The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Cooper Legion]

12 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Yeah, it expanded to 15,424 shows in 1,060 theaters for 4/8 weekend (actual 1,250 TC).  Then to 22,124 shows in 1,941 theaters the next week (actual 2,220 TC).

So bbb has 119 more tracked theaters. Doesn’t really square with a supposed 550 more overall. Perhaps actual will be 1500ish.   
 

BBB has slightly more show/locs but pretty similar. Main issue is summer affecting the IM.

Edited August 12, 2022 by Legion By Night

[M37]

Bodies going wider than I thought (1800 locations per Numbers).  Not sure I understand the goal of holding off on some locations a week for an 8/19 opening 

 

EDIT: Unless the info posted by Numbers is incorrect (Deadline listed planned 1200 location expansion in weekend article, which seems to mesh more with data above)

Edited August 12, 2022 by M37

[M37]

50 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Top Gun 2 2,663 33,153 17.24% 30,515 247.76 2,638 470

On 6/24/2022 at 8:58 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Top Gun: Maverick 3,311 71,461 -1.89% 69,721 1,740 1,012

 

So TGM getting half the IMAX shows, but 50% more PLF as it did on the 6/24 weekend push/re-release. Dolby should do fine (as some prefer to IMAX), but wonder how much value the XD/ScreenX/etc showings will add?

 

Also, could be looking at a weekend where as few as 1 or 2 movies clear even $200/show (maybe up to 5, on the high end), and likely nothing above $240/$250. That's a whole lot of empty seats ...

[katnisscinnaplex]

I'm expecting somewhere around 1450 this weekend.  Would be pretty surprised to see anywhere close to 1800

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 8/11/2022 at 8:46 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Beast	T-7	Jax	6	23	2	4	2,933	0.14%
		Phx	6	18	4	28	2,565	1.09%
		Ral	8	20	1	13	2,344	0.55%
	Total		20	61	7	45	7,842	0.57%
Dragon Ball	T-7	Jax	6	26	10	224	5,795	3.87%
		Phx	6	21	26	392	4,409	8.89%
		Ral	7	24	14	258	3,108	8.30%
	Total		19	71	50	874	13,312	6.57%

 

Beast T-7 comps

 - Dune - .055x (279k)

 - Snake Eyes - .563x (788k)

 - Jungle Cruise - .29x (783k)

 - Bullet Train - .166x (556k)

 

Dragon Ball T-7 comp

 - JJK:0 - missed (next tracked at T-4)

 -MHA (Fri) - (first tracked at T-5)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Beast	T-6	Jax	6	23	2	6	2,933	0.20%
		Phx	6	18	0	28	2,565	1.09%
		Ral	8	21	2	15	2,417	0.62%
	Total		20	62	4	49	7,915	0.62%
Dragon Ball	T-6	Jax	6	26	32	256	5,795	4.42%
		Phx	6	21	21	413	4,409	9.37%
		Ral	7	24	25	283	3,108	9.11%
	Total		19	71	78	952	13,312	7.15%

 

Beast T-6 comps

 - Dune - missed

 - Snake Eyes - .515x (722k)

 - Jungle Cruise - .285x (769k)

 - Bullet Train - .154x (515k)

 

Dragon Ball T-6 comp

 - JJK:0 - missed (next tracked at T-4)

 -MHA (Fri) - (first tracked at T-5)

 

It's on track to pass JJK T-4 (1,089) and already ahead of MHA T-5 (892)

[filmlover]

Long Range Box Office Forecast: BARBARIAN, Plus Latest Tracking for BEAST and DRAGON BALL SUPER: SUPER HERO

Read more: https://t.co/H5HqQqXGm6 #Barbarian #BeastMovie #DragonBallSuperSuperHero #BoxOffice pic.twitter.com/31AZdcQigm

— Boxoffice Pro (@BoxOffice) August 12, 2022

[filmlover]

Looks like Rogue One is coming back in two weeks (presumably to promote the release of Andor).

 

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story at an AMC Theatre near you. (amctheatres.com)

[CJohn]

8 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Looks like Rogue One is coming back in two weeks (presumably to promote the release of Andor).

 

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story at an AMC Theatre near you. (amctheatres.com)

They forgot to delay it when the show was delayed as well.

[Issac Newton]

1 hour ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

Dragon Ball T-6 comp

 - JJK:0 - missed (next tracked at T-4)

 -MHA (Fri) - (first tracked at T-5)

 

It's on track to pass JJK T-4 (1,089) and already ahead of MHA T-5 (892)

Bigger than JJK ($18.0M) &MHA ($6.2M) OW. How are you expecting for OW?

[filmlover]

18 minutes ago, CJohn said:

They forgot to delay it when the show was delayed as well.

AMC's website has it listed under IMAX releases so that's probably the only weekend they would've been able to secure it for since September is already booked in terms of IMAX screens (Moonage Daydream, Jaws and Avatar re-releases).

 

Three Thousand Years of Longing tickets are now on sale btw.

[katnisscinnaplex]

1 hour ago, Issac Newton said:

Bigger than JJK ($18.0M) &MHA ($6.2M) OW. How are you expecting for OW?

 

I don't really do any forecasting for full weekends anymore.  Previews are looking good though.  JJK was 2.88m and MHA had a 2.89m OD (no previews).  Looks like it should hit at least 3m.  Perhaps a weekend similar to JJK then?

[JustLurking]

Broly was super frontloaded, I'd imagine even if it matches previews with JJK it will probably still fall below it for the weekend.

[Ronin46]

I am confused. Bodies reported 17k for Thursday. I thought it was expanding and was on target for 500k or so Thursday. 

[M37]

11 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

I am confused. Bodies reported 17k for Thursday. I thought it was expanding and was on target for 500k or so Thursday. 

That’s just the gross from just the 6 theaters that opened it last week, not the preview number; they didn’t report that as a separate number, so will just be rolled into Friday total 

[Ronin46]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

That’s just the gross from just the 6 theaters that opened it last week, not the preview number; they didn’t report that as a separate number, so will just be rolled into Friday total 

 

Ok that makes sense. thanks

[BestPicturePlutoNash]

My 230pm of Bodies had about 5 total people (all walk-ups) but I think the night shows will go strong

[Flopped]

44 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

My 230pm of Bodies had about 5 total people (all walk-ups) but I think the night shows will go strong

 

My screening last night had about 8 people. 

[misterpepp]

On 8/3/2022 at 11:44 AM, datpepper said:

Not that I think it’ll be a big deal, but I’m told tickets for the 3D Jaws re-release (I want to just say Jaws 3D but that title was already used!) will go on sale on Aug 17.

 

Now 8/24.

[p a p i]

Genuine question. 

Is September 1st the start of the Fall season? Is August the end of our movie Summer season? 

Edited August 13, 2022 by p a p i

[Borf the Borf]

19 minutes ago, p a p i said:

Genuine question. 

Is September 1st the start of the Fall season? Is August the end of our movie Summer season? 

labor day is end of summer