%

 

Bad Guys T-2 comps

 - Sonic (Thu) - .076x (377k)

 - Sonic + EA - .051x (317k)

 - Fantastic Beasts - .057x (342k)

 

The Northman T-2 comps

 - Morbius - .115x (657k)

 - Fantastic Beasts - .098x (589k)

 - Sonic (Thu) - .13x (649k)

 - Sonic + EA - .087x (546k)

 

TUWoMT T-2 comps

 - Morbius - .025x (140k)

 - Fantastic Beasts - .021x (126k)

 - Sonic (Thu) - .028x (139k)

 - Sonic + EA - .019x (117k)

 

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New*	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-16	Doctor Strange 2	PLF	58	306	5,345	11,808	45.27%	$15.87	$84,834.38
		Standard	100	472	3,887	12,822	30.32%	$12.10	$47,027.47
	DS2 Total		158	778	9,232	24,630	37.48%	$14.28	$131,861.85

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New*	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-16	Doctor Strange 2	N	116	620	7,766	17,847	43.51%	$14.77	$114,717.00
		Y	42	158	1,466	6,783	21.61%	$11.69	$17,144.85
	DS2 Total		158	778	9,232	24,630	37.48%	$14.28	$131,861.85

*New sales since Thursday*

 

Doctor Strange 2 T-16 comps

 - Spider-Man - .696x (34.82m)

Santikos Tracking

 

Movie	Format	Shows	New Sls	Sold	True Cap	% Sold
The Bad Guys	Standard	20	14	90	2,506	3.59%
The Northman	Standard	21	28	159	2,209	7.20%
TUWoMT	Standard	23	16	44	2,256	1.95%

 

Bad Guys T-1 comps

 - Sonic (Thu) - .059x (294k)

 - Sonic + EA - .042x (260k)

 - Fantastic Beasts - .058x (349k)

 

The Northman T-1 comps

 - Morbius - .112x (636k)

 - Fantastic Beasts - .103x (617k)

 - Sonic (Thu) - .104x (520k)

 - Sonic + EA - .074x (460k)

 

TUWoMT T-1 comps

 - Morbius - .031x (176k)

 - Fantastic Beasts - .028x (171k)

 - Sonic (Thu) - .029x (144k)

 - Sonic + EA - .02x (127k)

 

Not great comps but it's what I have.

 

 

Day	Movie	Format	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-15	Doctor Strange 2	PLF	58	74	5,419	11,808	45.89%	$15.85	$85,908.80
		Standard	100	105	3,992	12,822	31.13%	$12.08	$48,232.75
	Doctor Strange 2 Total		158	179	9,411	24,630	38.21%	$14.25	$134,141.55

 

Day	Movie	Mat	Shows	New	Sold	True Cap	% Sold	ATP	Gross
T-15	Doctor Strange 2	N	116	120	7,886	17,847	44.19%	$14.74	$116,277.99
		Y	42	59	1,525	6,783	22.48%	$11.71	$17,863.56
	Doctor Strange 2 Total		158	179	9,411	24,630	38.21%	$14.25	$134,141.55

 

Doctor Strange 2 T-15 comps

 - Spider-Man - .685x (34.23m)

[el sid]

Massive Talent had today 335 sold tickets. 

Up good 103% since Monday.

Comps (both counted on Wednesday for Friday): The Lost City (30.5M OW) had 519 sold tickets 

and Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard (11.4M OW) had 132 sold tickets.

I still doubt that Massive Talent is a walk-up film (like the other two movies mentioned above were) but the presales in my theaters are really decent.

 

The Northman had today 456 sold tickets.

Up modest 34% since Monday.

Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): The Last Duel (4.8M OW) had 96 sold tickets,

The Green Knight (6.8M OW) had  344

and Death on the Nile (12.9M OW) had 295 in the same 6 theaters.

The presale number itself is still good but that it lost some ground compared to The Green Knight is worrying me - even though I think The Northman has way more mass appeal. I hope the jump till tomorrow is better than till today.

By the way, the reviews in Germany are good too.

 

The Bad Guys had today 345 sold tickets in 7 theaters.

Comps (all counted on Wednesday for Friday): The Boss Baby 2 (16M OW) had 140 sold tickets in 6 theaters (would be vs 230 for The Bad Guys in the same 6 theaters),

Dolittle (21.8M OW) had 240 sold tickets 

and Clifford (16.6M OW) had 122 sold tickets.

Not bad at all.

Edited April 20, 2022 by el sid

[BruiseCruise]

https://deadline.com/2022/04/box-office-northman-bad-guys-unbearable-weight-of-massive-talent-nicolas-cage-1235006554/

 

$18-20 m for FB3 and Sonic 2

 

$15m for Bad Guys

 

$8-12m for Northman

 

$5-7m for UWOMT

[EmpireCity]

I think Lionsgate is done.  Moonfall bombed and cost them millions.  They pulled The Unbreakable Boy from the schedule in March, sold off Shotgun Wedding to Amazon a couple weeks ago, their marketing ran a terrible campaign on The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent and now it appears the trailer for The Devil's Light has been removed.  

 

They are still the closing presentation at CinemaCon, but I can't imagine how or why.  

 

If I were them and I needed a guaranteed cash infusion, they should move up John Wick 4 to August.  It is reportedly done and ready to go.  

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

Lionsgate still has a lot on its slate: Borderlands, Clerks 3, Are You There Margaret, that dumb Wonder spinoff, Expendables 4... but I guess they end up streaming or sold? 

[filmlover]

Yeah, it seems obvious Lionsgate's days are numbered as far as being a standalone studio. Aside from the aforementioned completed movies, I don't think they have anything in development right now. But hey, at least that lasted much longer and enjoyed more success than other non-majors looking to compete with the big guys like Open Road (which ended up going under shortly after putting out a Best Picture winner).

[Tinalera]

2 hours ago, BruiseCruise said:

https://deadline.com/2022/04/box-office-northman-bad-guys-unbearable-weight-of-massive-talent-nicolas-cage-1235006554/

 

$18-20 m for FB3 and Sonic 2

 

$15m for Bad Guys

 

$8-12m for Northman

 

$5-7m for UWOMT

Im trying to understand what Unbearable Weight is supposed to be? A passion product of Cage? A meta-commentary "look at us make fun of hollywood" type movie? Something else?