The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[el sid]

I'm sorry, the AMC site was partly not available for me yesterday. I started to count The Boogeyman and then, in the middle of my counting, the website crashed which is pretty normal. But it didn't recover. Maybe it had to do with all the traffic due to Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse. Now it works again.
 

Judging from the 4 theaters where I could count yesterday, Boogeyman's presales for Friday were a bit behind The Invitation and Barbarian. Overall the Friday presales were better than those for Thursday.
For Thursday The Boogeyman had ca. 2/3 of the sales of The Invitation which had 775k from presales = 500k.

New presale numbers in a few hours.

[Shawn Robbins]

PSA:
 

As a heads up to everyone, we'll be starting a new thread here very soon. For those who are newer to the forum, we typically have to split threads once they reach 1,000+ pages and are still highly active. In the past, such topics have created database slowdown issues that affect the entire forum.

 

Rest assured, this thread will be archived when it is locked and a link to the new one will be posted to help you find it easily (it will also be pinned to the top of the box office forum as usual). Nothing else will change.

 

***ADDITIONALLY*** If anyone has readily available links to all of the past tracking threads, please reply to this post. We're going to keep them linked in the top post of the new thread for archival and easy access purposes.

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, Shawn said:

Nope might be worth looking at ("original" film + director fan base + male-driven + near identical release pattern + same studio).

even if it was, there is no data on dunkirk.

even if there was, it won't be helpful for a 2023 film.

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, across the Jat verse said:

Dune will do.

Dune was hybrid. This is pure theatrical and knowing Nolan will keep off streaming for a long time. I wish there was a good comp in last year. May be presales will give an inkling. 

 

That said this is very limited presales. Only Imax and 70mm shows. So its like sales for Early/Fan shows rather than full presales. We will have to wait until next week to see how much initial allocation its going to get. I think it wont be that big as Barbie is also opening on the same day and I think that is a biggie. 

[Shawn Robbins]

2 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

even if it was, there is no data on dunkirk.

even if there was, it won't be helpful for a 2023 film.

I think that was in reply to @cannastop, but I agree -- Dunkirk is mostly outdated from a presales standpoint.

[MrPink]

Call an ambulance for those who couldn't get Oppy IMAX tickets.

 

BUT NOT FOR ME. +14 for Lincoln Square 

[charlie Jatinder]

2 minutes ago, Shawn said:

I think that was in reply to @cannastop, but I agree -- Dunkirk is mostly outdated from a presales standpoint.

read it more in extension to your reply rather than a counter reply

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, MrPink said:

Call an ambulance for those who couldn't get Oppy IMAX tickets.

 

BUT NOT FOR ME. +14 for Lincoln Square 

Have fun. I wish I could block my tickets. But I have uncertain plans around its release. But I plan to see it in Metreon in fullest glory. To me this is the movie of the summer. 

[GOGODanca]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dune was hybrid. This is pure theatrical and knowing Nolan will keep off streaming for a long time. I wish there was a good comp in last year. May be presales will give an inkling. 

 

That said this is very limited presales. Only Imax and 70mm shows. So its like sales for Early/Fan shows rather than full presales. We will have to wait until next week to see how much initial allocation its going to get. I think it wont be that big as Barbie is also opening on the same day and I think that is a biggie. 

i believe his contract demanded 120 days theatrical exclusivity

[WorkingonaName]

6 minutes ago, MrPink said:

Call an ambulance for those who couldn't get Oppy IMAX tickets.

 

BUT NOT FOR ME. +14 for Lincoln Square 

 

Cries in Sydney 

[keysersoze123]

Just now, WorkingonaName said:

 

Cries in Sydney 

Dont you guys have the biggest imax screen in the world at Darling Harbour?

[WorkingonaName]

13 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Dont you guys have the biggest imax screen in the world at Darling Harbour?

used to

[GambitPool]

5 minutes ago, WorkingonaName said:

used to

Its in Germany now right? I've been to the screen in Seoul and that used to hold the record. 

[M37]

I know different scale and length of sales window, but I’m very much in the camp that Opp will pace more along the TGM/Avatar 2 line, with a bigger early sales level but somewhat softer final week given fan and age skew 

[MysteryMovieMogul]

So how's Spider-Verse actually looking to do? I keep reading that Variety and Deadline are lowballing it, but I also haven't seen any proof that the film will be much bigger than speculated, especially a film with a cliffhanger.

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

I agree with the Dune/Nope comps for Oppenheimer.

[GOGODanca]

Oppenheimer (4 hours):

 

84 tickets sold across 13 showtimes at 7 local AMC's

[katnisscinnaplex]

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Transformers 6	T-7	Jax	5	55	236	236	9,013	2.62%
		Phx	6	56	246	246	10,104	2.43%
		Ral	8	52	210	210	6,776	3.10%
	Total		19	163	692	692	25,893	2.67%
Transformers EA	T-6	Jax	5	7	245	245	1,216	20.15%
		Phx	1	1	136	136	208	65.38%
		Ral	1	1	59	59	101	58.42%
	Total		7	9	440	440	1,525	28.85%

 

Transformers + EA T-7 comps

 - NTTD Total - 1.285x (8.09m)

 - Ghostbusters Total - 1.915x (8.62m)

 - F9 - 1.173x (8.33m)

 - Dune - 1.377x (7.02m)

 

This is much more EA heavy than the others; could end up filling up a lot of those shows by next week.  Thursday sales are sitting at almost exactly 50/50 standard/PLF.  

[Cheddar Please]

32 minutes ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:

So how's Spider-Verse actually looking to do? I keep reading that Variety and Deadline are lowballing it, but I also haven't seen any proof that the film will be much bigger than speculated, especially a film with a cliffhanger.

Late presales figures are off the charts, looking at 125m OW and potentially beyond atm. If that's not an overperformance idk what is

Edited June 1, 2023 by Cheddar Please

[Menor the Destroyer]

Spiderverse MTC3 

 

Shows: 4241

Seats Sold: 87716/842682 

 

0.863x GOTG3 (15.1-15.5m depending on which figure you use)

 

Added 39k in the last two days vs 30k of GOTG3 even without the Atom/Tmobile deal applying to this chain (so it will underindex).