The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[keysersoze123]

3 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Downton 2 (EA)	1-Hr	Jax	6	6	31	226	783	28.86%
		Phx	7	7	4	190	706	26.91%
		Ral	8	10	21	342	980	34.90%
	Total		21	23	56	758	2,469	30.70%

 

Won't have time for a true T-1hr, but I still wanted to check how pace was today.  From everything I'm hearing, my areas are vastly overperforming.  That being said, here's where the EA shows are comping out to (against true T-1hr updates).

 

Downton EA T-1 hr comps

 - Respect EA - 1.93x

 

All drama movies - 3.08m

All PG movies - 3.14m

All 7pm preview movies - 2.87m

All movies - 2.56m

 

It's really tough to predict anything this high, especially knowing that it's basically one show per location.  I'd be happy with anything over 1m, but I'd love something higher.

There is no way it comes close to your numbers as release is not that big. I doubt it will even hit 1m today. Unless you mean including thursday previews and that should happen. 

[Krissykins]

I don’t think Bob’s Burgers is that big here in the UK, but we just got 3 TV spots during the series finale of one of our most popular shows. 3 of the same spot. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/17/2022 at 3:30 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

300

2320

12.93%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

345

3250

10.62%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1412	20	24118	5.85%	15	147

 

AMCs sold	1071
Cinemarks sold	131
Regals sold	99
Harkins sold	111

 

1.28x Black Widow T-23 (16.93M)

Jurassic World Dominion Denver Thursday Showings

AMC Westminster 24

Total

301

2320

12.97%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

346

3250

10.65%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
1453	41	24654	5.89%	15	151

 

AMCs sold	1088
Cinemarks sold	142
Regals sold	102
Harkins sold	121

 

1.27x Black Widow T-22 (16.82M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/17/2022 at 3:31 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Megaplex

 

T-23 Thursday(91 showings): 1049(+32)/26260

 

T-24 Friday(150 showings): 966(+77)/43519

 

T-25 Saturday(158 showings): 668(+17)/45546

 

T-26 Sunday(144 showings): 141(+8)/41066

Jurassic World Dominion Megaplex

 

T-22 Thursday(91 showings): 1080(+31)/26260

0.711x Black Widow T-22 (9.39M)

 

T-23 Friday(150 showings): 985(+19)/43519

1.17x Black Widow T-23 (30.77M)

 

T-24 Saturday(158 showings): 679(+11)/45546

 

T-25 Sunday(144 showings): 150(+9)/41066

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/17/2022 at 3:32 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Jurassic World Dominion Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-23 Thursday(114 showings): 3452(+176)/17772 ATP: $14.31

 

T-24 Friday(172 showings): 2792(+158)/27860 ATP: $14.58

 

T-25 Saturday(180 showings): 2885(+87)/29291 ATP: $13.57

 

T-26 Sunday(148 showings): 1158(+60)/24294 ATP: $12.95

Jurassic World Dominion Alamo Drafthouse

 

T-22 Thursday(114 showings): 3574(+122)/17772 ATP: $14.31

 

T-23 Friday(172 showings): 2915(+123)/27860 ATP: $14.56

 

T-24 Saturday(180 showings): 2996(+111)/29291 ATP: $13.52

 

T-25 Sunday(148 showings): 1177(+19)/24294 ATP: $12.97

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/17/2022 at 4:06 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Top Gun Maverick Denver Preview Showings

Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

418

2574

16.24%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

692

2612

26.49%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2295	97	27220	8.43%	15	153

 

AMCs sold	1729
Cinemarks sold	160
Regals sold	342
Harkins sold	64

 

Tuesday

Total

1198

59

2831

Wednesday

Total

207

0

276

Overall

Grand Total

3700

156

30327

 

0.449x Doctor Strange 2 T-9 (16.15M)

0.920x Batman T-9 (19.88M)

0.269x NWH T-9 (13.45M)

3.25x Dune T-9 (16.55M)

Top Gun Maverick Denver Preview Showings

Thursday

AMC Westminster 24

Total

457

2574

17.75%

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

732

2984

24.53%

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD PAST DAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
2432	137	29062	8.37%	15	174

 

AMCs sold	1826
Cinemarks sold	160
Regals sold	372
Harkins sold	74

 

Tuesday

Total

1269

71

2831

Wednesday

Total

207

0

276

Overall

Grand Total

3908

208

32169

 

0.458x Doctor Strange 2 T-8 (16.47M)

0.276x NWH T-8 (13.82M)

3.19x Dune T-8 (16.27M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/17/2022 at 4:14 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Top Gun Maverick Megaplex

 

T-7 Tuesday(5 showings): 1447(+76)/2742

T-9 Thursday(125 showings): 2958(+222)/33207

 

Total Previews: 4405(+298)/34239

0.484x Doctor Strange 2 T-9 (17.43M)

0.944x Batman T-9 (20.40M)

0.231x NWH T-9 (11.54M)

2.59x Dune T-9 (13.20M)

 

T-10 Friday(199 showings): 4179(+236)/53043

0.776x Doctor Strange 2 T-10 (42.46M)

0.295x NWH T-10 (21.23M)

2.21x Dune T-10 (27.40M)

 

T-11 Saturday(204 showings): 2961(+219)/55104

0.934x Doctor Strange 2 T-11 (53.99M)

0.371x NWH T-11 (27.43M)

2.74x Dune T-11 (37.58M)

 

T-12 Sunday(193 showings): 743(+76)/52781

0.945x Doctor Strange T-12 (36.75M)

0.398x NWH T-12 (25.54M)

2.30x Dune T-12 (22.50M)

Top Gun Maverick Megaplex

 

T-6 Tuesday(5 showings): 1590(+143)/2742

T-8 Thursday(134 showings): 3107(+149)/35122

 

Total Previews: 4697(+292)/37864

0.495x Doctor Strange 2 T-8 (17.81M)

0.238x NWH T-8 (11.92M)

2.63x Dune T-8 (13.40M)

 

T-9 Friday(206 showings): 4434(+255)/54463

0.777x Doctor Strange 2 T-9 (42.53M)

0.302x NWH T-9 (21.74M)

2.21x Dune T-9 (27.38M)

 

T-10 Saturday(212 showings): 3250(+289)/56663

0.956x Doctor Strange 2 T-10 (55.29M)

0.386x NWH T-10 (28.53M)

2.90x Dune T-10 (39.78M)

 

T-11 Sunday(198 showings): 820(+77)/53645

0.965x Doctor Strange 2 T-11 (37.52M)

0.412x NWH T-11 (26.42M)

2.55x Dune T-11 (24.98M)

[Inceptionzq]

On 5/17/2022 at 4:19 PM, Inceptionzq said:

Top Gun Maverick Drafthouse

 

T-9 Thursday(117 showings): 4360(+305)/19788 ATP: $14.87

0.246x Doctor Strange 2 T-9 (8.84M)

0.450x Batman T-9 (9.72M)

 

T-10 Friday(145 showings): 4994(+370)/24419 ATP: $14.66

0.312x Doctor Strange 2 T-10 (17.09M)

0.809x Batman T-10 (17.81M)

 

T-11 Saturday(158 showings): 4619(+354)/26389 ATP: $13.87

0.277x Doctor Strange 2 T-11 (16.01M)

0.480x Batman T-11 (20.78M)

 

T-12 Sunday(143 showings): 2367(+243)/23991 ATP: $13.31

0.279x Doctor Strange 2 T-12 (10.87M)

0.562x Batman T-12 (19.19M)

Top Gun Maverick Drafthouse

 

T-6 Tuesday(6 showings): 983/1420 ATP: $20.41

T-7 Wednesday(27 showings): 3027/4344 ATP: $15.27

T-8 Thursday(136 showings): 4720(+360)/21898 ATP: $14.89

 

Total Previews: 8730/27662

0.476x Doctor Strange 2 T-8 (17.14M)

0.335x NWH T-8 (16.77M)

 

T-9 Friday(156 showings): 5331(+337)/26053 ATP: $14.68

0.320x Doctor Strange 2 T-9 (17.53M)

0.228x NWH T-9 (16.41M)

 

T-10 Saturday(163 showings): 4885(+266)/27214 ATP: $13.87

0.281x Doctor Strange 2 T-10 (16.24M)

0.214x NWH T-10 (15.84M)

 

T-11 Sunday(143 showings): 2539(+172)/23991 ATP: $13.29

0.285x Doctor Strange 2 T-11 (11.07M)

0.213x NWH T-11 (13.68M)

 

After @katnisscinnaplex pinged me about the Drafthouse Bob's Burger EA showings, I realized that I had been neglecting to check for those here. Sure enough, there are Top Gun EA showings and I missed the ones for Batman. So for the Batman Previews comp, I'll only compare Top Gun Thursday to it. 

[Rorschach]

Men (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday:
        7:00 pm: 4/85
        9:50 pm: 0/85
    Total Sold: 4/170 (2.4% sold)

 

    Friday:
        11:30 am: 3/85
        2:15 pm: 0/85
        5:00 pm: 0/85
        7:45 pm: 5/85
        10:30 pm: 0/85
    Total Sold: 8/425 (1.9% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 12/595 (2% sold)

 

Comps:
Old: $2.24 mil
Malignant: $2.4 mil
Last Night in Soho: $995k
Antlers: $1.07 mil
Nightmare Alley: $1.1 mil
X: $1.52 mil
Average: $1.55 mil

[Rorschach]

Downton Abbey: A New Era (Wednesday Night Outlook)
Cinemark Davenport 18 + IMAX
    Thursday:
        7:00 pm: 71/238
        7:30 pm: 5/56
        10:10 pm: 2/238
        10:40 pm: 0/56
    Total Sold: 78/588 (13.3% sold)

 

Comps:
Dear Evan Hansen: $2.01 mil
No Time to Die: $3.54 mil
House of Gucci: $2.74 mil
West Side Story: $3.28 mil
The Lost City: $3.31 mil
Average: $2.98 mil

 

    Friday:
        10:05 am: 62/238
        11:05 am: 6/85
        12:05 pm: 13/94
        1:15 pm: 66/238
        2:10 pm: 12/85
        4:25 pm: 36/238
        5:25 pm: 12/85
        6:20 pm: 10/94
        7:35 pm: 45/238
        10:45 pm: 0/238
    Total Sold: 262/1,633 (16% sold)

 

Thurs + Fri: 340/2,221 (15.3% sold)

 

Comps:
Dear Evan Hansen: $13.44 mil
No Time to Die: $21 mil
House of Gucci: $ 24.23 mil
West Side Story: $12.11 mil
The Lost City: $24.81 mil
Average: $19.12 mil

[filmlover]

Men is being put in small theaters only near me. Wouldn't be surprised by a sub-$3M opening tbh.

[filmlover]

Ticket sales start Friday, perhaps? That's when the promo in the theme parks begin.

 

 

[ZackM]

First update with comps for Maverick.  Trending up.  Will be interesting to see how high it can go.

 

 

 

Top Gun: Maverick Alpha Chain Early Access Event Seat Report: T-6 days
5/18/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	229	260	31,419	61,829	50.82%
ATP
$23.78

 

 

 

 

Top Gun: Maverick Alpha Chain Investor Connect Screening Seat Report: T-7 days
5/18/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	195	196	9,178	41,245	22.25%
ATP
$13.65

 

 

 

 

Top Gun: Maverick Alpha Chain Premiere Night Seat Report: T-8 days
	Last Day	2 Days Ago	Previous 2 Days		5 Days Ago
Showings Added	24	175	95		3
Seats Added	3,224	20,781	8,273		970
Seats Sold	3,319	3,594	4,911		2,544
5/18/2022	Theaters	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Pct. Sold
Total	429	3,862	67,420	728,583	9.25%
ATP
$17.45

 

I'm not showing direct comps with NWH, but it is included in the Net comp starting on T-8.

 

Top Gun: Maverick Comps
	Dr. Strange MoM		The Batman		Net
	Unweighted	Weighted	Unweighted	Weighted
D0	-	-	-	-	-
T-0	-	-	-	-	-
T-1	-	-	-	-	-
T-2	-	-	-	-	-
T-3	-	-	-	-	-
T-4	-	-	-	-	-
T-5	-	-	-	-	-
T-6	-	-	-	-	-
T-7	-	-	-	-	-
T-8	$11.4	$13.0	$11.3	$11.4	$12.2
T-9	$11.3	$12.8	$11.0	$11.1	$12.1
T-10	$11.0	$12.6	$10.8	$10.9	$11.9
T-11	$10.8	$12.3	$10.6	$10.6	$11.6
T-12	$10.5	$12.0	$10.3	$10.4	$11.3

 

 

Edited May 19, 2022 by ZackM

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Crawley said:

Downton Abbey: A New Era Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	463	5180	8.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 57

 

Comp

2.740x of Dear Evan Hansen T-2 (2.19M)

2.387x of West Side Story T-2 (1.91M)

2.587x of Death on the Nile T-2 (2.84M)

5.716x of Marry Me T-2 (3M)

0.685x of The Lost City T-2 (2.23M)

Downton Abbey: A New Era Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	41	575	5180	11.10%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 112

 

Comp

2.738x of Dear Evan Hansen T-1 (2.19M)

1.571x of House of Gucci T-1 (2.04M)

2.178x of West Side Story T-1 (1.74M)

2.195x of Death on the Nile T-1 (2.41M)

5.476x of Marry Me T-1 (2.87M)

0.743x of The Lost City T-1 (2.41M)

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Crawley said:

Men Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	99	3378	2.93%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 36

 

Comp

0.521x of Old T-2 (782K)

2.475x of The Night House T-2 (643K)

1.394x of Antlers T-2 (516K)

0.404x of Last Night in Soho T-2 (283K)

1.064x of X T-2 (468K)

1.707x of Firestarter T-2 (640K)

Men Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-1 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	24	137	3378	4.06%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 38

 

Comp

0.521x of Old T-1 (781K)

2.076x of The Night House T-1 (540K)

1.593x of Antlers T-1 (589K)

0.443x of Last Night in Soho T-1 (310K)

1.132x of X T-1 (498K)

1.827x of Firestarter T-1 (685K)

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Crawley said:

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-9 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	154	1799	31650	5.68%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 92

 

Comp

1.922x of F9 T-9 (13.65M)

2.181x of No Time to Die T-9 (13.74M)

2.173x of Dune T-9 (11.08M)

2.842x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-9 (12.79M)

2.474x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-9 (14.85M)

Top Gun: Maverick Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-8 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	154	1920	31650	6.07%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 121

 

Comp

1.916x of F9 T-8 (13.6M)

2.040x of No Time to Die T-8 (12.85M)

2.227x of Dune T-8 (11.36M)

2.844x of Ghostbusters: Afterlife T-8 (12.8M)

2.418x of Fantastic Beasts 3 T-8 (14.51M)

[Eric Prime]

23 hours ago, Eric Crawley said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-23 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	1357	23332	5.82%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 28

 

Comp

1.063x of Black Widow T-22 (14.04M)

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-22 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	130	1379	23332	5.91%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 22

 

Comp

3.207x of F9 T-22 (22.77M)

6.022x of Venom 2 T-22 (69.85M)

[keysersoze123]

Downtown Abbey Alpha Wednesday - 11773/38824 153403.89 419 shows. 

 

Thinking between 350-400K for wednesday. Not sure if @katnisscinnaplex has overall showcount for the day to project. 

[El Squibbonator]

Am I alone in thinking Bob's Burgers might overperform relative to the projections we've made? I've been seeing a lot of promotion for it, so I can see it opening closer to $15 million, or even $20 million if word of mouth is especially good. 

 

Then again, this is coming from the guy who was convinced PAW Patrol: The Movie would flop, so what am I saying? 

Edited May 19, 2022 by El Squibbonator

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

Downtown Abbey Alpha Wednesday - 11773/38824 153403.89 419 shows. 

 

Thinking between 350-400K for wednesday. Not sure if @katnisscinnaplex has overall showcount for the day to project. 

That looks really bad. Harkins was $14K. Looks like $700K.